Cass report GDP up to 9% next year

There will be no obvious inflation. New Express News The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences yesterday released the 2010 economic Blue Book. Blue Book analysis that the 2009 national economy showed a steady recovery, gradually to a better trajectory. According to forecast, 2009 GDP growth rate will reach about 8.3%, can realize "eight" goal.　　If the 2010 world financial crisis no longer seriously deteriorated, the country does not appear a large range of serious natural disasters and other major problems, GDP will steadily rebound to about 9% of the growth level. On the subject of much-anticipated inflation, the blue Book points out that China's economy is expected to show a good picture of relatively moderate growth and lower prices next year.　　In the context of a steady increase in aggregate demand and sufficient production and supply capacity, China's economy is not expected to show significant inflation next year, with CPI rising below 3% per cent. A gradual rise in the bottom of the stock market the economic blue Book points out that in the fourth quarter of 2009 and 2010, China's a-share market will transition from the first half of 2009 to the economic recovery and the single wheel drive phase of the economy, weak resistance to negative factors in the first half of 2009. 2009 fourth quarter A-share market may maintain the case oscillation pattern.　　　　Under the influence of the overall economic recovery process, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market will be the important support of the economic recovery, so the long-term trend of the stock market should be good, the bottom of the stock market will gradually uplift.　　Foreign trade tends to improve the Blue Book said that 2010, if the continued implementation of positive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, fixed asset investment will continue to maintain a high growth rate, the nominal growth rate is expected to reach 23.9%, fixed assets investment in the proportion of GDP will probably more than 70%.　　Consumer demand for a smooth upgrade, the 2009 and 2010 Social consumer goods sales reached 12.5 trillion yuan and 14.8 trillion yuan, the actual growth of 16.3% and 16.4% respectively. Foreign trade situation is expected to improve, imports and exports in 2009 will be negative growth, respectively, 21% and 19.5%, the annual foreign trade surplus will reach 250 billion U.S. dollars.　　　　2010 Import and export growth is expected to return to 2008-year level, import growth and export growth reached 18.7% and 17.3% respectively. Agricultural production continued to maintain steady growth in 2009, and the primary growth rate will reach 5.6%. Considering the natural cyclical factors of agricultural production, the situation of agricultural production in 2010 is grim, and the primary value added will fall by 5.1%. The impact of the financial crisis on China's industrial production is very serious, the second quarter of this year, the industrial economy has seen a more obvious rebound, the 2009 and 2010, the second industry is expected to increase the growth rate will reach 8.6% and 9.4% respectively. Since 2009, the real estate industry has resumed growth, providing a strong support for the stability and recovery of the tertiary industries, which is expected to be in 2009, 2010, tertiaryDon't grow 8.7% and 9.5%.