risk-related concepts1. Risk: A weighted Figure 2 describing all possible outcomes and the associated consequences thereof, an uncertainty diagram: A chart that shows the relative probability of various possible outcomes. A set of potentially released interfaces is arranged along the horizontal axis, and the scale of the longitudinal axis indicates the relative probability of each result occurring. By convention, the longitudinal axis is generally suitably calibrated so that the probability of all the results is equal to 1 3, the risk map: When the uncertainty is linked to the success or failure of the project, the diagram describing it is called a risk map.
Risk Classification1, overall risk 2, component risk (cause risk) both expression and relationship
Risk Management Process
1. Risk Discovery
Brainstorming: Nightmare questioning, using a crystal ball, converting perspective, looking for a disaster that should not be blamed, finding a failure to blame, and imagining partial failure
Scenario Construction
Root cause Analysis
2. Identify all core risks
Common Core risks:
Scheduling Congenital errors
Change in demand
Loss of personnel
The collapse of the statute
Low productivity
3. Estimating risk
Degree of Completion measurement: boundary element Completion Two, earned value run (EVR)
4. Identify the project's fatal risk
5. First Schedule Estimate
6. Draw the risk map
7. Describe a commitment with a risk map
8. Monitoring risk
Incremental development: The value that can be provided to the customer, and the degree of validation of the risk forecast
Quantify costs and benefits: expected and actual costs; expected and actual benefits
9. Continue the above steps
Description
A, schedule > Goals > N
B, Tools: Http://www.systemsguild.com/riskology