Experts say Shenzhen house prices fall another 4 to become in place

Some experts make this point according to the ratio of rent to sale, but some experts think it is not in line with China's actual author: Zhu Da Coros Ding Road long Zhu Strategy summary: In yesterday's spring intersection site of a forum, Shenzhen Zhongyuan Real Estate Strategy Resource Center General manager Zhou Yi said, according to company research, Shenzhen Second-hand housing prices in theory to fall 40%　　Will revert to a reasonable level, but it is not clear whether it can fall to (or exceed) this level. South of the news has experts to put the cannon! In yesterday's spring intersection site of a forum, Shenzhen Zhongyuan Real Estate Strategy Resource Center General manager Zhou Yi said, according to company research, Shenzhen Second-hand housing prices in theory to fall 40% will revert to a reasonable level, but the specific can fall to (or exceed) this level, it is unknown. However, Guo Jianbo, chief economist for International Real Estate, argues that the only criterion for judging the market's ups and downs is not in line with China's reality.　　Shangmo Real Estate general manager Assistant Dengjian also thought the property price will fall, but down 20%.　　Main fall: New house will be reduced in the third quarter Zhou Yi is responsible for the Department of the main developers to provide project development strategy support, in yesterday's Sina le Habitat held a "New deal under the Housing Price Change Bureau" forum, he was amazing, throwing 40% decline this "rhetoric". Zhou Yi said that according to the company's long-term research, the Beijing-Shanghai Deep four cities in the real estate market, rents and monthly supply ratio reached about 0.7, is the housing market at the trough into recovery. This 0.7 means, for example, a set of rooms, the 20-year period is 1000 yuan, if the rent to 700 yuan, the risk will be relatively small. However, "Now the four cities in the rental ratio is only 0.4, is a month for 1000 yuan house, rent can only rent to 400 yuan," he pointed out, if according to this figure, housing prices to fall by about 40%, in order to achieve a more reasonable rental ratio of the state.　　But he stressed that this is only a theoretical prediction, not necessarily really can be achieved.　　He also said that because the current developer hands are rich, and the market is not much, so prices will not fall immediately, the decline in new house prices may start from the quarter. Main party: The rental ratio is not in line with China's actual international real Estate chief economist Guo Jianbo, who held a different view. He argues that the only criterion for judging the market's ups and downs is that it is too pedantic to conform to China's reality. Now the market has only entered the waiting period, which is normal, such a policy has been introduced, the market will naturally appear on the sidelines. But based on the current policy, it is difficult to judge the future trend of housing prices. His judgment: the first half of the adjustment, the second half of the resumption of gains. The reason is that the big problem that puzzles China's property market is unresolved, one is that the problem of supply shortage exists for a long time.　　He believes that the market will have an unexpected change after the national day. and Shangmo Real Estate general manager Assistant Dengjian also pointed out that these policies after the introduction, but will let house prices phased adjustment,In a healthier development, the drop may expand to 15–20%, but not a 40% plunge.