Do you often meet such a thing when investing in the stock market? Look at the rise of a good stock, a buy on the fall; Looking at other people's stock is very good, his stock is not up, and finally reluctantly, but a sell on the rise. If you often have this situation, this article will undoubtedly benefit you for life.
Soldiers, national events, the Land of death, the survival of the road, it is not to be observed.
War is a national event, related to the life and death of the people, related to the survival of the country, have to seriously think, study, observation.
Stock investment has two ways of profiting, one is to earn the company's business development and growth of money, the other is to make the market game money. However, trading in the market will inevitably be involved in the market game.
Some people may think that the value of investment is always earning the company's money, but the truth is that value investors will also earn money in the market game. Mr Buffett, who has the highest prestige in today's value investment, is "greedy when others are fearful, fearful when others are greedy".
One of these greed a fear, in fact this is standing on the opposite side of the masses of human nature to participate in the market game, but it is important that this game is based on the large probability of the company's correct long-term value of judgment on the basis.
As a member of the market participation, buy and sell to the corresponding transaction will form a short-term hand, thus forming a game between the two sides. In such a life and death, in order to live better and longer in the stock market, it is necessary to learn more about the tactics of the other side, is so-called Baizhanbudai, so must be observed.
The soldiers, the paradox is also. Therefore can not be shown, with the use of the show, near and shown far, far and near. The lure of the good, the chaos and take it, the real and prepared, strong and avoid, anger and scratching, humble and arrogant, the lost and labor, pro and away. Attack it without preparation, surprise. The victory of this military is not a first pass.
Troops is a kind of deceitful behavior. So, can fight, pretend do not play, to fight, pretend do not fight. To the near, to the distance, to the distance, pretending to be near. Give the enemy a little profit, seduce it, force the enemy into chaos, and take it.
If the enemy is full of strength, it must be guarded against it; Provoke the enemy with a provocative approach, make them lose their senses, express their weakness in humble words, and make the enemy proud.
The enemy has a good rest, to stir it up, to make it tired, and to try to alienate it from the enemy's inner peace. Attacking the enemy's non-prepared place, to the enemy's unexpected actions, this is the subtlety of the military strategist command, can not be rigid provisions in advance.
The main market, such as troops war, the main force to reach the low-level suction, high-level distribution of the target, will be a way to fool retail investors, let retail in the floor cut meat, high-altitude tray, resulting in retail sales on the rise, bought on the fall. Its form is changeable, the means is strange. But in any case change, its essence is contained in eight words: use of human nature;
They always release the bad news when they want to suck up, break the support level, the bottom of the struggling to hit the plate short share price, so we often find that many stocks before the bottom will appear bearish and accompanied by a wave of panic rapid decline;
When you want to get a high-level distribution always appear in the most attractive rapid lifting, and accompanied by a variety of good candy. Keep giving the retail crowd a handicap so that you do the wrong deal in the direction it is intended to be.
We give examples:
002643 Yantai Valiant: The company's share price fell in June 2013 after the peak of 17.91, until the night of April 16, 2014, the company's first-quarter net profit fell 45% announcements, and the semi-annual report to make a drop of 20%-50% of the forecast, April 17 volume jump low open, the lowest decline of 8%, The closing decline was more than 7%,
Endure long-term decline of the retail investors suddenly met such a big bad, in addition to see this volume jump air crash, heart basically will collapse, obediently hand over chips.
Later stock prices continue to fall 13.5% after stabilizing, soon after a bulletin revealed that this is a conspiracy, May 25 night Company announced the suspension of planning non-public offering of stock plans, the company large shareholder China Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection group subscription not less than 30% of the shares above 35%, the IPO price of not less than 9.3 yuan, raising investment gold 1 billion yuan.
The prices of non-public shares under the regulations of the SFC shall not be less than 90% of the average price of the company's shares 20 days prior to the board resolution announcement. Is it a coincidence that we look closely at the company's performance decline and announce that it has just 25 trading days?
This suddenly, large shareholder participation in the largest share of the subscription, if want to pull out the least money, to obtain the most shares, to encroach on other investors profit, it is necessary to let the price lower the better, the best way to suppress the share price is to release a major bad, and joint market forces short share price.
Then the main opportunity to low-level suction, the company shares in the low-level suspension announced the direction of additional shares, large shareholders smooth low with the least paid to obtain the largest share, empty small investors.
We look at the company behind the trend:
Look, the use of the SFC set the time difference, bad after the low stock price planning orientation. (In fact, long-planned, deliberately, such as the suppression of the stock price after 20 trading days after the election time to publish it) fully embodies the market paradox!
Similarly, I invested in the Aetna technology to use this method to successfully capture before the suspension, can pay attention to my $ bottom dilemma reversal (ZH095857) $ combination, before the suspension I have several public hints that the company may through the SOE reform, asset injection, suspension restructuring to realize the dilemma reversal.
