"The New Deal effect and bubble in direct proportion, 4 trillion yuan private funds still in the property market wait and see, difficult to leave the field, as long as the settlement between urban and rural land Broken Bridge, China's real estate problems should not become a problem." April 29, in Sanya held in the "China tourism Real Soft Power summit", the vice president of the Chinese real estate research gu on the current real estate situation, threw out the above views. The effect of the new deal and bubbles directly proportional to the reporter saw, many domestic real estate experts gathered, the real estate New deal has expressed great concern. Gu said that the real estate effect of the new deal is directly proportional to the bubble, that is, where more bubbles, house prices rise fast, speculative ratio is high, the impact will be relatively large, on the contrary, the impact will be relatively small. In his view, China's economy is in a growing period, urbanization is only 46.6%, urban residents only about 33%, which means that there are still one-third of the population did not live in town, in the context of urbanization, we have reason to believe that China's real estate is still growing, Don't lose faith because of current regulation or bubbles. At the same time, the people's demand for their own lives continues to flourish, real speculators are only part of the. The supply of housing guarantee room doubled "in the strong demand, China's real estate faced two deficiencies." Gu pointed out: first, the shortage of supply, this 1-March National commercial housing completed area of 110 million square meters, sales area has reached 150 million square meters, there is a large gap between supply and demand, the second is the structural imbalance, that is, the protection of housing deficiencies. In this regard, the Government's stunning land supply plan this year, with only 76,000 hectares of residential land planned for the year, means that the supply of residential land this year will be equivalent to 2.4 times times that of last year, with a doubling of the supply of housing and security houses. 4 trillion the way out of private funds Gu said that China's real estate also faces two "past": the first is the excess liquidity, liquidity surplus this is a long-standing matter, is now continuing to even increase. In the last year, people in the country spent 7 trillion yuan to buy a house, while the rural and urban residents still increased the savings of 4 trillion yuan. This increase of 4 trillion yuan, most in the hands of a few people, in buying stocks afraid of the hold-up, buy gold can not see clearly, buy antique afraid to be fooled, deposit bank negative interest rate, these funds if there is no better way out, I am afraid will still be in the property market, and difficult to leave. The second is that the income gap is too big. At present, the government to increase the number of affordable housing solutions for low-income groups, but the outlet of the high-end wealth class is also very important, that is their investment outlets, now the new deal is not to allow the rich to invest in the property market, or even hit him, how can this part of the people to protect wealth? The government is the housing price instability Gu pointed out that the sustained and healthy development of the real estate market must be blocked and sparse combination, regulation can only be temporary, reform can be long-term root. At present, the land between urban and rural areas is broken bridge. Rich people in the city can notTo buy a house in the countryside, buy a house is illegal, and even rent is wrong, urban and rural land is very asymmetrical, if the land between urban and rural areas and legitimate, the Chinese real estate market problems should not become a problem. To the new deal under the real estate trend, gu that, from the market view, the recent decline in trading is inevitable, the medium-term price fluctuations are inevitable. I think the government is not going to give up the price of housing. ”
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