Central Real estate New Deal first tone containment experts say property policy is tightening

With the recovery of the real estate market, some cities have been rising prices too fast and other topics, has caused the center attaches great importance. The State Council executive meeting held yesterday made it clear that in order to maintain policy continuity and stability, we should speed up the construction of affordable housing, strengthen market supervision, stabilize market expectations, and curb the rapid rise of house prices in some cities. The news, the real estate industry in an uproar.　　Some experts read that the central Economic Work Conference, which had just ended, did not mention housing prices and curb speculative demand, the "containment" formulation, will be a new round of property market tightening of the precursor. "Containment" is more important than "stability" in a few days in December, center's real estate policy orientation jumped out of the "three steps", the most recent one directed at housing prices-the end of December 7, the Central Economic Work Conference, the report did not mention housing prices and curb speculative demand, the guidelines are mainly to continue to support the fair demand for their own lives,　　Increase the supply of ordinary commodity housing.　　December 9 State Council executive meeting Clear, "personal housing transfer business tax levy free period from 2 years to 5 years, other housing consumption policies continue to implement."　　The State Council's executive meeting of December 14 requested that, while maintaining policy continuity and stability, it would speed up the construction of affordable housing, strengthen market supervision, stabilize market expectations, and curb the rapid rise in housing prices in some cities. The wording "containment" differs from the past.　　"Yang Hongxu, director General of Shanghai Institute of Real Estate Research, said in an interview that 2005" State Eight ", 2006" State Six ", with the word" stable house prices ", the State Council executive meeting with the" containment ", the weight is significantly heavier than" inhibition ", more ruthless in" stability. " Top-grade property taxes may come out next year. "The Central Economic Work Conference only explicitly supports residents ' own living and improved housing consumption, and there is no mention of curbing investment in speculative buying, which is a complementary nature." Yang Hongxu said that in order to achieve the "containment" effect, in addition to further tightening two sets of mortgages, business tax exemption time to return to 5 years, must be "dose".　　It can be foreseen that next year on the "two-vote" purchase behavior of the suppression will be increased. As for the specific way, the Shanghai real estate industry experts generally guess three: first of all, for large, high-grade property tax will be accelerated next year, most likely in some cities before the "idling" to the pilot "real turn"; second, the purchase of foreign purchases may be tightened, reaffirming the "171th text";　　A transfer tax on the resale of a house may be imposed strictly.　　In addition, the real estate trading market, such as hoarding, cover plate, fake mortgage, random deposit, drive up prices and other chaos, next year will also be "heavy attack", such as land strokes may be adjusted, the pre-application system may be further promoted, commercial housing pre-sale will be strictly implemented, may advance the pre-sale standards. House prices fall more likely next year "the central government has been supporting and encouraging people to buy ordinary commercial housing for their own lives." But the current reality is that housing prices continue too fast, too much abnormal rise, the real estate bubble accumulated too large, not conducive to the oldThe people buy their own homes. "There are real estate industry insiders indicative, the market for home ownership of the ratio is not high, on the contrary, speculative investment in the popular, investors buy more than too high."　　At present, 50% or even more than 70% of the buyers are investing in speculative home buyers, even many for their own home buyers, but also have to buy a house waiting for appreciation of the prospective investment purposes. "This year's housing market, the bottom of the rebound, even some investment, speculators have enjoyed a huge discount on home purchase." Scherkingshon, a Chinese analyst at home, said the mortgage policy would tighten next year and would certainly not be as loose as it is now. On the next year's housing price trend, Yang Hongxu speculation, next year is unlikely to fall, the plunge is difficult, consolidation is the main tone. For first-tier cities such as Shanghai, the likelihood of a fall is greater than the rise.