Cloud computing creates technology upstart old technology companies are under threat

Beijing Time December 2 news, according to foreign media reports, market research company IDC forecasts, with mobile device aggregation, social networking, cloud computing and data storage and other new technology development, a new High-tech industry is coming. It says in its latest study that these new technologies will lead to a number of High-tech upstarts, while others will be bought, and the leadership of established technology companies will be threatened, and many industry giants will strive to keep pace with the times.

"There will be a huge change in the technology industry," said Frank Gens, chief analyst at IDC Frank Gines. ”

IDC says the world's annual spending on new technology will be $700 billion trillion, or about 20% of the total cost of information technology, such as hardware, software and services, or about $3.5 trillion trillion. As a large part of the cost of IT spending will be spent on maintaining the old system, the proportion of new technology spending reaching 20% per cent is somewhat unexpected. The growth in spending on new technology is 6 times times faster than spending on traditional servers and PCs, IDC said. It is expected that by 2020 the growth in new technology spending will account for 80% of the industry's growth.

Many new developments in technology will also emerge in emerging markets such as China, IDC said. It estimates that 28% of IT spending will come from outside the United States, Japan and Western Europe. By the middle of 2012, China is expected to overtake Japan as the world's second largest information technology consumer.

If IDC's forecasts come true, the technology industry may be in the midst of the fastest turnaround in history. Previous industry shifts such as the shift from mainframes to small computers and PCs led to the rise of a large number of giants such as Oracle and Microsoft, as well as some old technology giants such as digital equipment companies.

Giens said the industry shift was somewhat different and HP's position would be challenged. Microsoft, Intel, SAP, RIM, Oracle, Cisco and Dell will all face a new round of change. At least One-third of these veteran technology giants will fade away.

The cost of hardware, software and services for cloud computing systems in 2012 will be $60 billion trillion, IDC said. The growth rate in this area is about 4 times times the overall growth rate of the technology industry. Those cloud service providers are expected to spend 36 billion of dollars. Although Amazon has never disclosed how much revenue it earns from the Business Computing Services Network, IDC predicts it will receive more than 1 billion dollars of revenue from these businesses next year. IDC says the revenue from mobile devices will be the first to exceed personal-computer contributions in 2012. Sales of mobile devices will reach twice times the sales of PCs and 85 million mobile apps will be downloaded. Spending on mobile data networks will exceed spending on fixed-line networks.

The explosive growth of tablets has led to a rapid transformation of the entire technology industry into the mobile sector, which will challenge traditional computer software companies such as Microsoft and its beneficiaries such as Apple, which will be challenged by Open source Android operating system.

"By 2013, we will know who will be the leader in the technology industry," Giens said. Android, iOS will shine, Microsoft can rely on Windows 8 system to maintain its leadership? By the end of the year, we'll know if it's a good idea to apply a PC operating system to a mobile device. ”

Amazon's Kindle Fire will be a particularly successful product. While the Kindle Fire uses an android system, Google has nothing to do with the product. Giens expects Amazon to launch a bigger Kindle Fire to make it easier for the product to function as an enterprise, such as creating and sending data.

With more and more people and devices on the Internet, digital information will explode. The amount of data stored in 2012 will increase by 48% from 2011 to 2.7ZB, IDC said. IDC predicts that by 2015, the amount of storage data will reach 8ZB.

These changes may bring a lot of cash to many companies in the current technology industry, but may make them buy other start-ups to keep pace with the times. "IBM, Microsoft and Oracle are sure to become cloud service providers," Giens said. Microsoft needs a content and media cloud like Netflix, with other smaller independent service providers such as NetSuite, Workday, Taleo and Success MX to be acquired within the next six to 6-10 months. ”

(Responsible editor: The good of the Legacy)