Cass predicts no apparent inflation next year

Next year the CPI rose within 3% "moderate", became yesterday the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences 2010 "Economic Blue Book" forecast next year the key words of the trend.　　Next year, the CPI will rise a little, less than 3%, will not let everyone would not want to eat meat, housing prices will not rise fast, speculative demand will shrink; the stock market is not expected to be too high, the likelihood of a sharp jump, the key is that GDP growth is expected to rebound steadily to 9%, so that everyone's job is guaranteed, graduates to find Next year's GDP is expected to blunt nine "economic Blue Book" pointed out that, from the quarterly economic performance, this year, China's national economy shows a "steady warmer, gradually to good" development trajectory. According to experts carefully forecast, 2009 GDP growth rate will reach about 8.3%. "If the 2010 world financial crisis no longer seriously deteriorated, the country does not appear large-scale natural disasters and other major problems, GDP growth rate will steadily rebound to about 9% of the growth level."　　"This marks China's entry into the" comprehensive recovery "phase. The Blue Book of Beijing's entry into the developed cities also predicts that Beijing's total economy will break 1.1 trillion this year, with a per capita GDP of more than $10,000 trillion. According to the United Nations standard of a country's wealth level, per capita GDP of 8000 U.S. dollars, it means to reach the standard of advanced countries such as upper-middle.　　Now to 10,000 dollars, means that the capital economic and social development has entered from the medium-developed cities to the developed international metropolis into the stage. Stock prices are not going to go up. CPI, which has fallen since last year, is expected to turn negative by the end of the year.　　In the context of an overall steady growth in demand and sufficient production and supply capacity, experts predict that China's economy will not show significant inflation in 2010, with CPI up to 3% per cent.　　The Blue Book pointed out that the stock market expansion space is very large, including the size of the ban, the weight of the full circulation, IPO start-up, Gem open, etc., although the capital will be more quickly increased, but in the rapid expansion of the stock market and macro-stability of the macroeconomic situation, the stock price is not expected 85% households without the ability to buy homes The Blue Book asserts that next year's house prices will not rise fast. 85% families do not have the ability to buy. Zhang Analysis of the Development Research Center of the State Council holds that the bulk of the demand for buying homes has been released in 2009, speculative investment in housing demand will be based on two sets of mortgage policy strict management, the future real estate demand will not be sustained rapid expansion.　　Housing supply will increase rapidly after the second half of 2010, combined with supply and demand, the expected price will not rise rapidly. Experts point out that rising prices are not all bad things. Li, deputy dean of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that in a moderate price increase environment, enterprises have to start and expand the enthusiasm of production, only in the enterprises adhere to the start and constantly expand production capacity of conditions, employment can continue to increase; The income level of residents can be increased continuously. "It is generally believed that 5% is the appropriate level," Li stressed. ”