History depends on trends. For this year's domestic auto market explosion of growth, how will determine its location? How long will the effect of "policy City" continue? The answers to these questions are actually hidden behind the roar of a year's auto market. Basically, the policy has started the market recovery, and then led to natural growth, a lot of joint efforts to launch the potential of the huge two or three-line city and rural market, become the core of this year's automobile industry prosperity, but also give it a new round of the growth period of the "first year" qualification. The automobile industry has promoted the national pillar industry this year the Chinese automobile market has achieved the record-breaking growth amplitude. The first 11 months of domestic sales have exceeded 12 million vehicles, the growth rate of more than 40%, the year to break 13 million, become the world's largest car market, has no suspense. In the year of the financial crisis, China's auto market has been such a huge increase in the world is rare. A key change has been achieved this year, when the country formally identified the auto industry as one of the most important pillar industries. At the beginning of the year, the auto industry became the first of the top ten industrial revitalization plans, showing the role of the auto industry in boosting domestic demand and economic recovery in the midst of the crisis. In the year-end State Department's decision to stimulate domestic consumption, the auto industry and real estate industry are also listed as two of the most important areas. Policy incentives for the auto industry have also been extended. This year, the brisk pace of the auto industry has also made it the "engine" of the overall economic upturn. From the national passenger car Joint Meeting of a group of data shows that in the economic chill in April, the increase in domestic passenger car sales, so that domestic demand in the month net growth of up to more than 20 billion yuan, accounting for the month of the national domestic demand for a net increase of 20% per cent. The State administration of taxation released data shows that, under the conditions of preferential policies, the automobile industry still becomes the important strength of the national tax revenue growth. Auto consumption tax rose 12% in the first 10 months of this year, and auto purchase tax rose 6.3% year-on-year. From this year's change can be seen, cars in China is entering the stage of large-scale popularization, so the future for a long time, the pillar position in the national economy will become more and more obvious. Therefore, the change of status becomes a window to observe the whole industry vicissitude this year. The policy "combination boxing" stimulates the automobile market to explode under the condition of positioning the auto industry as the pillar industry, the introduction of a series of policies "combination boxing" has become the favorable factor for the car market to resume its rapid growth this year, the 2009 China Auto Car has become a solid "policy city". This year's auto market stimulus policy is mainly "1.6 litres and the following passenger car purchase tax concessions", "cars go to the countryside" and "cars to replace the old." Among them, the purchase tax concession becomes the most important fire that ignites the automobile market. According to the Chinese Automobile Industry Association statistics, by the national policy, 1.6 liters and the following passenger car performance outstanding this year, January-November cumulative sales to the entire automotive market growth contribution to 85%, most varieties appear a car difficult to seek the situation. This completely reversed in recent years this type of vehicle has maintained a lower growth of waterFlat, the market share is declining trend. According to the China Auto Association, this year's policy factors to pull the auto market growth of 2.6 million vehicles. "Car to the countryside" to the two or three-line city and rural market start-up also credit to the Wei. A typical fact is that the sales of micro-bus SAIC-GM Wuling, as of December 15, SAIC-GM Wuling total sales of 1.0264 million vehicles, an increase of 57.8%, one after another to become the first annual production and marketing scale to reach the millions single vehicle enterprises. SAIC GM Wuling general manager Yangjie thought: "This year, a major reason for the surge in micro-car sales, the country has introduced a car to the countryside, purchase tax concessions and other policies, stimulated the rapid outbreak of rural markets." "The only thing that hasn't been expected this year is a car with a new plan, but the future effect of this policy will remain after the progress subsidy," he said. From policy to natural growth However, the policy has started the rapid growth of the auto market, but it is not the ultimate power. Only by clarifying the facts and logic can we get a glimpse of the core of the growth of the automobile market. According to the Information Resources development total analysis, in the first 11 months of this year, the auto market shows two stages, the first 5 months is the policy role in the growth of the economy, and the second phase from June to December is the policy plus economic growth factor, so the annual market out of a policy from the high to natural growth curve. Monitoring shows that before April, Audi and other high displacement models, the middle and high car market is negative, but from May onwards. By October the C-class car grew by more than 60% 27%,b-level cars. "After June, the growth rate of high-end cars is recovering rapidly, and it is more than just a car. All the cars are growing and getting more and more violent. Vei, a senior Guangdong car operator, told reporters that this year's auto market confirms the most important word for the recovery of the economic market, that is, "confidence is more important than gold". Therefore, the international bailout policy for the auto industry The key reason for not having such an explosive effect in China is that the purchasing power of the domestic car has not been damaged, but it has continued to strengthen and, with confidence being encouraged, prompted the acceleration of purchasing power, which has led to the successful growth of the auto market. From this point of view, this year's auto market in the appearance of the complete "policy City", but in essence is a natural growth. However, the policy has started a rapid growth of the auto market, but it is not the ultimate power. Only by clarifying the facts and logic can we get a glimpse of the core of the growth of the automobile market. According to the Information Resources development total analysis, in the first 11 months of this year, the auto market shows two stages, the first 5 months is the policy role in the growth of the economy, and the second phase from June to December is the policy plus economic growth factor, so the annual market out of a policy from the high to natural growth curve. Monitoring shows that before April, Audi and other high displacement models, the middle and high car market is negative, but from May onwards. By October, the C-class car increased 27%,bGrew more than 60%. "After June, the growth rate of high-end cars is recovering rapidly, and it is more than just a car. All the cars are growing and getting more and more violent. Vei, a senior Guangdong car operator, told reporters that this year's auto market confirms the most important word for the recovery of the economic market, that is, "confidence is more important than gold". Therefore, the international bailout policy for the auto industry The key reason for not having such an explosive effect in China is that the purchasing power of the domestic car has not been damaged, but it has continued to strengthen and, with confidence being encouraged, prompted the acceleration of purchasing power, which has led to the successful growth of the auto market. From this point of view, this year's auto market in the appearance of the complete "policy City", but in essence is a natural growth. A new round of growth from the current situation, the purchase tax concessions and other policies will eventually exit, but the "soft landing" approach, not all of a sudden exit. This will ensure the sustainability of the growth of the automobile market and resolve the negative effects of overdraft consumption caused by short-term policies. On the other hand, the policy has prompted the first to become the mainstream of the market this year, a phenomenon with the "T-head (turbocharged engine)" model of the popular, "small horse cart" has become a trend, this market structure adjustment, the future will continue to be strengthened. Therefore, from the volume of growth, to the transformation of consumption structure, 2009 will become a new year of the automotive industry. Total that the two or three-line market will have about 1.1 billion of the population of the car to be activated, for the next step of the automobile industry to provide a strong impetus for sustainable growth. And the change of the concept of consumption, the popularity of loan purchase and the trend of urbanization will be favorable factors for the growth of automobile market in the future. In the auto market last round of growth in the "Golden Decade" in 2008, after the end of the 2009 scene for the next 10 years, a new round of growth "year One", in the automotive industry has no objections. However, during the large-scale popularization of cars, the market stage fluctuations and policy fluctuations will still be very strong, as this year's car markets have become the same. Dongyan, executive vice president of the Chinese Automobile Association, said that the car industry "high-speed" growth is not very appropriate, but even without policy support, the auto market itself, the huge demand will also promote its growth posture. "In the next 10, the market is expected to grow at a rate of 5% faster than GDP," he said. "In this context, we can further recall this year," China became the world's largest car market, as a new car industry center of symbolic significance. (Chen Zhijie)
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