Economists predict Oscars with big data: more than 80% accuracy

Large numbers have been criticized, though. But I found that economist David Ross Childe successfully predicted 747.html "> Oscar ... with big data." The accuracy rate is as high as 80%!

Last year, Microsoft's New York Institute economist David Ross Rothschild (http://www.aliyun.com/zixun/aggregation/16482.html ">david Rothschild) The successful prediction of 19 of the 24 Oscar awards has been a topic of great relish.

This year, Rothschild continued to succeed in predicting the 86th annual Academy Awards ceremony 24 Awards 21! Continue to show people the magic of modern technology.

Rothschild builds forecasting models by collecting polling data, predicting market data, basic data, and user-generated data, such as gambling markets and Hollywood stock exchanges. They worked with the Office Department to develop the Excel App "Oscars ballot Predictor" to help with Dynamic Data mining. As a scientific analysis of the results, Rothschild does not directly point to each award 21163.html "> Winners, but in percentages to show the possibility of different movies or individuals to win the award, the forecast results will be updated with time and data changes.

Up to us time March 2 6:13 Oscar awards before the opening ceremony, he had some predictions about this Academy Award:

Best Film: 12 years for slaves, 88.7%

Best Director: Afonso Calon (Gravity), 97.6%

Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyer's Club), 90.9%

Best Actress: Blanchett (Blue Jasmine), 99.2%

Best Supporting Actor: Jered Leto (Dallas Buyer's Club), 97.9%

Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyono (12 years of slavery), 60.1%

In this Academy Award, the Best Original Screenplay award is the most competitive. The film "She" is the most likely to win 56.3%, followed by the "American scam" winning probability of 41.8%, and finally "she" picked the award. Their predictions are not only for the Oscars but also for the predictions of major sports and political events, and you can visit the PredictWise website to see their predictions.

In a recent interview, Rothschild said he was delighted that his work could be the focus of people's meetings, and he hoped that the study would extend to the economic and business sectors, demonstrating the value of the work and helping people allocate resources efficiently.

The following is the 86-year Oscar-winning list, proving that big data is really amazing.