Beware of cloud computing becoming the next photovoltaic

According to media reports, the attention of the "China Cloud" industry development national Planning has been approved by the State Council, will be released in the near future. The authority predicts that cloud computing is expected to become the fourth it Industrial revolution after mainframe computers, PCs, and the Internet. The output value of China's cloud computing industry chain will reach 200 billion yuan in the next three years.

However, in the "cloud" of wind and rain, we have to worry that cloud computing will become the next photovoltaic industry, is expected to be infinitely good, the reality of the waist of another model. In particular, cloud computing is a bit different from the PV industry, it has low-cost access characteristics, not like the PV industry must be smashed into tens of millions of to produce something. In a medium-sized provincial capital city, to develop a small and medium-sized cloud computing company, but more than 10 young people plus several servers is enough. Therefore, the cloud industry is likely to appear more ferocious than the photovoltaic industry "swarmed", which we must be vigilant.

At the same time, cloud computing industry planning is still a cliché of "Chinese-style industry development", the criticism is still many. What is the "Chinese-style industry development", I think is the government policy support, the government out of low-cost land allocation, the government out of technical support, government-funded procurement of the typical way. The advantage is that it can rapidly drive the development of the industry and form a strong competitive edge in the international market. But the downside is also obvious, that is, the industry is too dependent on the role of the government, a new business can develop to what extent, how much profit depends on what the government to give its benefits, the market dependence and expectations are relatively small and weak, is not conducive to the long-term healthy development of the industry.

The photovoltaic industry is so, under the Government's encouragement to attract investment, a large amount of money quickly hit, but lack of demand is expected to cause a significant excess capacity to make it a modern economy in the "chicken": knowing that its future market will have a lot of profits, but every day in the current situation of losing money makes people love and hate dilemma, let go is not, It hurts to go on. Wenzhou has run out of the "glasses King" is planted in this.

"China-style industry development" There is also a drawback, is the real industry people do not earn the industrial development of the most important profit. In the past, the country has nurtured a lot of industry development, this process we see in the eyes, what people make money we also see very clearly. Because the industrial development is too dependent on the government, and the government in the early stage of industrial development of huge capital investment, so that the relationship with the government better, can directly obtain this part of the funds or hidden funds to become the bulk of profits.

So in the past 30 years, we have had three of such officials ' relatives or officials in the sea: one is the policy of hand support or government procurement contracts to buy shares in the company; the second category is to take all kinds of support and contract subcontract projects; three groups are simply set up a company can not go to the wall of companies rely on government support funds to make a package of money, Then make a good account and declare bankruptcy. We're going to look at the provincial and regional industrial development programs that will find that but all with "support a group of newly established" words, the final government bidding projects are some obscure new company got it; with the words "to enhance the size of the industry", the final project is often the original company got. In-seat support, and tailored to the tender, has become a major feature.

Obviously, each of these situations will not be conducive to the development of our related industries. And cloud computing worries us more, reported that the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of industry three departments for 5 cloud computing pilot cities, carefully selected 12 key projects, supporting funds of up to 1.5 billion yuan, to develop a group of intelligent cities, smart transportation, health care, small and medium-sized enterprises and other fields of cloud computing services demonstration applications.

5 Cities 1.5 billion, it can be said that the three ministries of deep pockets, the end is only to hit some people's personal pockets. And we should also understand that government procurement is driven, civil, commercial is the key. In view of the current situation, what is the development of cloud computing in the civil and commercial areas we are still difficult to predict, its market demand has not been shown, how can the industry get faster development? So I think, cautious market, small-scale operation is to avoid cloud computing become the next right mentality of photovoltaic.

(Responsible editor: The good of the Legacy)