Big data challenges the weather forecast limit, or can be predicted for 40 days

Source: Internet
Author: User
Keywords Big data EarthRisk
Tags analytics big data big data analytics consumer data developed research

As the saying goes, the weather is unpredictable, but EarthRisk's big data analytics technology is expected to challenge the limits of weather forecasts in the near term, which is extraordinary for the big energy companies and the average consumer.

EarthRisk recently developed a new model to predict extreme weather events. The model analyzes 82 billion analyzes of the past 60 years of data to identify weather patterns and then compares it to the current situation and predicts the weather for the next 40 days through predictive analytics.

EarthRisk's technology, from John Plavan, founder and CEO of the Scripps Institution of Oceanographic Research at the University of California, San Diego, argues that the old weather forecast is based on a master forecasting model that makes it difficult to accurately predict the weather a week later.

"Hundreds of thousands of weather variables around the world are constantly changing, and the old model can not take these variables into account," Plavan said.

"For the traditional forecasting model, if the initial state changes, it will ruin the entire forecasting result.We use the statistical relationship to predict the final result, which will not cause the confusion that the old model will encounter.We will analyze the big data Used to an urgent need to change the industry. "

EarthRisk data currently comes from the U.S. and British governments, as well as thousands of scientists and researchers working in the field, whose databases are updated daily. The relevance of EarthRisk's engine search data, as well as important statistical patterns, and based on this information gives a probabilistic prediction. The basic method is to predict the future by analyzing the past.

"Drastic temperature changes can have a huge impact on utility companies, energy traders and energy companies that spend hundreds of millions of dollars trying to forecast the weather and if they know they can predict the onset of extremely cold weather a month from now To make effective decisions in a timely manner, these companies will do whatever it takes to get the most out of them, "Plavan said.

EarthRisk's flagship product, TempRisk, is the first commercial big data analytics product in the space for customers in research and energy trading. EarthRisk has invested in this technology for many years for research and development, optimization and testing. earthRisk has recently launched a large-scale commercialization and business expansion, the future may launch consumer-oriented applications, such as in the travel destination before the trip to check the future weather conditions.

Original link: http: //www.ctocio.com/ccnews/12325.html

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