Analysts say the Dragon Valley will lead the second half of the game.

US Eastern Time July 26 afternoon (Beijing time July 27 morning) news, according to foreign media reports, market researcher Zhangxiaofan today in the U.S. investment website Seeking Alpha published an article that Shanda Games (Nasdaq:game) The latest public test 3D online games "Dragon Valley"　　The second half will bring 26 million dollars in revenue for Shanda Games, boosting the share price of Shanda games and Shanda Networks (Nasdaq:snda). The following is a summary of this article: Shanda game July 22 began to the latest 3D online games "Dragon Valley" for unlimited public testing. According to my tracking research, "Dragon Valley" the highest number of online people (PCU) has more than 400,000, become a sensational game in the Chinese market, more easily than Tencent (Tcehy.　　PK), the "King of the Battlefield", became the most successful online game released so far in 2010.　　In fact, according to the amount of search, "The Valley of the Dragon" has just been released after the people have more than "through the FireWire" and "Dungeon Warriors," the history of the highest human tolerance, this is the Chinese market currently the largest number of players in the two online games. The second half of the game will have a higher share price. Based on the success of the "Dragon Valley" at the beginning of its release, I now predict that the game will bring 11 million dollars and 15 million of dollars of revenue for Shanda games in the third and fourth quarters respectively, thus providing a strong momentum for the net profit of the second half of the Shanda game.　　My research also shows that most Wall Street analysts remain sceptical about the future of the Dragon Valley, fearing that the game could become the next "Eternal Tower", a big drop in the initial success of the 3D online games launched by Shanda in 2009.　　Analysts ' hesitation has led many to predict that the second half of the Shanda game will be very small in profit from "The Valley of the Dragon," which provides ample room for Shanda's performance to exceed investor expectations, so I think both the Grand games and the Grand Internet share price will rise in the second half of the year. I don't think the valley of the Dragon will be the next Tower of Eternity. After the initial release, the game's people bearing down is normal things, but "the Valley of the Dragon" People's tolerance will fall far below the "eternal Tower", there are three reasons: First, "The Valley of the Dragon" adopted a free model, relying on virtual goods to obtain revenue, this model is essentially better to maintain the initial release after the people; The "Tower of Eternity" takes a pay model tend to be at the beginning of the charge of all users showing a significant decline in the trend of human tolerance, and secondly, in the grand game without any large-scale marketing activities, the "Dragon Valley," the highest number of online people have reached 400,000; compared to the "Tower of Eternity" Early success depended heavily on large-scale marketing activities prior to commercialization; third, unlike the Tower of Eternity, the "Dragon Valley" faces a much less competitive pressure from China's most popular 3D game, "World of Warcraft"., this key is the main selling point of "Dragon Valley" is similar to arcade combat control system, and "World of Warcraft" does not have such a system.　　In addition, the "Dragon Valley" business model and the "World of Warcraft" there are significant differences. (Edit Zhang Xing)