Experts predict first half game inflection point

"Country 11" has not been, Guangzhou daily average deal still exceed 200 sets of industry think, the first half of the price is difficult to fall, do not recommend the public to chase high experts to predict property prices in the first half of the game, the second half of the inflection point reporter Zhaoyanhua Report: Regulation of real estate "State 11" issued two days later, hoop the developer funds "policy rope" also tightened ——— raise the reserve requirement ratio will directly increase the real estate industry capital pressure, so that developers pocket money less. However, according to the Yangcheng Evening News reporter survey found that the three days of Guangzhou property prices did not fall as people expect, turnover is not some media said "0" or a slump of 80%. According to the Sun home margin trading data show that the recent daily market in Guangzhou is still more than 200 sets of transactions.　　Real estate experts analysis, the policy will not be so quick, developers will still "support" a period of time, the first half of the expected price in Guangzhou, the housing market inflection point may appear in the second half, the public is not recommended to pursue high investment. In the past two days, Yangcheng Evening News reporters in the Tianhe, Baiyun, Haizhu several areas of the real estate sales department, see the floor of the public is not many, but the house prices have not been loosened by policy.　　Mr. Zhang has already fancy Baiyun District a real estate unit, this thought that after the new deal, he and developers have bargaining "chips", but after several negotiations, the final sales miss only gave 96 percent discount, and stressed that this is the minimum discount. "Developers who will be so quick to reduce prices?" Li Wenjiang, chief market analyst at the top of the rich, said that the current "country 11" rules have not been promulgated, developers are waiting to see the change. "The previous period of time developers to take the cost is relatively high, and the current capital chain is not a short-term tension, it is not possible to direct price sales."　　"According to the disclosure, the agent of Guangzhou Sixty or seventy large and small real estate, so far, have not heard the short-term price reduction plan." The data show that Guangzhou last year only 6.05 million square meters of residential supply, the supply of the least since 2006, but the volume of up to 9.04 million square meters, the highest point since 2007. Industry insiders introduce, last year, 70% of Guangzhou buyers are businessmen, most of them are investment demand.　　With the introduction of "Country 11", the demand for speculative buying will gradually decrease, which will lead to a reduction in the volume of property market this year. According to the data released yesterday by DTZ, the supply of the first floor in the six districts of the centre continued to shrink this year, with 1.26 million square meters (about 12,000 sets) expected to be supplied in the Central district of Guangzhou in 2010, the lowest supply in four years (note: 1.44 million square meters in the first half of 2007, The first half of 2008 is 1.85 million square meters, 2009 is 1.65 million square meters, unable to meet the needs of the public, some people will turn to the outlying areas to buy property, leading to structural adjustment in Guangzhou. But Li Qingwen, director and Head of strategic development advisor DTZ Central China and Huaxi District, said the real drop will come in the second half of the year. Chao Chowen, director of Guangdong Provincial Housing association, said in an interview with Yangcheng Evening News that developers earned enough money in the past year toAnother four or five months, but with the follow-up project started, the developer's capital chain tension, it is estimated that in 5 this year-June, a price reduction or disguised promotion.