How to keep 8.5% in the second half?

Source: Internet
Author: User
Keywords Excess liquidity property bubble express transportation Zhou Yanni
Mr Ding Shei Li Yangchunrong, Pao Chen Dan Works 8.5%, is the annual GDP growth target set by Guangdong in the beginning of the year. To achieve this goal smoothly, the second half of Guangdong's economic growth must reach more than 9.7%.  A few days ago, Guangdong Provincial party Committee of the ten sessions of the five plenary on the economic work of the second half of the deployment, in the measures to protect the growth of the emphasis put forward to study the introduction of incentives to encourage private investment policy measures, all private capital can do things to try to let private capital to do. How to use a good and adequate policy? Where is the way to break yourself?  The South Regional Economic Roundtable Forum business Perspective, this in-depth discussion ——— lang-ping: all the economic views of the University of Pennsylvania, the Wharton School of Business, a professor at the University of Hong Kong, University of Michigan, the University of California What is domestic demand? Domestic demand is not our simple understanding of highways, rebar and cement to pull the economy. Corporate profits are the way to boost domestic demand. For a country, including Guangdong, its continued growth stems from corporate profits. Once the enterprise has made money, it can make the investment, and the effect of the multiplier effect is about 5 times times, like the snowball effect. In order to be sustainable, rather than simply investing in infrastructure, the enterprises in Guangdong Province should transform from pure manufacturing into industrial chain integration to stimulate the economy through profits. The first half of bank credit 7.37 Trillion was in the infrastructure, 4 trillion was infrastructure, and its role was to pull G D P, and fast. The negative effect of the major projects is the lack of sustainability, especially in the Midwest infrastructure, the general lack of benefits after the completion of the lack of long-term impetus.  We have a new understanding of what is needed. At present, the most difficult is the deterioration of the investment business environment, so that the difficult manufacturing investment environment improvement may be more important than the construction of highways. 06 Most people think that the stock market bubble is due to excess liquidity, in fact, manufacturing capital into the stock market. In addition, the basic construction once long will be compressed consumption, such as G D p in the steel reinforced cement part of the fixed assets investment is almost accounted for 57%, then consumption becomes 36%.  I have put forward the slogan "All economy looks South", its logic lies in Guangdong labor-intensive industry from simple manufacturing to the whole industry chain integration, that is, including manufacturing, product design, raw material procurement, warehousing, order Processing, retail and other integration. The gross profit margin of the toy in Guangdong is zero or negative, but the U.S. Mattel's gross profit margin is over 40%, Mattel does the whole industry chain of the non-manufacturing part, that is, the integration of the manufacturing industry, the transition speed is relatively fast, generally 3-6 months of time can be effective. It's not just a slogan for companies to turn to domestic sales.  To the domestic market must have comparative advantage, to carry out industrial chain integration may be transferred to domestic, foreign trade enterprises themselves to achieve industrial chain integration can reduce costs and improve profits. Pao: Two prerequisites, three points the president of China Private Association, the original deputy owner of the Federation of FederationsChair, China people (private) Camp Economic Research Council president, China Transportation Association Express Transport Branch of the Senior Steering Committee members.  As a journalist, editor and deputy editor-in-chief of the People's Daily, private enterprises should use the full policy to grasp two prerequisites and three key points. Two prerequisites: First, the private enterprises to the current economic situation, to have a clear and thorough understanding, otherwise the good policy before you, also won't use. What do you think of the situation? In my opinion, the difficulties that China's economy now encounter, first of all, is indeed the impact of the financial crisis, which is an external cause. Internal causes are serious problems in our economic support: unreasonable structure and unscientific development. This is our Achilles heel.  The problem of structural irrationality is not solved by several policies, and a series of deep institutional reforms must be done. Since the onset of the financial crisis last September, the central government has introduced a series of policies, both short-term and long-term, in almost every week. For example, some time ago in order to promote real estate, less than six months of policy, and changed back. The private enterprise must grasp the fundamental development tendency, cannot be puzzled by the temporary change. Private enterprises nationwide 6.9 million, investors more than 14 million people. The registered capital exceeds 10 trillion.  But with the average, the registered capital of each enterprise is very small, the strength is limited, it is important to lack of talent. Three main points: first, the policy, around the policy. unswervingly encourage the development of private enterprises, this theme will not change, and more important, such as 4 trillion of the Government's investment, the focus is on people's livelihood and infrastructure, these projects are invested by the government to state-owned enterprises, state-owned enterprises can not completely do their own, so private enterprises to keep their eyes on all levels of government. At the same time, actively participate in mergers and acquisitions, to learn Mengniu.  