12 international relations experts say Twelve-Five

Editor's note to make the "Twelve-Five" planning more comprehensive science, the National Development and Reform Commission and the China Economic Network launched the "International Relations experts Twelve-Five" series of activities, the China Economic Network International department, including the Development and Reform Commission, the Academy of Social Sciences, the Chinese Academy of Sciences and other 12 experts, on their China's foreign affairs, Trade and other areas of thought,　　For the next five years China's development suggestions. Wangbo Twelve-Five: A new round of international order reshuffle China should be more as a ph. D. In China's Foreign Affairs Institute, Professor Wangbo said that in the next five years, the international power structure will continue to change profoundly, the relative decline of superpowers, the rise of emerging developing countries.　　The international political and economic order is facing a new round of shuffling. In the next five years, as China's voice in international affairs is further improved, China should adjust China's position in the international system in time, and China's diplomacy can make a difference.　　In this process, we should avoid to belittle ourselves, to position China as a backward developing country, to take an active part in international system construction, to assume the international responsibility in line with our national strength, and to strive for and safeguard our national interests within the framework of international system. Resolving the DPRK nuclear issue as soon as possible will help to improve China's position in the East Asian security Cooperation mechanism. The protracted nuclear issue has seriously affected China's prestige in the Asia-Pacific region. China should resolutely oppose the use of the so-called special relationship with China by individual parties to achieve their internal political needs through continuous manufacturing of regional crises.　　China should cherish the six-party talks mechanism as a platform for regional security cooperation and dialogue, and should not only address the DPRK nuclear issue. Chen Xikang Jian Yan Twelve-Five: internal and external factors are expected to increase the price of Chinese food every year 4%--5% Chen Xikang, deputy director of the Academic committee of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Predictive Scientific Research Center, predicts that in the coming years, China's food prices will rise by about 4%-5% per annum, in the context of rising labour costs and tight　　Preliminary estimate of the next year, China's grain production is expected to increase slightly, to about 1.1 trillion kg, to achieve eight consecutive years of production. Chen Xikang that the key to increase farmers ' enthusiasm for grain production and achieve stable yield is to increase the yield of grain. First, the Government should strengthen its support for farmers, especially food cultivation. It is suggested that our country should increase the subsidy to the grain farmers on the basis of the present situation. Second, a moderate increase in food acquisition prices. Because of the small proportion of economic crops, food income is the main source of income of farmers. Third, it is suggested that the State should strengthen the supply of agricultural means of production such as fertilizer, ensure quantity, improve quality, and control the rise of agricultural price moderately, so as to ensure that the net income that farmers get from the grain is greatly improved every year.　　Finally, the most important measure to increase farmers ' enthusiasm for grain-planting is to improve the urbanization rate, reduce the number of grain farmers, and gradually implement agricultural scale management, thus increasing the per capita income of farmers. Zhang Ming Jian Yan Twelve-Five: RMB internationalization and exchange rate reform supplement Doctor Zhang Ming of the Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social SciencesShows that the renminbi will face greater upward pressure in the future, while Chinese exports will face more trade frictions, as developed country governments try to improve their trade balance by weakening their currencies and import restrictions to boost economic growth. In terms of the internal environment, the Chinese government has the incentive to curb imported inflation by appreciating the renminbi in order to curb the import inflationary pressures of the Chinese economy from rising prices for international energy, food, metals and other commodities.　　If there is no accident, the renminbi may appreciate about 5% against the dollar next year.　　At the same time, the internationalization of RMB will push the RMB exchange rate mechanism reform objectively. Jianguo Twelve-Five: The upgrading of industrial structure should be aimed at the quality and efficiency of the Ministry of Commerce, President of the Institute of International Trade and Economic Cooperation Jianguo said that during the 35 period, China's industrial structure upgrading should be based on quality and efficiency as the core content. China should gradually move towards high value-added industries and enter the high-end manufacturing sector.　　China should avoid excessive pursuit of scale, growth rate, but to improve quality and improve efficiency as the main goal, through product deep processing, access to product circulation and marketing network, to do a full product value chain. Among them, the government's policy guidance is very important to our country to realize the industrial structure upgrade.　　