Dustin Curtis recently published an article on Svbtle.

Dustin Curtis, who recently published an article on Svbtle, was interesting, saying: "In the long run, the tablet will also face death."

And why?

The reasons can be summed up to three points:

The habits of young people have changed.

A PEW research report on tablet users shows the following information:

It is common sense that young people should be more receptive to new things than older ones, but Pew Research suggests that the proportion of tablet users between the ages of 30-55 is greater than that of tablet users between the ages of 29 and 15.

Why?

Dustin that:

The older generation, who grew up with computers, saw the tablet as an extension of the desktop, accustomed to browsing on the couch while watching TV and sending emails. In other words, they see the tablet as a second device to replace the pen, and there is not much difference between the things they do and the PC side. Older people will think of the tablet as an evolutionary version of the pen, as if the pen were an evolutionary version of a desktop computer.

Young people are completely different, they will be on the phone to deal with most of the things, this is their habit of playing small. Older people surf the web via the desktop or tablet side, and young men go straight through their phones.

He also cites a set of data:

Data suggest that 55% of young people (14-22 years) use mobile phones Most of the time, compared with 15% for older adults (23-55).

He noted that:

This group of young people since childhood, mobile phone is their most important computer equipment, which also caused them to see and use the Internet, in the same year elders have the essential difference.

Technology

Technology is making the phone bigger and smaller: the average size of the flat last year was 7.1 inches, the previous 7.8. Last year, the average size of the phone was 4.9 inches, and the previous 4.5.

Dustin points out: In the long run, the difference between mobile phones and tablets, will be smaller with time, and then merged into a device, and at that time, users have a large size of the mobile phone and a flat plate does not mean much.

On this level, the tablet is just a transition, and the goal is to overcome screen and battery technology issues for future use on mobile phones.

One point that Dustin may not have pointed out is that the tablet also raises the user's habit of using a large-screen mobile device from a certain level.

Market

From the market level, as the mobile phone is getting bigger and the tablet is shrinking, the fast-growing momentum of the tablet has begun to abate.

On the data side, Dustin also cited Apple's ipad sales figures: Apple's ipad sales last quarter fell 16% from a year earlier, while iphone sales rose 17%. The Mac Rose 5%.

He concludes by looking at the current habits of teenagers in the United States, they are now almost doing everything on their phones, many of them without PCs. As a result, he believes that tablets, like the original netbook, will eventually die out, and in the future, people will be on the phone to deal with everything.

My opinion

I agree with Dustin that the tablet may end up being replaced by a "mobile phone tablet," but I don't think people will be doing everything on their phones in the future, and I don't think the PC will eventually die. The reason is simple: even with a Bluetooth keyboard, I can't write an article on a tablet smaller than 7 inches.

My view is that the future most basic navigation, call, check mail and so on, there will be iwatch, Google Glass and other equipment completed, a little more complicated, such as back mail, reading E-books, will be completed on the mobile phone tablet, and more complex work, such as the completion of professional design, editing, Complex experiments and tests, or will be handed over to the PC, so the PC will not die.

Welcome to the comments and say what you think.