TD Amplitude prediction, amplitude expansion breakout, TD channel

First, the amplitude prediction and the margin expansion breakthrough are used to measure the short-term trend, that is, the daily fluctuation in the Dow Theory, which observes the change of the stock price from the relative microscopic angle, the concrete function is the daily observation stock price, some cards uses.

1) Amplitude Prediction

Amplitude prediction mainly through the day before the K line on the current price of a judgement, the specific formula is as follows:

Yin Line: x= (low price + high price + close price)/2

Yang Line: x= (high price + low price + close price)/2

Cross: x= (Close + high + low price)/2

Tomorrow High: X-prev Lowest price

Tomorrow's lowest Price: X-Prev High price

Tomorrow upward price tolerance : Open tomorrow +15% true volatility yesterday

Tomorrow's price tolerance : Open Tomorrow-15% true volatility yesterday

The next day the price specific situation and forecast relative relationship:

1) The open price above or below the forecasted high or low price, proves that the market supply and demand has changed, then the stock price will follow the breakthrough direction of movement

2) When the opening price is between the forecast highs and lows, and the downside pricing tolerances are discussed before the price is forecasted, the market may be close to the forecast high and low points

3) The market trades above the forecast highs, and the market is above the forecast highs before the price is forecasted between the high and low points and the forecast lows and downside price tolerances

4) The opening price is between the forecast highs and lows, moving above the upstream tolerance before the lows exceed the forecast lows, and the market is closed between the highs and lows.

5) The opening price is between the forecast highs and lows, below the forecast lows and before the upstream tolerance, and the market is closed below the low point.

Summary: The price wants to break the high and low points, must not touch the counter-direction forecast point and the tolerance before the breakthrough

2) Amplitude expansion breakout

The amplitude forecast is to forecast the next day's high and low points through the price of the day, the amplitude expansion breakthrough through the stock price in the previous two days of the trend and the day's open price forecast the trend of the day, is to continue to maintain trends and then trend failure or rebound

First calculate the true amplitude of the previous day, multiplied by 0.382 or 0.618, and reduced to today's open price

Marker believes that if today's trend is likely to reverse the trend of the previous day, the trend will rebound;

3) TD Channel

Reverse adjustment of the response may occur when the K-line touches the upper or lower track of the channel

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TD Amplitude prediction, amplitude expansion breakout, TD channel