The government should make the arrangement which is advantageous to the transformation of the industrial structure in the aspects of concept and economic development, such as giving the corresponding rewards to the enterprises which do the research and development and the results, and giving discount loan support to the enterprises that invest the high value-added products. Zhang Jian Yan Twelve-Five: Expand domestic demand at the same time can not lose external demand national development and Reform Commission foreign Economic Research Institute director Zhang said the central Economic Work Conference first mentioned "insist on both export and import, absorbing foreign capital and foreign investment," means that our country will maintain the stability and continuity of foreign economic policy.　　But it should be noted that China's economy in expanding domestic demand at the same time can not lose external demand, encourage enterprises to go out while still pay attention to the introduction of foreign investment. Zhang pointed out that those who can make the export to do a good job, most of them are innovative and open up the international market capacity of enterprises, so we should cherish this hard-won export market, not by pressing exports to reduce the trade surplus. "At the same time, the so-called expansion of imports, is to enhance the import of our country to adjust the structure, transfer mode, promote the role of reform." From the experience of South Korea, its technology transfer mainly has three sources, one is the technology trade, the other is import, the third is FDI, that is to attract investment. South Korea's 90%, or even 95%, of its technology transfer proceeds from imports. "Wang Shouyang Jian Yan Twelve-Five: Our country changes the mode of foreign trade growth has reached the expected goal" the Chinese Academy of Sciences Prediction Research Center (hereinafter referred to as Chinese Academy of Sciences Prediction Center) Director Wangshouyang said, with High-tech products, mechanical and electrical products exports of steady growth, China's transformation of foreign trade growth has reached the expected　　China's first few major trading partners accounted for the proportion of our trade is still very large, in the short term it is difficult to adjust. The Ministry of Commerce data shows that China's industrial exports accounted for the total export share has reached 94.9%, of which electromechanical products, High-tech products accounted for 59.2% and 31.2% respectively.　　However, China's first few major trading partners accounted for the proportion of China's trade is still very large, the European, American and Japanese imports and exports of the three major trading partners accounted for the total proportion of China's imports and exports of about 39.2%. Taller Twelve-Five: There is a broad prospect of cooperation between China and Europe without fundamental conflict of interest Cufe, deputy director of the Department of International Politics at the government School of Management, said that from the point of view of China's rising international status, restructuring of the domestic economy and adjustment of the government team, Chinese diplomacy is in the transition period, while China's　　, adaptive changes may occur. China and Europe are important trading partners and there is no fundamental conflict of interest between China and Europe in the foreseeable future, and there is a bright future for bilateral relations.　　However, in the future, China-EU relations will continue to develop in a stable and complicated and diversified trend, and sudden events may have important influence on bilateral relations. The development of China and EU countries is different, which determines the composition of trade goods and the main flow of import and export volume. For a long period of time, the basic characteristics of China-EU trade structure are still labor-intensive, low-value-added products, while Europe dominates technology-intensive and high value-added products.　　China's trade deficit with Europe will have a negative impact on Sino-EU relations, but in general it is still manageable, as long as China is properly handled, the United States and Europe will not be able to suppress China. Yu Xiang Jian Yan Twelve-Five: Europe and the United States to deal with China's situation will be more obvious research Fellow of the Chinese Institute of Modern International Relations Dr. Yu Xiang said that with China's rapid rise and world influence, the United States and Europe to strengthen coordination on China Affairs will be more obvious.　　There are a number of examples to show that Europe and the United States in the treatment of China-related issues, such as the issue of rare earths, the renminbi exchange rate, on the non-policy issues, mutual coordination has strengthened. But in view of China's economic strength and unique international influence, the future of Central Europe will be a "competitive and cooperative, cooperation-oriented" relationship. Yu Xiang said that there is a lot of cooperation between China and European countries in the field of economic and trade, such as Green, High-tech, aerospace and other areas of cooperation prospects are very broad, this is an opportunity for both sides. What is most needed now is for the two sides to increase their trust, dispel doubts and strengthen cooperation. "Chuibin Jian Yan Twelve-Five: China is not the former Soviet Union of the United States to print China difficult to win the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, the Russian Eurasian Institute, Dr. Chuibin that this year the U.S. Obama administration's high-profile return to Asia, not only strengthened the alliance with Japan, South Korea, and India has visited to support India.　　