Shanghai Dou Landlord Introduction Super Series 5--probability (next)

After a topic, the recovery is becoming more and more popular with the player, the board can analyze the hand situation, find out the actual best hands, and compare what they think is the best hand, find their own shortcomings in the actual game, improve their hands to fight the landlord, but often the recovery is not omnipotent, sometimes just will be misguided, In the following analysis, I will cite some precise hand and its forte, discuss the dispute.
Example 1 the owner of a 222,aaa,kk,q,j,10,9 real-world combat landlord played a single top home K, the landlord swam Zhang A to complete the contract. (This is my example in the details of a series of works) best order-first-hand: Top 2 (because three a 32 landlords are very likely to have a,2 leaflets), the second hand: 910JQK (910JQK brand activity is not as good as AAA22 so first hit) third hand: AAA22 (top 2 with AAA22 instead of top a 222AA, the advantage is that the top 32 landlords have a single 2 more likely than the top landlords have 32 of the AAA22 of the house is covered the possibility of the last: single K alone fishing (expect farmers to get the right to license ...). The number of hands above both able to walk and high top of the 2 to do "can go hand not put", but also the crossroads of aaa,222 card to do "Choose the landlord as small as possible probability"
The above example can be regarded as a kind of recovery after the game is lost. Why the top 2, not the top K, any one of the steps of the card can be found, this is the actual meaning of the card is the actual best hand is the theory of the best hand, and why such a note (Find the actual best hand), This process of thinking helps to improve the card power.
After talking about the actual meaning of the recovery, it is a less convincing reply.
Example 2 in the book "The Bucket Landlord" by Mr Shake, there are so two pairs of probabilities to know and to offer, personally feel slightly defective, one is in the peasant chapter the second section of the top of the "low top" described a case, the top handheld: Small strange 2 AA KK QQ J 101010 99 7 66 5555 4 333 book described in Suggestion is "chilling" ultra low Top 10, however, although the "shudder" but there is a reason, the top 2 landlords ignore, the companions dare not take, and then hit three Zhang is not in the case of the landlord licensing road, can not interact with farmers, and can not guarantee that the landlord will not be placed, top a also so, Furthermore, according to the book, you have a single card or 2 cards based on the probability of distribution, the landlord has a single Zhang probability is very small, and maintain a KK QQ can prevent landlord sisters, but I do not know is not considered comprehensive, the author gave a landlord has more than 10 leaflets of the probable--30%, this data should be a big "problem" , it is true that if the top has a single A or AA, the landlord has a single a possibility is very small, but if the top of the top 10, then the above empty cards will be J Q K a four species, this small probability to multiply by 4. Such a situation should be more than the landlord has sisters and farmers do not need a AA KK QQ to defend the probability to be big, but the top 10 is not what leakage strokes, at the same time top A is also more classic and safe, here also introduces a top method: Top K or Q, Benefits 1 This is a kind of neutralization choice, which takes care of the possibility of the landlord having a leaflet and does not make the companion to pick up the card. 2 in this case, if the landlord a,k to take apart the card, then use a high top can be closed to the dead landlord to open the leaflet (a kind of active diversion of the taste), but looking back at this kind of hand, the various probability gap is very little, so can not arbitrarily think that three kinds of top method of which must have problems, in fact, these three methods have a little "genre" Different meaning, conservative master top A, radical master Top 10, between the top k,q between the two.
In Example 3 I will introduce a less desirable approach to recovery, the example of which is the Nineth section of the landlord's article,
Small landlord hand-held: Little blame 222 AAAAA KKK Q jjjj 10101010 8 77 66 5555 4 33
Under the hand: AAA KK Q JJ 1010 9999 888 777 44 3
In the home hand-held: The big blame small blame KK Q 1010 99 88 777 66 555 44 33
Top handheld: Big blame 2 K qqqqq JJ 99 88 6666 5 444 333
The order is in order to not expose the KKK33, and the number of hands too many, the landlord selected dozen, the AAA44 landlord 22266 won the right to license. The landlord dozen 4, the house Q, in the home cover small strange. In the home 223344 (also covers the small strange, has throws to 2, the landlord is afraid cannot control) the landlord 5555, under 9999. A KK, landlord pass. The house out of JJJ1010108877 (left 3) landlords out of 10101010 home qqqqq. Top home out of 99, the next 22 took, left one, the landlord jjjj. Landlord 8 (because the landlord second hand dozen 4, the next on the Q, then this one is not more than 4 smaller than Q, and the landlord has 8,q two if the latter will lose the House pass in the home big Strange (remaining 777 555 KK Q) in home dozen 555 dozen 77766 again out Q (left KK ready to take over)
The landlord demolished a lid on the top 2 landlords on the top of the house on the big blame. The top of the home release to JJ landlord AA again out Q with a back after winning the game.
In this bureau card attack and defense are quite excellent, you can say that such a card is not in the need to improve in the recovery, and the author thinks that the top of the House 99 O'Clock home without 22, to KK, personally feel this kind of complex attitude is not very desirable, why. Because the function of the duplicate is to find out the insufficiency, the 22-to-99 should not be a problem, but it is not a game, but not every hand, not 22, it is also possible to risk delaying the aircraft (which is more likely), and the subsequent development of the hand is not perceptible from the information obtained at the time of the next game- Simple to say a little bit of hindsight feeling. And the recovery is to improve those who have according to the licensing routines, to give a special but simple example of home holding aaakkk3344,5678910j, four strange, as long as put into the hands of the first hand, the four monsters can be positioned, and boss is indeed 45678910, That is, the loss can not say why do not put 45678910, because the number of Zhang too many at all have no signs to tell other companions.
It is really a good medicine to improve the level, but when it comes to the question of whether it is right or wrong, there is no need to change the way it should be, for there are reasons why there are signs that there is a better way to make a change.
Also in the hands of other card friends, I often tell myself, to see through the surface of the deep things, take the above example to use 22 connection is more realistic, I will not because he used 22 to think that the hand is wrong (that is, is the last thing is better), sometimes the player clearly lost but I still think he is a master, On the contrary, there is no chance of winning the cards, because a single bureau or a small number of hands, can not embody the best hand = The actual best hand, can not reflect the landlord this kind of a casual card game, only in the bidding, theory, card can be perfect performance is the master of the master.