Big B wave bounce or will break 3,800 points

--Liu Anmin The author uses five methods to judge the medium-term top of the market: the first type, large head and shoulders bottom. Prev September 2008, has built a large head and shoulders bottom. The neck line was 2,333 points and 2,402 points respectively, with such a head and shoulder bottom measured at a minimum increase of 3178.89 points. The point is not far away from the present, and in line with the four wave range of said.　　But I think it's not enough to judge this. Second, if July is the highest point of the big B wave, where does it appear at least? Assuming that the highest point of the July is the top of the Big B wave, set it to X, then, on the monthly line chart, from the high of 07, the X point leads to a trend of pressure lines, then for quite a long time in the future, The market must be under the pressure line. At the same time, I believe that the large big C wave fell in 12 months. So we can derive inequality: x-[(6005.13-x)/20]x12>1664.93, the solution is x>3292.51 point.　　Also that is, July, the highest point of the market, to be more than 3292.51 points, only to meet the conditions of the medium-term top, but also in line with the end of the four waves within the conditions. However, we need to make some corrections to this point. Because the >1664.93 in the above inequalities refers to the 07-year top to the top of this July, and in fact, after a long period of decline in the market, there will be two things to consider. One is the next bottom of the market, will deviate from 1664 points, the general situation, will be above it. 1664 points since the rally, the market first to do 1664 points of the bottom, and then build a double bottom, the second bottom at 1814 points. Therefore, if the big C wave fell 12 months, the market built double bottom, then the second should be above 1664 points. Because the time span is far away, so its point will be at least more than 1814 points to 1664 points of distance, that is at least 150 points apart, and this is a relatively conservative estimate. This factor affects the point at which the big B wave highs rise at least 60 points above the above basis. The second is the result of the operation of the K line, deviation from the above trend lines. The daily operation of the K-line, not close to the above trend lines run, but there is a deviation value. In a planar coordinate system, deviations from 10°, 15° and 20° can be calculated in different situations. Because this calculation is troublesome, we use an estimate instead. Normally, it would deviate at least 100 points, which would affect the July high, with 60 points. Under normal circumstances, the July high, should be based on the above calculation to raise 150 points or more, that is about 3,450 points.　　That's over the two-year line, but there's not much room. Third, the gap calculation. Since 1664, the day K on, the market has appeared two has not been filled out of the gap. The first is a breakthrough gap, the second is a relay gap. According to this calculation, the minimum increase in the market, shouldIt's 3671.87 points.　　Four, take 2,990 points to 3,786 points of the upper limit, 3,800 points.　　Five, because it is the big B wave rebound, and even some people's view is a bull, then it should be to 6,124 points to 1664 total decline of the repair, a little stronger, it can completely over 3,800 points.　　The above five viewpoints, only one is correct, and become the last trend. The above five points, their appearance, on the market has a different value. What they really mean is the strength of big B waves. Close to 3,178, close to 2,990, then the big B-wave rebound in general is a weak rebound. At the end of the 3,800-point line, a slightly normal large B-wave bounce, also meets the next level of four waves usually ends in the last level of the four wave range, but it is actually a slightly weaker rebound.　　More than 3,800 of the end of the rebound, is more normal rebound. Big B wave strength, it affects not other, but the Big C wave at the end of the point. Big B waves in the end of 3,800, under normal circumstances, large c waves will usually fall through 1664 points. And we don't think the result will come out.　　The height of the Big B wave bounce this year will be at least 3,800 points near, or more than 3,800 points. June 15, 2007 Shanghai Composite Index closed 4,132 points, July 1, 2009 closed 3,008 points, a difference of 1124 points. It in the second half of 2007, the lowest close point, is the July 5 3,615 points, which corresponds to this year's July 21, that is, if this year July 21 the market can not reach the 3,615-point close, then the two-year average line will not have a chance to go flat, in other words,　　The chances of entering bull this year are slim. In this, the author needs to announce a judgment, this year Big B wave's top, certainly will arrive in the bull arrival. This is the 1th. 2nd, a lot of investors, including a large number of small and medium-sized investors, will certainly be in the bull of the noise, quilt in the peak of the Big B wave. If they do not cut the meat, it is very likely that within two years, they will be difficult to be liberated.