Five phases of new technology development

 

1. Trigger period of technology trigger innovation

 

Stages 1 to 2 are risks in the embryonic stage: adopting the premature and correct approach: Identifying the angle and setting a threshold for Competition

 

2. Peak of inflated expectations the expected expansion limit

 

Stages 2 to 3 are risks during the Import Period: give up too quickly and the right approach: gain talent and accumulate experience.

 

3. Through of dissionment

 

3 to 4 stages for growth risks: adoption of the right approach too late: leading the mainstream

 

4. Slope of Enlightenment desired climbing period

 

4 to 5 stages for maturity risks: Always do not let go the right approach: Explore new applications, expand market segments

 

5. plateau of productivity plateau period

 

 

In this way, the blog technology has reached the productivity plateau, and the semantic network is approaching the peak of expectation.

Another statement: the essence of innovation + the nature of human nature = the law of innovation and development

How to choose?

* Do not invest in an innovation because it is hyped by the media.

* Do not ignore a technology because it does not meet the expectations of the early stage.

* Choose to be radical and move closer to innovation that has potential value for your business as soon as possible.

* For those innovations that have a low impact on you, let others accept the lessons and wait for them to become more mature and then adopt them.

 

Future innovation and development cycle rules:

* The pace of innovation in some fields is shorter than that in the past few decades.

* The Internet accelerates information and knowledge sharing.

* Technological innovation is faster than low.

* The Hype peak is also higher and more advanced

* Different communities on the Internet have different views on Innovation

* More Accurate Time Estimation

* The opportunity window is shorter.

* More "Cocktail" innovations