Boiled frog in warm water, the market will slowly peak!

Source: Internet
Author: User
Keywords Market shocks the market run short-term market
Tags .mall cost credit economic economic recovery economy it is market
Small Li Fei knife from the start of the current round of 1664, the market is expected to be the recovery of the economy, and the current economic recovery is expected to be realized, but the recovery of the stock market is almost completed! We all know that the trend of the stock market is always ahead of the market trend towards about half a year. Since last November, and now, it is just about half a year.  So if the current stock market turns downward, it is likely to herald a two dip in the economy, but it will be a repeat of the way the stock market is leading the trend of market economy. The liquidity of the floodgates is mainly to cope with the rapid decline of the global economy, the lack of liquidity market is like backwater, but the liquidity of the market will be like a flood of dams. The current global market has recovered from last year's panic, but it has not yet regained its vigour, but the Chinese economy is not as stubborn as Europe and the United States.  Although China's economy is "in good health", this does not mean that China's economy can be "a solo show" Recovery! According to the current credit scale, China's new credit is estimated to be around 8 trillion yuan this year, with the new part equivalent to One-third of the residents ' deposits. Such growth is certainly unsustainable, and much of it actually turns into inefficient assets such as reinforced cement mixtures.  Whether building or road construction, after completion, if the lack of real economic activity, does not produce additional value. If there is a reversal of the credit situation in the market, then the situation will be sharp, and in the current stock market, it seems that any bad can not stop the upside of the index, such as the WHO announced the influenza pandemic, the IPO restart, the gem issue, the size of the ban, the economic situation is still poor, and after the IPO restart, The diversion is not just in the field of funds, even outside the funds will be on the sidelines and join the ranks of the new shares.  In this "people eat people" market, no one will pay for others, except those greedy investors often rob the last stick.  We usually fry, sometimes as a business to do, fry in fact, and many of the reasons for doing business, such as cost principle, familiar concepts, money-raising awareness, risk control. If your current analysis of the stock result is the profit and you enter the cost is not appropriate, the risk is not to buy, you can go to the cost is not high stock. Because there are always after the main force is to do these stocks, they will not be willing to sedan for others.  At the same time, we should be aware of the various stocks can deal with the changes in the market, not for the illusion of confusion. At any time, we must bear in mind the existence of risk. Recklessness is not courage, prudence is not cowardice. Stay awake at all times.  Set stop, stop profit is the risk consciousness, this is not negligible, and set the good or bad is to look at the level and experience, but not set is no risk awareness, is the most dangerous. From the current market trend of operation, short-term market adjustment pressure significantly increased, but up to now, Shanghai and ShenzhenThe overall trend of the market shocks has remained intact. The recent market has been able to maintain the upward trend of shocks, is a relatively loose liquidity, the second is the economic recovery and future inflation expectations of the promotion.  As long as the above two factors do not appear substantive changes, the main trend of the market may also touch 3,000 points; however, once the two major factors that support the upward oscillation of markets change, the market will soon form a wave of medium-level adjustment! Under the premise of controlling a good position, in the recent practical operation, we may wish to pay close attention to steel, liquor, insurance, brokerage stocks, such as Baosteel shares (600019), Guizhou Maotai (600519), Chinese Life (601628), China's Tai Bao (601601), Haitong Securities (600837 ), Citic Securities (600030) and so on!
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