China's PV industry is difficult to repeat the "German market"

Every reporter Guo Rong village from Guangzhou "Solar PV industry 2007 years by the support of Spain, and then rely on Germany's support, this is a big problem."　　"Yesterday, Li, deputy director of Energy Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said in the" Guangdong Photovoltaic Industry International Summit Forum "that China's solar PV market relies heavily on a small number of countries such as Germany, after the German price reduction subsidies, it is still difficult to find a replacement for Germany's new market," not blindly optimistic A few countries to prop up the hot market from the fourth quarter of last year, China's solar photovoltaic industry continued to rebound, many business orders are full.　　The 2010-2015 China polysilicon Industry Investment Analysis and Forecast report, published by CIC consultant, showed that the cumulative import volume of polysilicon in China in May 2010 years ago was 15,500 tonnes, which was more than 7007 tonnes in the same period last year. But it is only a handful of countries that support rapid growth. began to benefit from Spain's pull, followed by Germany.　　Solar photovoltaic industry is always facing the risk of unstable demand. From 2004 to 2007, Spain's solar PV capacity soared from 100-kilowatt to 10 MW, and grew nearly 100 times times between 3 years. This led to the rapid development of China's photovoltaic industry.　　Public data show that China's PV cell production in 2001 was only 3 MW, but reached 2600 MW by 2008, almost equivalent to 1/3 of the total global output.　　Then the Spanish government reduced the financial subsidies and the huge adverse effects of the crisis, the photovoltaic industry fell into the "ice hole." This year, driven by Germany's move to reduce PV subsidies, many German investors want to rush to install photovoltaic components before the official downgrade, triggering a new round of growth in the PV industry.　　According to CIC's data, the 2009 PV installation capacity reached 3.8 gigawatts, and last year, the global PV installation volume was only about 7 gigawatts, the rapid growth of the German market to stimulate the domestic PV industry quickly out of the trough, from "cold" to "hot". Following the absence of "city" worries, a new market that could replace Germany did not appear after the blowout demand in Spain and Germany.　　The US market, which is the most bullish of the industry, is too big. July 21, the U.S. Senate Energy Committee approved the "million solar Roof proposal", which plans to invest less than 250 million dollars a year in 2012-2020 to subsidize the construction of solar energy systems, the goal is to install 10 million before 2020.　　But Shen Hongwen, a new energy industry researcher at CIC, argues that the $250 million trillion a year of subsidies is only "a drop in the bucket" for the solar photovoltaic industry's net installation costs for raw materials, components and photovoltaic systems, while the US states are numerous and thinly diluted. According to the CIC consultant's "2010-2015 China Solar Energy Utilization Industry Investment analysis and Prospect Forecast Report", 2009 U.S. PV System installed capacity of 477 MW, relativeIn Germany's 3.8 gigawatts, the disparity is very big. And the future is difficult to put on a similar German market. And Japan, France and other countries, for a while lack of power to increase demand volume.　　Instead, they are bullish on China's domestic demand market. Shen Hongwen that, in the domestic market, there is no possibility of opening in the short term.　　In August this year, the national 280 MW PV power station franchise bidding, the central enterprise to bid for all projects at low prices, in the face of central Enterprises reported below 1 yuan/kwh price, private photovoltaic enterprises can only be deterred, and China's PV industry may face at any time anti-dumping into another "stumbling block." Despite the market shrinkage and other worries, but the domestic photovoltaic industry to expand the pace of production of the same stride forward.　　Data show that 2008 China's polysilicon production of 4300 tons, 2009 production of 20,200 tons, 2010 expected to produce up to 30,000 tons, production capacity of 100,000 tons, there are still many in China under construction of polysilicon projects. "The photovoltaic industry should have rational judgment, we accounted for the global market 60%~70%, but I think not only China to do, if accounted for 100%, is to kill themselves, we have been looking for balance, but has not been found." Li said.