For more than 10 years, a nightmare lingering in the minds of m$ executives has been that one day, perhaps the browser will replace Windows,windows itself will no longer matter. No one really needs windows anymore, they just need a browser.
When Netscape's browser first supported Java applets more than 10 years ago, there were prophets who said a new era was about to begin, and in this new era all applications were built on browsers and Windows was no longer important. M$ felt a huge threat, using all their power to take all sorts of legal and illegal means, including free downloads, operating system bundles, and so on, which took about 3 years to wipe out Netscape, the newly-emerging Terminator candidate. There is no way, Netscape actually does not have a reliable profit model, spell bleeding is completely m$.
10 years on, the era of SaaS is on the verge of coming. In the future of SaaS, most packaged software is likely to turn to online services. What is the meaning of the iphone? Fanke that the big point is that it opens up a broad market for SaaS, and I totally agree with that, and a recent article in Infoq also expressed the same view.
SaaS could get a unexpected boost from the IPhone
For now, iphone apps are almost entirely browser-based, with the core of Safari's engine, widgets based on DHTML, and full support for mobile Ajax. If half of the people in the future use mobile smart devices like the iphone to surf the internet, who will care Windows. What is Windows? Oh, you mean the kind of operating system my grandmother used?
Browsers grow into a powerful development platform that is entirely in the interest of companies such as Apple and Google, so they will try to push this trend back into reality. Google launched a period of time before the offline storage plug-in is the first wave of action.
However, most applications are built based on browsers and are completely incompatible with the interests of m$. On the contrary, the threat to them is very large. Because browsers are already completely standardised, it is unlikely that they will provoke a new browser war by offering unique functionality, and that this would attract untold notoriety and even further reduce IE's market share (now down to 78% per cent). So IE is now no longer the core interest of m$, which is the biggest reason for the slow development of IE these years. Not m$, but browsers must be compatible with Web standards, they can play the flower head is not much, not free to set the rules of the game.
What is the m$ 's response? By promoting their RIA technology, they want future developers to forget about browsers, completely based on WPF and XAML, and do not need to differentiate between desktop applications or Web apps, so they are free to make rules about the game. Silverlight is just a decoy for the browser developer. If most developers in the future are based on wpf/silverlight, they will still be unable to get rid of the windows,m$ still dominate the desktop, thereby expanding the market share on the server side.
Hey, the flow of the wind, so that m$ executives fear of the nightmare back again. This time the opponents are not like Netscape just debut of the little head, all are old Chi Pe characters, deep pockets. Bleeding is almost impossible because they all have a very reliable profit model.
So, the game we see in the next few years is mainly about the topic: Windows replaces the browser or the browser replaces Windows.
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