Consistent forecast: February exports year-on-year growth of 28.7%

by Bao Zhe March 7, "The Vision Cup China macroeconomic February consensus forecast", released by the Securities Market weekly by Sina Financial Exclusive network, shows that the average annual GDP growth rate of February is 28.7%, which is slower than the real value of January.　　According to the survey, the annual GDP growth rate of February was 55.7%, the minimum value was 5%, and the expected median value was 27.7%.　　Brokerage analysts generally said that the Spring Festival shutdown is one of the reasons for the year-on-year slowdown in exports in February.　　Macro-source Securities (000562.SZ) macro analyst Cai that January exports year-on-year growth of the ultra-expected increase in February exports year-on-year growth relative slowdown reasons. Tang Jianwei, senior macro analyst at Bank of Communications (601328.SH/3328.HK) Financial Research Center, said in an interview with reporters that, in the light of recent export trends, while emerging market economies are generally at risk of overheating, in view of the limited economic slowdown that will have less impact on export growth in the future, and the economic recovery of developed countries, especially the United States, is more favorable to improve our export environment.　　Exports are expected to remain at a certain rate of growth in February.　　Talking about the export trend in the next few months, Tang Jianwei said that the 2011 world economic Recovery is improving, the future of China's overall export environment will be improved, although the increase in the base period has led to a year-on-year high growth rate is no longer, but exports to maintain a higher level of the past normal years is still possible. The agencies involved include BofA Merrill Lynch, Paris-France Securities, Standard Chartered Bank, Citibank, HSBC, Bank of China (601988.SH/3988.HK), ICBC (601398.SH/1398.HK), Bank of Communications (601328.SH/3328.HK ), CICC, Wanguo, China Merchants Securities (600999.SH), Bohai Securities, Hongyuan Securities (000562.SZ) and so on.