Capital every pore is dripping with blood and dirty stuff ...

Source: Internet
Author: User
Keywords Math Somalia Ransom pore helicopter gunships.
The so-called Somalia Coast Guard, made up of rough fishermen, is a die-hard criminal? Well, they're much more powerful than criminals, they know how to innovate. Early pirates were content to rob cargo ships, while pirates in the Gulf of Aden in the north-east of Africa now detain boats and ransom money.  The strategy is incredibly good: today, the conventional ransom is 100 times times more than 2005, and the Pirates are soaring. Like other "businesses", Somalia's pirate business can be analyzed in pure economics. Its vigorous development stems from its hitting the key point of international maritime trade. Other relevant parties associated with the Pirates ——— ships, insurance companies, private security insurers and some of the country's navies ——— in order to profit more (or at least reduce losses), chose to tolerate rather than to really seriously solve the problem. And the Pirates kept raising the ransom, in effect trying to test the ransom price and the market's acceptance of the bottom line. At each critical juncture, the parties begin to calculate the risks and rewards.  A series of specific figures is enough to make the Somalia Pirate's business model at the heart of this fast-growing new industry. Pirates know that plunder is the most Somalia pirates are fishermen, they are in exchange for weapons. They know that extortion is more lucrative than robbing boats. Instead of simply squandering, they invest their money in equipment and training.  Today, within hundreds of kilometres of the Somalia coastline, no cargo ship is safe. 1. The mathematics of Pirates: Plunder will be a common Somalia people's annual income of about 600 U.S. dollars, and even the worst pirates can be in a single robbery kidnapping is nearly 17 times times ——— 10,000 dollars in return.  Don't bother about how risky pirates are, it's safer than living in a war-torn Mogadishu area. (Ordinary soldier's salary) = (average Somalia person's annual income x17) when a trawler was moving forward on his bow, Captain Stolt V Alor did not notice. But when the trawler sent out two speedboats, he immediately realized he was in trouble. The lumbering Stolt V Alor is filled with phosphoric acid from Northern California to Mumbai, with only 15 knots at its fastest speed. The pirate ship is about 40 knots in speed.  While Gojard sent out distress signals, 12 of pirates with automated weapons had begun to climb decks, Stolt V Alor. It would take 12 hours and hundreds of thousands of of dollars to cross the Suez Canal to avoid the Somalia coast on the route connecting Eurasia. Another option would be to bypass the Cape of Good Hope in Africa's southern tip, which would certainly cost millions of of dollars more, and the weather in the local waters was unpredictable.  The Somalia waters of the pirate rampage seem to be much more cost-effective. (The extra cost of travelling around the Cape of Good Hope + the risk of bad weather) > (Premium + over Suez tolls + pirate Risk)The power is actually less than One-third. When the ship is in distress, the shrewd captain, while sending out a distress signal, quickly moves the vessel to create a turbulent tail to ward off the pirates. As long as it can contain the Pirates in 15 minutes without landing on the deck, the nearby cruising Navy sent rescue helicopter gunships can be reached.  But once the Pirates took control of the freighter, it was all over, and the crew, like the fast-food workers, was trained to resist. (probability of a successful kidnapping) = (attack speed + possibility of landing deck + overwhelming weaponry) (Naval rescue Time) 2. Insurance company math: Kidnapping risk insurance is also gambling, and insurers know that some ships will be kidnapped and paid millions of of dollars in compensation.  However, they also know that the chances of kidnapping are small, and they are happy to sell insurance.  (The possibility of paying the insurance money) = (the total number of successful kidnappings, the total number of vessels passing through the Suez Canal) bargaining and bargaining, attacking or ignoring?  1. Pirate math: How to Price? Pirates often offer far more than they actually expect. For some cargo ships carrying valuables, the price is often 10 times times higher than the last grabs.  