Losing the battle to win the war (Game Theory tricks)

For thousands of years, the battle between Chu and Han has always been a piece of endless Chinese history. Since Sima Qian's historical records, Xiang Yu is depicted as a hero of the "powerful tug-of-war and the secret of the World", scholars of all ages often reverence Xiang Yu. Li Qingzhao's verse, "life as a person, death as a ghost", ridiculed Liu Bang as a civilian, pushed this kind of admiration to the extreme.

 

Aside from these emotional comments, many people may also feel very strange about the defeat of Xiang Yu. Xiang Yu, who has been killed in the past seven years since he started the army and failed, has a brilliant record. In his own words, Xiang Yu is "more than 70 battles, the target is broken, and the target is served ", in the end, the entire army collapsed. Why? Xiang Yu finally sighed that "the day of my death, not the sin of war is also", it also shows that he died with the above question.

Xiang Yu and his Uncle Xiang joined Jiangdong in 209 BC to fight against the "eight thousand children" and later fought against the Qin State. it shows the powerful combat capability of no one can rival, and is pushed to the Overlord by all factions. In September 206 BC, Yi Jun occupied Xianyang And destroyed Qin. Xiang Yu sent Liu Bang to a remote Hanzhong. I also left the world's richest Guanzhong and returned to pengcheng (XuZhou) to set up the capital. Later, Liu bangsecretly captured Guanzhong, and then attacked pengcheng in the east. Xiang Yu immediately returned to the army to defeat the Chinese army. The following three years of war between the Chu and Han Dynasties were lasting. Xiang Yu won several battles and the Han army defeated each other. However, Xiang Yu defeated again in 202 BC.

 

Xiang Yu, a powerful fan of life, failed to defeat Liu Bang, who does not know his poetry or martial arts. Many people blame him for accidental loss of hands or a bad idea. In fact, this is a very simple understanding. In fact. In any war, only the winner of the strategy is the final winner and the real winner.

 

We can also prove this through the study of game theory. It is undoubtedly a convincing mathematical proof that axrood uses Mathematical and computer methods to study how to break through the prisoner's dilemma. He found in computer simulation that the person with the highest total score did not get the highest score in each game.

 

This is like Liu Bang. Every battle won't be able to defeat his opponent, but as the war proceeds, his strength is growing. On the contrary, Xiang Yu can win some victories from each battle, but his strength is getting worse and worse. The final outcome can be imagined. So how is the transformation of the comparison between strength and weakness?

 

After Xiang Yu started his army, he had been taking the "eight thousand children" as the backbone. The historian once studied the origins of the first righteous in Jiangdong district and found that most of them were wandering and leeching. Although brave and aggressive, they were extremely destructive. When they are all over the world. Although the combat power is better than the troops of the princes, there is a bad habit of burning and looting. Xiang Yu, under the crowd, created a class of violence, such as kill Qin army and kill Qin army, burning and looting after attacking the city. Xiang Yu did not dare to stay in Guanzhong for a long time because the local people hated him. On the contrary, at the beginning of Guanzhong, Liu Bang, the "three chapters of law", won the prestige.

 

The second reason is associated with the first point, that is, a solid base. After each defeat, Liu Bang is able to restore his vitality. The key is that as a backend, Liu Bang can continuously supply food and supplement troops. During the victory over the occasion, Liu Bang marked Xiao He, the one who cares for the people and gives them an endless grain feed, as the first of the three heroes. Xiang Yu did not pay attention to the construction of the rear, mainly relying on the four pieces of grain to snatch things, the income is not much and lost to the people, naturally cannot be sustained. For this reason, Xiang Yu department was only able to make a quick decision during the confrontation between the two armies. When Xiang Yu Department held a day in the same region, there would be "a lot of Chinese soldiers eat, and Xiang Wang Bing never gave up ". In the crucial battle, the Chu army's fork was shaken by the fear of "few soldiers eat", and then the ELE. Me army collapsed when it heard the "Chu Song.

Evaluate the success of a strategy. A common method is to measure its ability to overcome its own shortcomings. From the perspective of development and evolution, we will find that the most favorable strategy for growth is the true advantage strategy. Different strategies often compete with each other. Unless a strategy can overwhelm the opponent, the success of any initial stage will be transformed into self-destruction.

The conclusion of the war between the Chu and Han Dynasties proves that Xiang Yu's strategy was a failure. His victory slowly consumed his resources and advantages, and finally defeated him. There is actually a process from quantitative change to qualitative change.

This seemingly strange Historical Revelation shows that, even if the optimal strategy in each cooperation brings losses, it can win the global victory. In other words, you lose every battle, but you can still win the whole war. On the contrary, even if you win every battle, you cannot win the whole war. This looks incredible. but in fact it is easy to understand: Because this strategy is good at cooperation, although the opponent may be relatively profitable in every confrontation with him, however, the global advantage accumulation cannot beat the optimal strategy. To lose the battle and win the war, you must have a global priority.

 

American ninth President William Harrison had a poor family when he was a child, and he was speechless. People in his hometown even thought he was a silly hacker. One time, a man joked with him and put a five-cent coin and a one-dollar coin in front of him, asking him to pick and say that he would give him one. Harrison looked at it and picked a five-cent coin. This behavior made people laugh and think that Harrison is a silly child.

 

This was quickly spread in the local area. Many people were very interested in seeing this "silly child" and asked him to pick it up with five cents and one dollar coin. Each time, Harrison scored the five points. Instead of a dollar. A woman looked at him so pitiful and said to him, "Do you really don't know which one is more valuable ?" "Of course I know, madam, but I took a dollar coin. they will never put the coin in front of me again, so I won't even get the five points."

 

If a cooperation may suffer from local losses, but these cooperation play a significant role in global development, then this loss is worth eating. This is what the saying goes: "taking small losses and taking advantage of big bargain.

 

When a young man graduated from college, he entered the publishing house for editing. His writing was good, but his work attitude was even more valuable. At that time, the press was publishing a set of books, and everyone was very busy. However, the boss has no plans to increase manpower. The editors were also sent to the issuance department and business department for help. Almost everyone in the editorial department protested once or twice. Only the young man was happy to accept the assignment. As a matter of fact, he could not see how cheap he was, because he wanted to help book subscription and deliver books. Like a hard-working employee, he went to the business department to participate in the sales work. In addition, he would be happy to help me pick up the draft, run the printing factory, and mail it! Two years later, he established a publishing company and did a good job.

 

It turns out that he was suffering a loss. Familiar with editing, publishing, and direct selling of a publishing house. Now. he is still doing his work with this attitude. For the author, he is willing to lose in exchange for the trust of the author. for the employee, he is willing to lose in exchange for their enthusiasm. For the printing factory, he is willing to lose in exchange for quality. From this point of view, he really took advantage!

If you suffer losses, you will receive more work experience and development opportunities than others. That is, taking advantage of the disadvantage! The young college student was randomly assigned by the boss and other employees when he first worked, but he accumulated work experience and connections during the process. After just two years, I successfully started my career.

 

In our work, we should not always care about the importance of our work. If we do more than others, we should do less. What is important is whether we can get the knowledge and skills we need. This kind of disadvantage, especially for young people, is actually the accumulation of a strategy to win because it enables you to accumulate work experience, improve your ability to do things, and expand the network of interpersonal relationships.