Developing capital-saving economy--cloud computing: The power
of the countries in transition
The next 10 years, relying on information productivity to protect people's livelihood, can be achieved through capital savings, the reduction of physical capital at the same time create more opportunities to improve employment and income.
Computing is a good thing.
But most people don't know what to do with it. Old Minister Jichuan April 6, now everywhere is the cloud base, Lianyun are not clear, first make 2000 acres of land, but also for this practice to defend, beauty its name Yue "do not know which cloud rain." It's a nail on the face. Which cloud will rain? I think that cloud computing brings the greatest timely rain, should be the development of capital-saving economy.
Put the means of production on the cloud, 0 of the cost of copying to workers. Like the Apple Store model, one frees up 600 billion of billions of dollars in advanced productivity. This will be the largest system innovation opportunity of human being since the advent of capital.
The social value of the capital economy: the digital "Playing tyrants the field"
1, cloud computing on the role of capital, can be summed up in a sentence: 0 cost reproduction of the means of production.
What is cloud computing, can not only listen to the technical explanation of engineers. Leaders in the height of the superstructure, not only to listen to the productivity of the interpretation of cloud computing, but also the economic and social thinking to understand and grasp the matter.
Cloud computing is equivalent to putting online stores, online factories, online labs ... Such means of production, from a copy of the cloud above, like "dozen tyrants," the same 0 copies to the hundreds of millions of workers under the cloud. This is no less than a people's livelihood revolution.
Now there are three super "countries" that have the realistic ability to turn the ideal from "fantasy" into "science":
A "country" called Apple, the market value of 600 billion U.S. dollars, the equivalent of Southeast Asia, Singapore, Thailand, the Philippines, Vietnam, Burma, Laos, Cambodia and other countries combined GDP. Apple has wealthy the plant (STORE) and equipment (development tools), 0 cost to four hundred thousand or five hundred thousand workers, because of the good "people's livelihood".
A "country" is called Tencent, with users exceeding the total population of the United States, Britain and Japan, with a market capitalisation equivalent to 46 countries ' GDP (123th to 168th place). Tencent open platform to the production of goods free of charge to workers, as at the end of 2011, nearly 300,000 developers have settled in, there are more than 40,000 applications to submit online applications, dozens of active users more than million, dozens of active users more than tens of millions of applications Platform divided into total income (third party final receipts) breakthrough 600 million yuan, a number of developers monthly income into tens of millions.
A "country" is called Alibaba. The number of Chinese network operators reached 83 million, the equivalent of Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin plus Xinjiang, Tibet, Qinghai, Ningxia, the total population. 2011 E-commerce turnover amounted to 6.8 trillion yuan, accounting for 15% of GDP. The Taobao Alliance made the production of Goods (shop) free to workers, making it a 1.5 billion commission in 2011.
Some people call the people's livelihood every day, why do they turn a deaf ear to such a large people's livelihood? Ignoring the advanced productivity, light in the production relations left and right up to adjust, is not go out of the current plight of the people's livelihood.
2, the information productivity will liberate the capital and the Labor fundamentally.
The information productivity has changed the capital scarcity, thus has created the historical condition to solve the livelihood problem under the capital saving condition.
Industrialization-whether capitalist industrialization or socialist industrialization-is a historical stage in which capital is relatively scarce and not replicable. In the industrialization, the capital scarcity causes the relations of production to incline to the capital, which becomes the objective demand of historical development. Any country that does not respect this rule will be punished for its own failure at the expense of productivity.
Reform and opening-up is to adjust the relationship between capital and Labor to make capital (not the capital in the sense of political economy, but the means of production) play a role. However, the excessive resources to the capital tilt, but also inevitably caused by the Gini coefficient of increase, bringing about the contradiction between capital and labor, causing serious problems of livelihood.
Productivity is not liberated, production relations to the left and right can not solve people's livelihood problems. Sing Red Dozen Black has a fair market, that only heavy capital, not heavy labor, will bring social instability. But the left one, the Cultural Revolution, the tragic history of the tragedy can also happen again. Any lack of capital in the historical conditions, to share the capital (whether it is for private enterprises "BLACK", or split the state-owned capital), in the economy is not the capital scarce this ceiling. Depriving people and opportunities of capital, ostensibly conducive to people's livelihood, actually does not help to solve the sustainable problems of people's livelihood.
