2013 the first half of the Internet field five big predictions

These predictions come from the Internet's current bosses, all of which are now the hottest industries: Electric dealers, group buying, search, mobile interconnection. Today's strongest companies: Alibaba, the United States Regiment, 360 Tencent Sina Beijing East.

Horse billion Dollar bet

December 12, 2012, 2012, "CCTV China Economic figures" conference, with the winners of Ma Yun and Wanda Group Wang set up the billion-dollar gamble: 10 years later, if the electricity business in China's retail market share of 50%, I give him a billion, if not to his return me a

Billion。 This is the huge repercussions of the billion king of the game.

Interpretation：

Horse cloud Its people, do not need to speak, madman, madman, genius, all the extreme adjectives can be placed on him. Wang, the representative of the real economy, the founder of Wanda Group, a two-person gamble, is recognized as a duel to two business models, the result of which, in 2020, electricity

It will take time to prove the majority of the business, but it would be conceited to say that it is basically a substitute for retailing.

In the last 05 years, Ma Yun said Ali every day tax 1 million, the result caused widespread concern in various fields, and in fact, the first 20 companies in Zhejiang Province did not appear in the name of Ali, and the 20th name of the Na Rui amount but 100 million, if Ali really Japanese tax million,

That year should be taxed 300 million before normal, the fact of the year, it is not important, it is important that Ali gained the attention of space and visibility, in the near future, the goal of no suspense to achieve.

Through similar things, you can see Ma Yun's thinking, refers to East dozen West, coupled with their own legendary experience, every move can bring great influence. The king of the gambling, the more important purpose is not ultimately whether the electricity quotient more than 50%, but to more small and medium enterprises thorn

Shock and confidence, the emergence of this gamble, may be able to speed up the pace of enterprise electronic Business, this is Ma Yun really want the results.

Just like a father expects the child to test 90 points, will say to him: if you test 100 points, I take you to Disney play, the child desperately efforts, the result got 95 points, although the surface did not meet the target, but the purpose has been achieved.

The law depends on it.

Two, the United States regiment three years 100 billion

February 23, 2013, Wang in the United States Group net annual meeting said in 2015, the United States Regiment revenue will exceed 100 billion. ' If we split the 100 billion a little bit, we'll see that as long as we have successfully completed our target of 18.8 billion this year, the next 2014, 2015, Wang said.

, the average annual growth of 140%, that is 2.4 times times per year, to achieve a successful completion of the target of 100 billion by 2015.

Interpretation：

Wang is a typical serial entrepreneur, with many new concepts introduced. From the school to the meal no, and then to the United States, the first two vigorous, but the end for different reasons, this time, finally in the Deus, get a temporary respite. In response to the Chinese saying:

When I said you were fat, you were out of breath.

2012, the United States regiment turnover of 5.5 billion, as to how to get the 2015 100 billion results? The answer is calculated by formula. Because of the 2010 to 20,123 years of rapid growth, let the United States to arrive at the beginning of the primary five will be the multiplication formula.
Any new business model will experience a period of eruption, growth, stability, transition or recession. Group buying experienced the first three years of the outbreak and shuffle, began to return to rationality, into the normal growth period, the different stages of the growth rate is different, at some stage, or even stop

is progress.

Like a person, from 0 years old to 10 years old can grow to 1.2, do you expect TA to 20 years old to 2.4 meters?

Wang's practice, the reason may have two: first, gives oneself the team confidence, gives the investor confidence. Second, he really discovered the unknown law, with the United States to uncover the truth of history, but some boletus.

Three, 3,603 years 40% share

February 27, 2013, the 360 President Xiangdong today for the first time disclosed 360 search future market share target, 360 search in the next three years the annual market share target growth of 10%, 2013 to 20%, 2014 30%, 2015 years more than 40%.

Interpretation：

This does not require any interpretation, wild Zhou Hongwei do not need to explain. Over the years, he himself is the best marketing tool, Flap, the quartet is in mourning. such as antivirus free, such as the previous war. All became the story of the Internet.
About search, this is not unfamiliar industry for 360, think that year, 3721 popular, Baidu or younger brother, or even the last 3721 when the valuation of 120 million, Baidu is only 150 million, and now, 3721 is dead, and Baidu early became Bai company. This is no longer the old week

Said the 1 billion dollar lesson, rose to tens of billions of dollars, so that 360 of the search dream can be understood.

But, always come back to reality.

August 16, 2012, 360 launched a search, within a week to win 10% of the share of the second largest domestic search, causing the industry a great deal of unease. In a relatively stable market share of the search market, this is indeed a terrible speed. If you press the Wang algorithm,

One year, Baidu was wiped out. In fact, the browser's share is relatively stable, 360 is only a switch to the entrance, China's ordinary users of the search for brand loyalty is very low, with no matter who, so the entrance to the world. This is also Baidu acquisition

One of the reasons for hao123. Now, 360 of the browser's share of the portal has basically been converted. The next step, if you want to increase the share, you need to mano.

