30 years from now, China will be aging crisis point: Two Labor to raise an old man

This morning, the "21st Century Forum" held by the CPPCC held the theme "Through the old age insurance system of old age crisis for the elderly Dividend" symposium, the reporter learned from the forum, the 2015 labor force began to decline, the aging population accelerated, until 2039 began to decline,　　In other words, our country's demographic dividend period is coming to an end, and by 2039, there will be less than 2 taxpayers to support 1 pensioners, which is called the "time of the aging society crisis".　　Phenomenon China entered the elder society this morning, Central Social Security Department director Wongforing said that in 2005, China's 1% population survey showed that 65 years old and above the population reached 100.45 million people, accounting for the population of 7.7%.　　According to the United Nations standard of population ageing, the proportion of older persons aged 60 years and above in a country is more than 10% population, or the proportion of older persons aged 65 years and above population the total population is higher than 7%, the country has entered elder society or elder country.　　According to this standard, China is already in the aging stage.　　2015 the labour force began to decline. Yang Yansi, director of the Center for Employment and Social Security research at Tsinghua University School of Public Administration, said in a statement that the labor force in 2015 began to decline and the ageing population accelerated. However, our country is constructing the basic pension policy system covering everyone, but there are still many people without pension, the public goods of old-age security are still absent.　　A fair, long-term, universal, unified, actuarial and sustainable basic pension scheme is urgently needed.　　It is predicted that 2 of the working population will raise 1 old people in the 30 after the old age dependency ratio has risen year by month, starting from around 2039 year by decade, starting from around 2050, up to 45.2% of the highest value, and then the annual decline, to 2,072 years or so and then rise year by month.　　The ratio, starting around 2030, will be no less than 1/4; starting from around 2053, it will be no less than 1/3.　　In 2035, there will be 810 million working population (15-64 years) of 294 million elderly people (over 65 years of age), less than 2 taxpayers will have to support 1 pensioners in the low-income population, which is known as "The Age of Social crisis". Coping with social co-ordination and personal accumulation Yang Yansi pointed out that the pension needs of how much assets, how to raise, need to take a long-term strategic planning.　　First, the need for social co-ordination of "broad coverage, to protect the basic" to overcome the phenomenon of poverty in the elderly; second, the establishment of personal accounts, it is a personal responsibility, market mechanisms and government responsibility of the collection, to help improve the elderly life. Only the scientific combination of the two can build a reasonable and sustainable pension system, emphasizing social co-ordination and raising funds by unreasonable means will inevitably lead to excessive financial burden, endanger the legitimacy of policy and the social cost of policy implementation.Ganggo and unsustainable. China can draw on some other countries ' policies.　　Yang Yansi explained that since the 1980s, based on the problem of population aging and economic globalization, pension policies in various countries have shown the effective combination of government and market, the construction of multi-level system and the pursuit of a reasonable structure of the characteristics.　　Social pension is the first pillar, including social endowment insurance and Government pension subsidy, can be improved by raising the retirement age, contributory years, living life, economic conditions, such as the investigation of the condition of the treatment level.　　Secondly, the institutionalization and marketization of individual accumulation are the second and third pillars, including all kinds of occupational pension and individual endowment savings.　　Encouraging flexible retirement to postpone retirement age for how to cope with the crisis of aging and to turn ageing "dangerous" to "machine", Yang Yansi said, can increase employment and capital accumulation in the way to increase the output per capita of the elderly population. That is, slowly delaying the retirement age, encouraging businesses and workers to retire flexibly, developing jobs for older people, and increasing the incomes of older people. In addition, it can reduce the proportion of labor consumption, increase endowment savings and maintain value. Wen/journalist Laurie