What are the characteristics of good statistics: 81.8% preferred "authentic". Comics: Li Xiaoyi intern Xiangnan Our correspondent Shoshunan not long ago, the National Bureau of Statistics in the "2009 National Economic and Social Development Bulletin," said that in 2009 China's 70 large and medium cities housing sales prices rose 1.5% year-on-year. Subsequently, the National Land Survey and Planning Institute of China's Ministry of Lands and Resources published a study of the city land Price Monitoring Group, the 2009 China's residential average price rose 25.1%. The statistics of the two sectors, "fighting", sparked public debate. Last week, a survey conducted by the China Youth Daily Social Survey Center through the Chinese network of public opinion and Sina (2581 participants) showed that 54.6% of the people said that the current statistics are generally missing the corresponding explanation. And when the statistical aperture is inconsistent, the "lack of explanation" data is not only puzzling, but also easy to cause public misreading. "A lot of data in the release without any explanation and explanation, will inevitably lead to misreading" in the survey, "2009 China's 70 large and medium cities housing sales price rose 1.5% per cent year-on-year," the respondents gave a different version of "interpretation." 39.2% of the people feel that this sentence in the "large and medium-sized cities", refers to municipalities, provincial capitals, prefecture-level cities, 25.6% of people think that "large and medium-sized cities" refers only to municipalities and provincial capitals. 35.6% felt that "houses" included urban and suburban dwellings, while 15.7% per person believed that "housing" meant only urban housing. For the term "year-on-year", 40.6% per cent of the people said it was compared with the price of the same month last year, with 9.6% saying "refers to the price comparison between this month and the previous month". 35.7% said, "I don't quite understand the meaning of this sentence." Wu Bo, an advertising company in Wuhan, planned to have a dream of his own house this year, so he is very concerned about all kinds of house price information. When he saw the "up 1.5%" figure in February this year, he was surprised. "I saw a real estate last month, the price is more than 5,000 yuan a square meter, but this month to pay a deposit, found that prices have soared to approximate 8000 yuan." To this end, Wu Bo looked for a variety of materials, hoping to correctly interpret this sentence. "The original ' year ' refers to a historical comparison of the same period, such as February 2010 and February 2009. And what I feel is actually ' chain ', like February 2010 and January 2010 comparisons. Wu Bo said that the recent one-month real estate prices do have a big change, intuitive feeling is soaring. But January 2010 compared to last January's "year-on-year", in fact, the change is not so big. "Is there Jinhua in 70 large and medium-sized cities nationwide?" Zhejiang Jinhua Citizens Wang, in the view of this data, deliberately through the "Baidu know" post asked this question. Wang that "a lot of data in the release without any explanation and explanation will inevitably lead to misreading." If you leave your life feeling far apart, of course, it will make people feel lack of credibility. "TheSurvey, respondents also ranked the current statistical data on the common problems, in the top three, the distinction is "partial data credibility Not enough" (65.5%), "data collection calculation process opaque" (62.9%) and "only published data, lack of corresponding interpretation" (54.6%). In addition, 47.7% of the people believe that the current statistical data in the lack of audit and post-accountability security mechanisms, 43.1% of the people said that the statistics are often changed, the credibility is not high, 36.5% of the people think that the statistics are not enough public. It is noteworthy that 33.6% of the people think that some data expression is too professional, ordinary people can not understand. "The more often the data is relevant to the hotspot, the more controversial it is." But the first thing to be sure is that not all the data are problematic and we cannot put the blame on the statistics department. Kim, director of the Institute of Statistics and Survey technology, Renmin University of China, said that the data of the Bureau are often provided by local people, and in the current assessment system, local achievements are closely related to these figures. "Although the Statistics Act contains provisions on the supervision of data censorship, these provisions remain in words, ' Who does ' is a big problem. Liugongyan, a graduate student at Chongqing Normal University, believes that we cannot deny the authenticity of data because some of the statistics do not match the experience of some people. "After all, there is asymmetric information between people. Not because of public pressure and deliberately avoid problems, and even create some ' popular data '. Doing so is putting the cart before the horse. "Dissemination of statistical data should be a sense of service for ordinary people." We acknowledge that people's statistical knowledge needs to be improved, but it does not require everyone to have this quality. Hope that the future data for ordinary people, more explanations, do not let the people themselves to guess. "Wang said. Sanling, an employee of a state-owned financial institution in Shaanxi Province, also believes that the statistics should be "clear and understandable" first. "Apart from some overly professional data, the data for the community at large should at least be understood." "What are the characteristics of good statistics?" In this survey, 81.8% of the people preferred "authentic". There are also "full disclosure" (73.1%), "clear Source" (72.2%), "supervised" (71.5%), "clear and understandable" (64.8%), "Independent completion" (41%). Last December, faced with graduation, Liugongyan received a notice from a private company in Beijing, but she was not satisfied with the unit because of "low pay". She bluntly said that her definition of "good work" was "high wages". And the company gives a yearly salary of more than 30,000 yuan, "the average distance from Beijing is too far." She refers to the "average level", which was released last March by the Beijing Bureau of Statistics, "average wage data for workers". The data show that 2008 Beijing employees of the annual average wage is 44715 yuan. Later, Liugongyan's mentor deliberately to talk to her, saying "young people can not blindly care about wages." And when you knowHer reference number was "44715 yuan" when the instructor laughed. The tutor said I was stupid and naïve. He said some statistics would have specific caliber and standards and should not be used as a reference for college students when they are employed. "Liugongyan that the current statistics should have a sense of service for ordinary people," first to let everyone see, and then to meet everyone's life practice and basic judgments. Further refinement, but also in accordance with the region, education, etc. separately. In this way, people's decision-making can produce practical reference value. "In this survey, 55.1% of respondents said they would refer to statistics published by State agencies when investing or spending, 12.5% of whom are important references, and 42.6% say they sometimes refer to them." 22.3% of respondents said it was "not good to say". 22.5% of respondents "never refer".
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