Agriculture experts say China's drought is an exaggerated statistical system problem

Professor Zheng, deputy Dean of the School of Agriculture and Rural Development at Renmin University of China, said the drought problem may have been exaggerated and the Chinese government will not indulge in soaring food prices.　　According to the latest data of the Ministry of Agriculture, as at February 9, eight main production province of winter wheat drought area of 115.95 million mu, a serious drought area of 25.36 million mu, drought area of eight province of winter wheat area 42.4%, drought area continues to expand. "In the long run, it is impossible for the government to make a big rise in food prices and the Middle East has seen a domestic food price boom leading to the government's downfall."　　Zheng said in an interview. Zheng on recent measures to raise the minimum price of rice in China, "the government will subsidize the way to keep the food from rising."　　"Plus these two, farmers to grow food subsidies have reached about 100 acres per mu, there will be a certain stimulus effect."　　Zheng that the problems of China's food statistics system may have exaggerated the drought in the Chinese winter wheat. "North China was also a drought the previous year, the last data released most of the wheat is to increase production." This exposes China's statistical system as problematic.　　Zheng said local officials reported more reports when they reported their achievements in production, and reported more when they were receiving subsidies for the affected areas. "We have contacted a lot of grassroots officials and they are not going to drop the output of the food, basically a pat on the head every year, and a little more on the basis of the previous year is this year's output." So the gradual statistics of the grain data is sure to increase production. "But if there is another way to get the subsidy, they have a few sets of data."　　"Zheng said. 2009 China Winter wheat Drought area of 141 million MU, the Ministry of Agriculture to start drought-resistant first-level response, and estimated winter wheat production 70%-90%. Eventually, statistics released by the Bureau still produce a slight increase.　　As of 2010, statistics released by the Bureau showed that Chinese food production has been increasing for seven consecutive years. Zheng pointed out that last year, drought in southwestern China, Guizhou, the drought is more serious than Yunnan, but the Yunnan government shouted fierce, the central subsidy to more than Guizhou, so the farmers in Guizhou very angry.　　Governments around the world now have a lot of means to grab subsidies. From the severity of the drought this year, the impact of the current drought on wheat is still difficult to estimate, because winter is dormant, with appropriate precipitation can; The key is the filling stage before maturity, so long as there is precipitation guarantee, the wheat harvest is still available.