The limiting factor is time: Every past day, the chances of a hostage death or ship damage increase correspondingly, and the possibility of a peaceful solution to the problem-bulging's wallet-will also shrink. (=10) (initial ransom + freighter surcharge) (time required for problem resolution) 2. The safety underwriter's math: How to bargain private security underwriting Company's work is not to avoid the occurrence of piracy, but after the occurrence of negotiations and delivery of ransom to protect the ship and crew safety. These companies are mainly retired military personnel, they and pirates to achieve a certain degree of partnership. In the process of direct negotiations with pirates, they also slowly build a good reputation for fair trade, which helps to reduce the occurrence of disasters.  A successful negotiation, which injected money into the pirates, helped fuel more piracy and brought more opportunities to the security underwriting companies themselves.  (acceptable ransom) = (the likelihood of a violent conflict with asking for X) 3. Naval Mathematics: Strike or ignore? Although the armed forces can be preemptive and sometimes have serious consequences.  In the same week that American snipers rescued the Alabama freighter, the rescue of the French tanit caused the owner to die. (The cost of violent conflict) > (the cost of not acting) deal and leave November 16, 2008, 62 days after the abduction of Stolt V Alor, a helicopter driven by a security insurer dropped a bag of cash near the ship. The pirates said they had received the 2.5 million-dollar ransom.  On the night of the full moon, they jumped on the canoe and sailed to their base in Eyl, where the incident ended. 1. Pirate math: The chance of escaping is one thing, getting the money and leavingIt's another thing to drive. The Pirates must count the money, release the crew, and safely leave the surrounding warships. This is certainly not always safe: When the Ponant is released, the helicopters are in pursuit. When the M V Faina was released, the pirate ship was overthrown by turbulence and all the Pirates on board drowned.  The body pocket was a lot of cash. (Escape) = (Accept ransom + release hostage + safe return) 2. Security Underwriter's math: Deal when the kidnapping was successfully resolved, the security contractor was able to get as much money as the pirates. And the armed escort, the expert plan, the daily expenses as well as the legal expense also needs to pay separately.  As Iraq's demand for safe contracting has diminished, Somalia has become a new continent.  (Ship return) = (delivery of ransom + Pirates flee) Four steps to earn money: 1 establish a link to provide a ransom deposit 2, through the satellite telephone negotiations 3, in the Pirates, shipowners and insurers in mediation 4, the payment of a ransom, a service charge. 3. Insurance company Math: Raising prices for insurance companies, the end of kidnapping also means a large amount of compensation for the insurance. It sounds like a problem ——— but increasing premiums can compensate for any losses.  The ransom also caters to 3 million of dollars in double-digit growth rates.  (profit) = (full premium-full compensation) RELATED LINKS how much does it cost to have an action with a pirate?  The equipment of 12 armed men costs about 30,000 dollars more, but you have to do it three or four times to get it done once.  How do you choose your goals? Before boarding the cargo ship, we will contact overseas or through the Internet to find out what is shipped on the ship, who is the owner, and the port of origin.  So we know how much the ransom is appropriate.  How do you decide what you want? African and Indian ships have no oil. Usually we'll let them go.  If we hit a western freighter, we'll be big.  What is the key to the success of kidnapping? We have a spare boat, a monitor and a walkie-talkie. But the key is that we are not afraid to die.  Most ship seamen are afraid of death.  Respondents: From the Somalia pirate base port of Eyl, claimed to be involved in a number of kidnappings.  Dialogue with the hostages have you tried to resist the pirates?  We tried to shake them off, but they were too fast, and in just 5 minutes, 12 pirates went into the cab.  How do they treat you?  We have conversations every day, but I don't know if we will be released or whether they will kill us when the talks break down.  How do you feel when the event is resolved?  The crew was happy, but I was worried that we would not be attacked again until we entered Muscat Harbor and I was nervous.  Will you choose the Gulf of Aden route again?  I will try to avoid it, but the route depends on the orders I receive. Respondents: "Stolt "V Alor" captain Goyalvin: Scott Carney translation: Our correspondent Peng Tao
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