The company is the National Steel Research Group Holdings, initially seized this stock is also because the company December 5, 2014 suddenly announced major performance pre-deficit announcement, the company involved in state-owned enterprises reform, restructuring mergers and acquisitions, rare earth permanent magnets, biomedical materials, medical surgical stent, aerospace military (some products for the Shenzhou series spacecraft, Chang ' e 3rd), Solar energy, Sapphire, hydrogen energy lithium battery, led molybdenum ore, contract energy, 3D printing materials, new materials and many other concepts.
I found the reason is that the company large-scale product prices and also large-scale depreciation of fixed assets, why suddenly so large-scale, but also large-scale product prices and fixed assets depreciation?
This made me skeptical, and then I analyzed the fundamentals and found that after 14 years of significant losses, several potential new projects were launched in 15, thus laying the groundwork for reversal. Then carefully re-disk to observe the company's stock price trend in the past year, the main capital operation changes, found that there is money has been quietly suction.
December 8, 2014 opened in bad after the low jump, and did not find the main mechanism to sell the second day decisive re-buy, and then 27 days after the Antai science and technology announcement of major matters suspended.
At the same time, in addition to major issues, the company also announced a contribution of 100 million in the Shanghai FTZ Investment Ventures, and with several other companies to invest in a Palladium film company. Is all this time a coincidence? Soldiers, the paradox is also!
The question is, how can we not be fooled by the main hand over the cheap chips and high-level tray?
1. To have a reverse thinking, when the company's stock price strange trend may wish to think from the opposite direction.
2. Try to obtain official information, do not listen to the trail information, and sometimes even the official news should be carefully weighed.
3. Overcoming psychological fears and rationally looking at corporate values and market conditions.
4. The story can be said, but don't believe it. Although the story is good, we can enjoy the story-telling process, but don't let your heart believe the distant story.
5. Long-term sharp decline after the good we may wish to believe a letter, long-term sharp decline after the bad we may wish to think, will not be bad out of it?
6. After a long period of significant gains we may as well calm down, think this is the last lunch? The main force is often high-level loans to distribute.
7. Bad does not fall is positive.
8. Good does not rise is bad.
From the technical point of view, we should pay attention to the following two problems:
I. Avoid a buy and fall do not operate the following stocks:
1, to avoid the operation of the previous high-rise varieties, because the operation of such varieties, novice prone to make large directional errors, the greatest harm. Concrete how to see, open candlestick trend, observe the trend of stock from what price start, experience how long time ... It takes a bigger picture to do stock, not to be limited to a certain interval. The stock that rises too big, novice don't nostalgia and greedy again! Directionality of error, I dare not commit!
2, short-term gains too fast, the stock price off the 5th average, high above, between the moving average and the price form a great space, short-term do not buy, a buy will face short-term callback!
3, short-term gains too fast, the price of the rapid rise of the 5th moving averages fast, 5th and 10th between the moving averages formed a large open area, at this time to buy, will also occur a buying on the phenomenon of falling.
4, the stock began to go down the channel, after reaching a certain decline, in a certain price range began to consolidate, do not think the stock price fell to the end, is often down the trunk just!
5, the stock is in the descending channel, the moving average layer suppresses the stock price downward, such stock, do not assume that will not fall again, a lot of stocks in the rise before often the main force will come to an energy vent, a short period of rapid collapse, kill the last floating chips! So don't touch the stock!
Two. Avoid a sell up do not operate the following stocks:
1, a stock experienced long-term continuous decline, the share price shows, many from several resistance, but all have no work and return, and in the volume began to show signs of continuous amplification, such stocks do not easily throw, rebound market brewing, at any time may erupt. A single spark can be a prairie fire.
2, the stock trend is stable, the price is firmly attached to the 5th, 10th, the average increase, the price with moderate, do not assume that the stock is not moving, at this time should be patient shareholding, so that the full increase in profits.
3, the stock is in the upward channel, the stock rises to a certain extent, appears in the relative high level sideways arrangement posture, many people think the stock price peaked, will rush to throw, actually only is the technical form repair, often will form the rise trunk!
4, the stock short-term decline fierce, the price away from the moving average repression, the middle has formed a relatively large kongkuo, at this time although the form is very bad, but to endure, technology will appear at any time rebound. Do not drop down and kill!
5, the long-term decline in stocks, the recent collapse, there is no need to fear, stock rise precursor! Do not throw!
6, the market plunged, all the stocks appear irrational sharp fall, at this time do not rush to throw stocks, more can not irrational panic throw all stocks, unless those technically high-level stocks can be another matter! That's what most stocks are facing today!
Why do stocks fall as soon as they are bought? Finally found the answer!