How long can the price of second-tier cities be higher?

Since the second half, the real estate market significantly increase in prices, the end of second-hand housing by the policy "last bus effect" stimulate volume inflation this March to October, the country's 70 large and medium-sized cities in 8 consecutive months of rising prices, policy expectations and other factors are pushing up the last two months of this year's house turnover　　In the second half of the year, the real estate price Zisheng of the hot scenes also spread to the peacetime is not too much attention to second-tier cities. House prices have hit new highs in volume, prices have been high, Wang Pin ...　　Since the second half of this year, the first-tier city housing market, the hot scene, constantly in the secondary cities staged, and more. Anhui Hefei commodity housing average price rose after September. This 1-November, the average commodity price of 4531 yuan/square meters, and in November to break 5000 yuan/square meters mark, set a new record, turnover is also climbing. Since July, Hefei has 5 consecutive months of turnover of the property market.　　In the district rent money miss, after one months of looking at the house, and finally bought a house near the house, she told reporters: almost all the real estate, after the past, sales Miss told her, no good huxing or layer. Heilongjiang Harbin Housing prices in the first 4 months of a small oscillation, since June, the price of housing sales overlap higher than the original. The reporter discovered that the Harbin city each intermediary company sales performance all the way red, each district real estate exchange is also overcrowded.　　A report by the National Bureau of Statistics Harbin Investigation Team shows that prices rose 4.5% in November, rising 2.6% per cent year-on-year, creating a new high this year. Wuhan, Hubei Province, began to "Rise" in February this year, May began to "Take-off", so far high.　　In the first week of December, the average price of the house in Wuhan City was 6108 yuan per square metre, which reached the historical peak, and was 5259 yuan this year January. Under the impetus of high house prices, the land market also fire up. The land sale price rises, everywhere Wang Pin present, the developer to the house price anticipation displays the confidence. In Jinan City, Shandong province, after more than 90 licensing competition, a total area of about 10.2 acres of mountain Division North Street, Jinan education and teaching equipment factory plots, to 192 million of the price by the Shandong Dadi Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., each acres about more than 18.8 million yuan, become the new king of Jinan.　　　September, in Harbin, Goldman Sachs to 1.2 billion yuan to buy a new area of a land, won the title of Harbin King, however, in January, a Chongqing enterprise to 1.8 billion yuan to compete for a new area of the new land, the record refreshed. Volume prices are mainly driven by demand for the end of last year, China issued a series of incentives to buy homes, promote the smooth development of the real estate market policy. Local governments have also issued relevant measures, including the second-tier cities of the "bailout" more vigorously. such as the Harbin Municipal government in February this year to relax the preferential policy of common housing area standards, while relaxing the Housing Provident Fund loan conditions and the longest period.　　These preferential policies strongly stimulated the release of the demand for self-housing, which helped the market to rebound quickly. When the demand for housing has come into the market, investment demand has become a further increase in price."Relay". Nanning, Guangxi, for example, this year, the number of foreign buyers has increased significantly, accounting for about 40% of total purchase.　　In the China-ASEAN International business district, foreign buyers have reached 70%. There are also experts pointed out that the current rise in property prices do not rule out irrational factors, home buyers "buy up not buy down" panic mentality helped push prices. Reporter found that in Wuhan, house prices continue to rise, some people have been complaining, but did not hear which sale does not move.　　At the same time the financial pressure to alleviate the developers, not in a hurry to sell the property, but to take "cover plate" or "Squeeze toothpaste" push disk mode, artificial manufacturing in short supply, at any time the price of the tense atmosphere.　　"The last bus effect" difficult to continue preferential policies of the "late bus effect" caused by the end of the year volume explosive growth. In recent months, the reporter passed through the store of real estate intermediary company, often see such a countdown sign: "Purchase preferential policy, there are a few days left!"　　"The reporter visited several real estate sales, most buyers worry about preferential policies, sales staff will inadvertently to the customer," Miss can not regret. Professional analysis, before the uncertainty of the housing market to bring "panic" sex purchase, mortgage interest rate of 70 percent to continue, improve the two housing concessions whether tightening, etc., so that some plan to buy a person to tighten the nerves.　　Many people "grab the last bus", have to buy a house. The executive meeting of the State Council 9th held that the personal housing transfer business tax exemption period from 2 years to 5 years, other housing consumption policies continue to implement. Previous speculation on whether the purchase of preferential policies continue to have the answer.　　This means that the government on the one hand to support the people living in housing and improve sexual demand, on the one hand, to curb speculative buying, to the home and improve the needs of the people to buy a reassuring. The "Last bus effect" triggered by the panic of buying houses is clearly not lasting.　　It remains to be seen how the future property market will go. (newspaper reporter Zhu Lei, horse Peak, Panger ping Cao Hongtao, Zhifeng, Huang Bimei)