Although, 360 this half year movement frequently, non-stop alliances, dozen Baidu Medicine, and immediately pushes the medicine. That is to clean, and quickly layout agent market. Know, Wikipedia, such as Baidu's fist products are also a fast online. All kinds of signs give people the feeling is: 360 to

Recreate the search.

In fact, Baidu can be in China's search market for all these years, not vegetarian. Even if not like Tencent in the IM market absolute monopoly. But at least it will be like Ali occupy more than half of the Jiangshan. Baidu share will retreat, but not defeated, 360 will enter, but not to

accounted for 40%.

Optimistic that, three years later 360 of the search share as long as can account for 25%, already is quite good, as for 40%, may not be 35 years of things.

Unless Baidu exits China.

Micro-blog and micro-letter has been moved tickets

At the beginning of 2013, the mobile ticket of the said began to become popular, the major companies want to occupy the first, which generally recognized Sina Weibo and Tencent's micro-letter has been the mobile Internet ticket.

Interpretation：

There is no doubt that mobile interconnection is the 2012 most fire word, the major giants are in the layout of their mobile end, as in the same year, no one fell.

Social, life, electrical, entertainment, and all kinds of overnight fame app apps are all about flowering, but no one has been turned around. Single from the user volume, broken billion, but 10.

Weibo is the lifeline of Sina Now, micro-letter is Teng Xin internationalization of the main push products. Many companies also regard mobile as their future, moving is good, but the bubble is big, and so on the rupture of the day, a few happy several worries?

In essence, these products have changed people's lives far less than bat any one, and these three giants are not the first to come out on the full house applause, smooth sailing. Different times and circumstances will create different opportunities, I believe that mobile internet in the future will have the act, but not

will be infinitely large to replace the PC interconnection situation. The most popular microblogging and micro-letters are social tools and media, and the reason they are so focused is the hype behind the giant's resource support and industry commentators, with the aim of bringing users ' advertising potential from traditional media

Kidnapping to their new media platform, it will not give users a fundamental change in the life, but only to obtain information from the changes and the convenience of upgrading it, from the change in terms of intensity, far less than QQ. If you put the same focus on any industry that is not too bad,

can also cause such a fiery degree.

At the beginning of the comedy, we can't guarantee it's not a sad ending, and 8848 of the ups and downs illustrate all this.

The end of group buying is: The special case of the giant, except Ali, other big group buy not a live decent.

Will the future of the mobile market repeat itself?

Five, the Beijing-east unification of the rivers

February 16, 2013, Jingdong Mall confirmed the completion of a new round of about 700 million U.S. dollars of common equity financing, Jingdong to the current total amount of financing has reached more than 2.3 billion U.S. dollars, the amount of financing has reached a more alarming number, and before all the words of the empty saying sank down,

Claiming that the BoE is the voice of the chorus of many factions have prevailed. One of the more widely circulated "2013, not dead Beijing and east of the end of the war", this is known as Liu think the only write their own three-year course of the article, as if to the world declared: Beijing east to unify the rivers and lakes.

Interpretation：

Beijing's history is indeed full of wolves, unique, is another representative of the electricity business Ali. Now once again financing, short-term should not have life and death rumors, but whether can unified rivers and lakes?

In the field of Business-to-business, Alibaba is a single big, consumer-to-consumer Taobao absolute monopoly position. Business, the cat accounted for more than half of the market share, the second BoE's share in more than 20%, less than the boss, how to unify the lake? Some people say that the sky Cat is an open platform, and Jingdong is not comparable, and the eye

The former Jingdong has also become a proprietary and open platform, and the days of cats do not have much difference in mode. Some people say that the logistics advantage of Jingdong? This is not the main cause of the electrical business, but a service system. And the Sky cat Some, Jingdong did not, is Taobao unparalleled flow support, business

Online advertising Marketing System, this is the Beijing-East can not exceed the barrier, the competition is not fair, although the cat is the second generation of rich, Beijing-east is the typical grassroots entrepreneurship, but, born and unequal, is the reality of this society. Who could not choose the basis, so that either hate

Or scold, the cat in the field of business is an advantage, and merchants also buy accounts, more and more independent and even open to the day of the cat, such as when every guest Amoy stream.

Admittedly, Jingdong is a potential platform, the price of the butcher has also brought a lot of benefits for consumers, since the construction of the logistics system has also brought convenience to consumers, but also let Ali in the monopoly of the electricity quotient to go down the altar, to the subsequent competitors courage and confidence, which also

is its contribution to the industry.

I am very handsome, so I can be the chairman. What kind of logic?

Jing Dong 20,131 River Lake? From where?