Change plate, inflection point, getting closer!

Source: Internet
Author: User
Keywords Inflection point SME board excess liquidity stock opportunities
Tags analysis change closer different economic economic recovery index it is
--Little Li Fei Knife when I was standing at the peak of 3,000. I found that last year, as long as the following 2000-point investors, are now basically a winner of the stock market, but unfortunately, the author recently received a letter from some readers that they are still in this wave of losses in the market, the degree of loss is different.  The author believes that July will be an important market change in time and inflection point, in the last "stock market dynamic Analysis" of the article I have done a demonstration and analysis, if you need to be able to view.  Change the time point of the plate, the market inflexion is getting closer! We can see from the Shenzhen Index Analysis K-line chart, Chengzhi recent trend has been accelerating the rise, and the acceleration of the process is actually building the top of the process. Chengzhi's EMA is also beginning to become more and more steep, at the same time, the market has also begun to hot spots "cold", this is the market is about to usher in a phased downward adjustment of the various warning signals! It is a rational investment arrangement for prudent investors to start withdrawing from the market in an orderly manner, and for radical investors  may wish to grasp some of the rotation of the opportunity to make a final, bad to go! However, it is important to avoid a point is that we do not make the line, the center line finally made a long line, which is "outweigh the gains". Judging from the current level of market valuations, now a-shares has reached 30 times times, including Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 near 26 times times, SME board Index 42 times Times, the Shanghai 50 Index is also close to 22 times times, the total number of shares in the negative after the median price-earnings ratio of 46 times times, which is significantly overvalued compared with the current real economy,  The rationality of the real economic valuation is bound to bring the stock index back to the right track fundamentally. At the same time, now we are also wary of some media and experts optimistic comments and radical operation suggestions, even some distorted investment ideas also need to be shielded! For example, now suggest you enter the market for long-term value investment, you need to be careful, do not be these "aspersions"!  What we need is a reasonable share price position to invest in the middle and long term, but it is definitely not buying a value investment when the market generates "crazy sentiment". Is the market getting crazy now? Do not believe that you can personally go to the major sales department of the retail groups in the middle of the survey. Any wave of intermediate rally or bull market will produce countless fake "folk stock", the only way we can identify is that time will naturally choose and eliminate those "counterfeit".  The real master, standing in the market for a long time, such as Buffett, Soros and other master figures. And for the second half of our A-share market overall trend may still be good, but the increase is limited, more is in the market shocks appeared in the stock opportunities, and the current stage of the stock market of structural bubbles may trigger the second half of the shock fall adjustment, the main risk period should be the third quarter,  The main opportunity period should be in the fourth quarter. Because of the excess liquidity of the foreignEconomic recovery and asset bubbles are likely to shrink with the Fed's currency, from positive feedback to negative feedback, to the financial market, commodity markets and China's exports, the external market will first reflect, leading to a wave of inflation expectations in the middle of the adjustment of contraction;  is expected to fall more than 10% per cent, and IPO restart, the cumulative increase in the market, local valuations are high factors will continue to suppress the performance of the stock index! The second half of our stock market will not continue to be strongly pulled up, this can be seen from the first half of the market performance, now the stock market is up, but from the beginning of the current round of 1664, the market is expected to be the economic recovery, and the current economic recovery is expected to be gradually fulfilled, but the recovery of the stock market is almost complete ! For the future of China's stock market 2, 3 years, we still long-term optimistic! After the adjustment, there will be a great opportunity to make money again! Because, we know, opportunity is falling out, and the risk is rising.
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