CNET today releases the 10 big predictions for the 2013 mobile field

Absrtact: CNET, the US Technology Web site, today released its 10 forecasts for the 2013 Mobile world, saying that next year will be a more turbulent year, industry consolidation will continue, and the spectrum scramble heats up and Windows phone and BlackBerry have not yet become the third largest mobile operating system. Following

CNET, the US Technology Web site, today released 10 forecasts for the 2013 Mobile world, saying that next year will be a more turbulent year, industry consolidation will continue, and the spectrum scramble is hot, and Windows phone and BlackBerry have not yet become the third largest mobile operating system.

The following are the main contents of the article:

2012 can be a pretty tough year for the mobile industry. Many mobile phone manufacturers, mobile operators and component suppliers are feeling the pressure of a slowdown in the mobile business, so the industry has also seen a lot of turbulence this year. It is expected that the same pressures and competition will still exist and more turbulence next year.

Here are 10 forecasts for the 2013 mobile industry:

1) Industry integration continues to be staged

The industry has always had a wireless industry that does not need so many service providers, and 2013 is expected to continue some of this year's consolidation trend. The merger of SoftBank Holdings sprint,t-mobile US companies with MetroPCS could mark the long-awaited consolidation of the industry.

Other regional operators, such as U.S Cellular, Leap Wireless, are likely to be acquired. Rumours about MetroPCS and leap have been circulating for a long time, but the talks ended as T chose to join MetroPCS in a new company.

Sprint tried to buy MetroPCS, according to a document submitted by MetroPCS to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Sprint may again extend an olive branch to MetroPCS, or Chase Leap.

It is almost certain that the two giants, Verizon Wireless and At&t, will not make a big takeover. Verizon has just been awarded a deal to buy the cable company's spectrum, and the prospect of a big deal is unlikely after At&t last year's takeover of T America. At&t is satisfied with a small acquisition because of the high likelihood of such deals being granted.

2 The third largest mobile platform still does not appear

Next year, Google's third-largest mobile operating system after Android and Apple iOS will be fiercely contested.

Competitors include Microsoft Windows Phone 8 and RIM BlackBerry 10. Both sides are confident that they have the strength to become the third-largest platform in the increasingly crowded market. Windows Phone 8 will benefit from earlier rollout times and the boost from Microsoft's massive Windows 8 rollout. Rim, meanwhile, has a huge user base that will launch new products early next year.

We don't think they will. The sales of both sides will only be able to eke out a living, without any bright eye.

Microsoft marketed the Windows Phone 8 platform as part of the Windows 8 family, but the popularity of Windows Phone 8 could be affected by the lack of a good start in Windows 8 itself.

While BlackBerry 10 may be able to make some headway with a loyal BlackBerry fan, it will take some time for rim to convince consumers to give their platform a chance. The company likes to tout its nearly 80 million user base, though many are using the lower-end BlackBerry 7 handsets.

In addition, the dominance of Android and Apple means that anyone will be struggling to become the third-largest platform.

3 Rim faces concussion

If the BlackBerry 10 fails, RIM will face a major shock, such as replacing the leader again (although incumbent CEO Tosten Heins Thorsten Heins to make far fewer mistakes than his predecessor) or sell the company. In addition, it may be a good choice to actively authorize the BlackBerry 10 operating system to different industries.

4) The heat of the spectrum scramble

At&t, Verizon Wireless and other giants in the spectrum trading before the claim is about to face a spectrum shortage crisis. But after Verizon acquired the spectrum from cable companies and at&t a number of related deals, the industry's rhetoric has changed a lot, even as Sprint and t have become more optimistic about the spectrum outlook.

However, the companies insist they need more spectrum and may seek further deals next year. Sprint's acquisition of the spectrum from U.S cellular is likely to be a prelude to more related deals in the future. Verizon is also selling some of the spectrum as a condition for the acquisition of other spectrum from cable companies.

Dish receptacle sits on a rich spectrum of resources and is likely to sell spectrum to at&t in the future, though the company is considering dabbling in mobile video.

5 Google to enter the wireless service

There have been rumours recently that Google and Dish are meeting to discuss new wireless services.

Google already has a wireless business, Google Fiber. Although the deployment of the service is limited to one region, since it has been involved in wireless, it will be willing to enter other related projects.

Dish has slowly accumulated enough spectrum to build its own national service, and it has explicitly wanted to build a network. But the business needs a lot of money, and it's unclear whether Dish has enough financial resources to achieve its goals. And Google has plenty of money and technical resources, will be a good partner.

6 soft silver boosts sprint

The $8 billion trillion in capital injections should help sprint to make a big contribution in the wireless market in the future. The company has been blamed for deploying 4G LTE networks too slowly, behind At&t and Verizon.

The injection of SoftBank should allow Sprint CEO Dan Heisse Dan Hesse to move faster. Unlike At&t, which has a relatively fast HSPA network, sprint users with the highest-end devices endure slow 3G CDMA networks.

Thanks to its relationship with SoftBank, Sprint will have a greater choice of smartphone products. Joining SoftBank CEO Son said the words are believable, and Sprint will become more competitive in pricing.

7 Prepaid business into focus

Operators will again hit the prepaid market, especially given the rapid disappearance of contract user market growth.

Prepaid business has a considerable scale of T, once the joint MetroPCS, will further expand the territory. T CEO John Leger John Legere has hinted at "a different experience" for his iphone, which could mean it will offer a more affordable prepaid service option for the iphone.

Given the need to maintain user growth, even large carriers such as Verizon are not afraid to overlook prepaid business. The sprint in which such operations are aggressive is considered to be the biggest potential loser of the T and metropcs marriages.

8 mobile payment is still not universal

Next year will be the year of mobile payments, and this has been the story of the past few years, but so far we have not seen the popularity of the technology.

Google will still actively develop mobile payment business. It has brought mobile payment technology to its Nexus smartphone, but has not yet reached a large scale. ISIS, a at&t, Verizon wireless and T, has just begun testing last month, but there is no sign that it will make more progress. Starbucks and square deals are a concern, but for now, basically, Square is dealing with Starbucks ' payments and not taking full advantage of mobile payments.

At the same time, Apple has not yet invested in NFC (short-range wireless communications) technology, which is used by many mobile payment parties, but has provided passbook mobile wallet services. However, action on the service is still relatively limited and progress has been disappointing.

9 Apple Samsung continues the duopoly, the new people are aggravating

With the iphone and Galaxy S series becoming the world's most popular handsets, Apple and Samsung will continue to dominate most of the smartphone market's profits. Companies such as HTC, LG and Sony have struggled this year, and are still trapped, given that they still have no product to turn.

It is rumored that Microsoft and Amazon are developing their own branded handsets, and their new smartphones may come out next year. Motorola Mobility is also rumoured to be developing an "X" flagship handset that will better compete with the iphone and Galaxy S III.

10 Samsung Apple reconciliation?

Well, it's wishful thinking. But many people are tired of hearing about their litigation battles.

But given that both Apple and Samsung are trying to prevail in lawsuits around the world, their hostility is likely to continue.