If the real estate market is changing, the price of the entire real estate market has not declined as a whole and there is no turning point in house prices. The Bureau of Statistics said that the price of the whole house fell by 3% in the previous month, in addition, with the continuity of macro policies, the trend of falling house prices is becoming more and more obvious and the inflection point appears. The media has also contributed to the problem: inflection point, inflection point, or inflection point. People who care about the real estate market and who like to read Real Estate blogs will be fooled by people around the world if they do not have their own opinions and have no independent judgment, if you are not careful, your thoughts will be "confused" by the turning point of house price.
Shu benhua believes: "When we study, we are replaced by others. We just repeat the process of his ideological activities, just like when children start to learn, use a pen to draw a gourd like a pencil. Our ideological activities are largely exempted from reading books. Therefore, it is easy for us to read books without thinking about them. However, when we read books, our minds actually become the sports ground for others' thoughts. As a result, even if you study more Or immerse yourself in the whole day, although you can rest your mind, his thinking ability will gradually be lost. It is like riding a horse often cannot walk, the same principle."
Who will be easily fooled? Who will be fooled by the current price inflection point? I think there are about the following six types of people:
I. independent thinker with neither theory nor market research
They are purely a group of people who look at the excitement, and who like the house price most to talk about things. They boast that they have studied the real estate market. In fact, they have been studied by others. This group of people like to start from the characteristics of individual markets, gradually exaggerated, forming a complaint. Give them a wooden gun, and they will be able to lay down the entire United States. Bullish bearish views, neither theoretical nor actual market research support. Yi Xianrong said that the house price inflection point is now and he is convinced that Ren Zhiqiang said that the inflection point did not appear and he immediately turned.
Second, buyers who are pursuing the lowest price limit
They are real home buyers in the real estate market. However, they are a group of people who are difficult to buy a house. They want to pursue the lowest price limit, but they cannot independently judge, nor have a good mentality to study the relative limit of the lowest price in the real estate market. They saw the mainstream media saying that the turning point is now, and they are full of expectation immediately. Once the market shows a slight increase in house prices, they hate why they didn't buy at a low price. His mind lingers in expectation and hate, and eventually finds that he misses the relatively lowest house price point again and again.
3. Greedy and stingy developers
During this period of change, they both wanted to raise their house prices to the limit and were afraid they could not sell them. It is like spending money to promote and engage in some large-scale activities, but also afraid of waste. Both want to cover the disk, but also afraid that the real estate can not get back to the funds. He was greedy and stingy. He did not do market research, and he could not predict the market in the short term or long term. He was always a cloud and eventually fooled by the turning point.
4. No experts in market practice and market research
These experts have a certain economic theoretical basis, but have never experienced real estate market practices. They do not know some market theories common to the world economy, we are helpless in the face of socialism with Chinese characteristics. As soon as they see some one-sided news reports, they use the market theory. Because the characteristics of the market are different every day, they will gradually turn around the house price, no turning.
5. Speculators who refuse to stop
Property prices in Shenzhen fell in the early stage, causing many speculators to be stuck. Many people think that the reason why speculators can make money is that there are internal messages, Internal messages can make them earn a steady profit, but the real estate market is not the stock market. He has both the burstable stock market and the continuity and long-term nature of the policy. Many well-established speculators do not believe that there is a turning point, and they are sincerely afraid of falling house prices. They cannot predict the long-term trend of house prices, so that they are not willing to give up. So once the house price shows signs of falling, I hate that I cannot make decisions early, and once the house price rises, I feel that spring is coming.
6. Media of good deeds
When it comes to the media, it cannot blame the media, because the media needs this inflection point to be hyped. Recently, the media has been reporting the inflection point of housing prices, and few have clearly expressed their opinions. Not impossible, but not. They only have two sides at the inflection point. Once the inflection point exists, the inflection point is the opinion of the media. Once the viewpoint of house price without inflection point exists, the media will publicize the mainstream viewpoint without inflection point.
We always say that everyone should have their own ideas and judgments, but most people's ideas will still be "kidnapped" by the so-called ideas of experts, scholars and mainstream media ". "Fundamentally speaking, only independent thinking can truly have truth and life. Because only they are what we learn over and over again. The idea of others is like adding a piece of cake on others' desks, just like a shirt moved by a stranger ." In fact, not everyone's inflection point is right. The key is that you have to think for yourself, and you have to strengthen your judgment. This is correct.
Transferred from Zhu Daming's personal space