America's actions in Asia clearly contain China's intentions, and the United States is now strengthening and refining its own "island chain", which has formed a strategic clamp on China, which amply demonstrates the cold war mentality of the United States. But China is not the former Soviet Union, and the practice of the former Soviet Union is very different, the United States did not see these differences, blindly regard China as aThe next communist opponent, this is very unwise, because in the maintenance of the international financial order, the fight against international terrorism, the prevention of nuclear weapons proliferation, the maintenance of stability on the Korean peninsula, and many other global issues and regional issues, China and the United States have parallel interests.　　China and the United States have often formed a bilateral relationship with a proud and a loss. Benjamin Jian Yan Twelve-Five: Asia Peace and stability China and the United States have the same interest demand the U.S. experts in the American Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Benjamin that the increased U.S. focus on Asia has generally had a negative impact on China's diplomatic environment, with the US interfering with territorial disputes between China and neighboring countries, The joint efforts of China's neighboring countries to exert economic and trade pressure have made a great impact on China's peaceful development. But it should also be seen that, in maintaining peace and stability in Asia, the United States and China share the same interest and demand, and the US's demand for China to solve problems in Asia and elsewhere is rising, and he will not unduly harm China's interests;　　So there's no need to worry about America's actions. And the United States and India, in fact, is just a mutual leverage, to some extent, to increase China's South Asian diplomatic difficulties. But it should be seen that India is not an ally of the United States, also affected by Russia, India is also a lot of American discontent, India and the United States to cooperate with the main purpose is to obtain real interests, as the leader of the non-aligned group, he will not establish a formal alliance with the United States, India is a jealous and worried about China is a psychological,　　The use and prevention of the United States is also different, coupled with India is now only a regional power, its international status by the United States-led international media hype but did not reach the same level, so the so-called joint pressure is limited. Gu Jing Twelve-Five: China's revival should be organically combined with the construction of East Asian institution postdoctoral Gu Jing said that the future of the Asia-Pacific region's most far-reaching impact on China, the most significant event is the development of East Asian regional system, namely, the East Asian region political, economic and security cooperation mechanism of shaping process.　　The revival and integration of East Asia is one of the main driving forces driving the transformation of the international architecture in the post-cold-war era, and China's revival is a core element of the process, and to some extent they are mutually reinforcing and interdependent. At present, the system construction of East Asia is in the key period of progressive to the substantive stage, the construction of "10+3" free trade zone and the construction of trilateral cooperation system between China, Japan and Korea are the main tasks facing the key period.　　How to combine the system construction of East Asia with the revival and unification of China, and form a compatible symbiosis and mutual benefit, is the long-term priority of China's diplomacy in the Asia-Pacific region. Li Yu Tian Jian Twelve-Five: The cultivation of talents in Chinese culture industry no delay. Professor Li Yu, director of Art and Media, Beijing Normal University, said that compared with the United States, Japan and South Korea, China's cultural industry gap is obvious, there is a great space for development. Take the film as an example, the output value of Chinese film is only aboutOne-tenth of the United States. According to the U.S. BoxOfficeMojo Web site statistics, 2010 Hollywood films so far in the United States has 10.3 billion of dollars in box-office revenue.　　By contrast, although China 2010 was a bumper film year, it only earned 10 billion yuan (about 1.6 billion dollars), and only 60% of it came from China's own films, about 1 billion dollars. To realize the strategic goal of "Twelve-Five" planning to cultivate the cultural industry as the pillar industry, people are the most critical factor. China's talent training has its own special system, but the existence of outdated theory, seriously divorced from the actual, students do not have the ability to do very badly. And for the emerging culture industry, the talent training system has not been established, although all over the establishment of some schools, opened a related professional, but all of them, lack of national level of the overall development perspective.