In this dilemma, some people tend to see only one side, but not the other side of balance, resulting in not left-right. In fact, there is a third option. Once the advanced productivity of cloud computing develops, it will be from the relationship between capital and Labor. The way to turn is that ordinary can share the means of production at 0 cost, as Apple developers do, to win with capital (37 for each party, 70% for Labor and 30% for management); The structure to be tuned is a new structure made up of greener data Services industries, In the output value structure to expand the proportion of wealthy Internet minsheng enterprises, employment structure to expand the knowledge of the ordinary (Master of Intangible capital, such as Taobao shopkeepers, Tencent developers, Apple developers) of the proportion.
It is the secret of capital savings, which comes from the nature of the advanced productivity of cloud computing. Cloud computing fundamentally changes the relationship between capital and Labor. This problem has been solved, the surname of the social capital will not have to argue. There is no point in arguing any more.
Ii. The effect of cloud computing on capital savings
Realistically speaking, the next challenge facing China's economy is how to solve the problem of people's livelihood under the condition that GDP growth rate is reduced by 1%. In the past, under the backward productivity, the livelihood of the people on the "Bao-eight", in order to protect employment and income, whether the extensive capital investment is not counted; the next 10 years, relying on information productivity to protect people's livelihood can be achieved through capital savings, while reducing physical capital while creating more opportunities to increase employment and income.
April 6, Baidu Vice President Zhu Guang to the Ministry of Leadership and telecommunications experts to speak, so I was quite touched. He said that in the next few years Baidu is ready to cast 3 billion to help small micro-enterprises, to engage in 2 million sites. Even if Baidu is extremely optimistic, plus the national Internet Platform enterprises, to help small micro-enterprises into 2 million sites is not a big problem. Let's count the accounts. According to Alibaba calculates, a website promotes the employment effect, if according to the average one direct employment can drive 2.85 indirect employment, Taobao not only now directly creates 373,000 direct employment, also has driven up to 1.063 million indirect employment. In rural areas, according to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Information Research Center survey, the average number of shops per shop more than 1 people, generally more than 2 people, but most not more than 5 people. If Baidu, Tencent and Alibaba add together, can really create 2 million shop or website, can solve at least 5.7 million people's employment problem. During the "Twelve-Five" period, the employment of college graduates averaged around 7 million. Blow is almost done.
We are now from the point of view of capital savings, the livelihood account. In the future, the Internet will realize cloud computing, such as the fixed assets such as shop, can like the department store, from the cloud to copy how much copy, more than the existing way to save capital.
According to experts, "according to China's current small town per capita fixed assets of about 25,000 yuan calculation, the next 10 years if the transfer of 100 million rural people into small towns, small town construction needs to invest 2.5 trillion yuan." From the big city, 2010 per capita investment in fixed assets, Shenyang is the highest 61764 yuan, Beijing, Guangdong Center, respectively, in 28010 Yuan and 25696 yuan, Urumqi, the lowest in 16079 yuan. But are far higher than the form of employment. By state-owned enterprises to solve employment, capital is less economical. Statistical analysis shows that in the 5 years of 1998-2002, all state-owned and above-scale non-state-owned enterprises per capita fixed assets increased from 71237 to 107746 yuan.
According to Baidu's account, a website running (including a variety of business services) on average less than 14,000 yuan. Less than 10,000 of the traditional way to build small towns, not polluting the environment, compared to the lowest threshold of the big cities (such as Urumqi), not to mention the state-owned enterprises multiplied (5-8 times) to save capital. Ma Yun once said, "in the next ten years, we will be for 10 million small enterprises to solve a survival, growth, development platform." Second, we have to solve 100 million job opportunities for the whole world. The third goal is to create an online consumer platform for 1 billion of people. "To solve the 100 million-person employment, the occupation of the fixed assets exceeding 1.5 trillion (and the enterprise itself), compared to the establishment of physical facilities 1 trillion." But more efficient, Taobao three days to four days to complete the entire wangfujing (600859) department store turnover of one year.
Chandler has a famous book called "Information to change the United States-the power of countries in transition," cloud computing is the latest force in countries in transition. Use well, we can use less capital, less material consumption, to do things better.
(Responsible editor: The good of the Legacy)