We must overcome our original short-sighted, because it was not easy to get up, now suddenly, to the merger and reorganization, their children do not call their father, to break the narrow point of view. Second, in the constant change to grasp the trend of development. Now, media outlets say the State Department is introducing a policy that encourages private capital to enter public utilities. I looked after the shudder, the public utilities, supposedly should be government investment things, the result to private enterprises to do. I advise private entrepreneurs to be very careful, if you do not have sufficient strength, no strong management team, you must not touch. According to the situation all over the country, 10 of the nine private enterprises entering public utilities will fail. Why? First, the utility is not for profit, and secondly, our Government is a secretary Zhang, and the next secretary will not admit.  In particular, private entrepreneurs into public utilities, I will give you a basin of cold water, which is a good way to avoid passive. Third, private enterprises should participate in the formulation of government policies in an orderly manner through their own legal organizations. For many years, private enterprises have passively accepted the government's policy. What is the bitterness of private enterprises, the relevant government departments are not necessarily very clear, the lack of a communication between. So over a year, IOur policy is like a roller coaster, what's the reason?  Because the policy-making departments do not understand private enterprises, and private enterprises do not have a good channel to reflect their views. Chen Dan Works: How intangible assets convince financial institutions Guangdong Provincial Federation of Commerce and Association, vice chairman of Zhanjiang, Guangdong Heng Hing Group Co., Ltd., chairman of the National Standing Committee of China this year, the state has adopted a loose monetary policy, small and medium-sized enterprises financing difficult problem, gradually in the solution, especially in Guangdong Province launched a 1 billion yuan Guangzhou, the Provincial Federation of Commerce and Construction Bank signed a 180 billion yuan is mainly to the SME financing credit limit.  However, many SME financing channels have not been unblocked, especially in the financial environment, such as patents, intangible assets, orders need to innovate, can effectively solve the problem of financing, so financial innovation.  Small and medium-sized enterprises themselves also need to understand what is the core competitiveness of enterprises, small and medium-sized team of intangible assets, industry, scientific research on how to persuade financial institutions. Guangdong's SMEs are mainly to do the European and American markets, we can develop the Middle East market, the Russian market, the African market, can also adjust the domestic market, so the small and medium-sized enterprises in many times to take advantage of two resources, do a good job in two markets, foreign markets and domestic market, which requires SMEs clear development strategy, development planning, decision-making thinking,  And the overall strength of the team is very important.  If the enterprise live well, the most crucial is to rely on their own, the enterprise to strengthen the body, not others to give you medicine to eat can, to exercise and improve their quality. Li Yangchun: Three things that enterprises should not do in the economic crisis the vice chairman of Guangdong Federation of Industry and Commerce in the face of the financial crisis, entrepreneurs should not do three things, one is not to think calmly, and the second is only to go solo, and not to hold the regiment.  The third is timid, dare not invest.  The Pearl River Delta Reform Development outline has brought the unprecedented development opportunity for the entrepreneur and the Chamber of Commerce, how grasps the opportunity, promising is a reality which our entrepreneur faces. The Pearl River Delta Reform Development Plan outline implementation has two is indispensable, one is the industry organization, the Trade Chamber of Commerce, the profession Association, under this new economic environment, its function is more and more obvious. Implement the outline, the role of trade associations is indispensable. Second, entrepreneurs, especially private entrepreneurs, should become the backbone of the implementation of the Pearl River Delta Planning outline, the main force, the vanguard.  Only the entrepreneur, the enterprise really becomes the protagonist, sings the drama, the Pearl River Delta plan outline can realize. Guangdong's SMEs have long been dealing with the outside world more, outward-oriented development by the impact of the international financial crisis is more profound.  But because the policy incentive began to show positive effect, Guangdong Enterprises have a certain wolf, vitality is very strong, the ability to resist risk is very strong, through painful adjustment process, the current gradually out of the trough. Overall, the total number of small and medium-sized enterprises in Guangdong Province has been increasing, such as manufacturing, increased by more than 6,000 this January. Guangdong people have the mentality and culture of being a boss, why Guangdong's private economy is growing very fast and importantThe point is that many people want to be the boss willing to start a business, experienced twists and turns difficult course, we still optimistic about small and medium-sized enterprises.  Shei: Guarantee living space Guangdong SME Development Promotion Association Secretary-General China's economic private sector occupies half of the status, in Guangdong also plays a very important role, especially tax and employment, G D p accounted for 60%, the employment rate reached 76%. As far as our history and current economic structure and system are concerned, although private enterprises are many, but unable to gather, can not form a strong voice, especially in the face of economic crisis, industry faced with the process of upgrading and transformation, private enterprises encountered a lot of difficulties. At present, small and medium-sized enterprises are indispensable strength, but small and medium-sized enterprises themselves are not very big, they need to solve some problems, social development needs a variety of economies, Guangdong has a variety of associations and industry organizations, we will continue to support the development of SMEs and private enterprises, through market-based means,  Government purchase promotes the development of SMEs. Many SMEs do not want the government to give a variety of subsidies and policy support, but hope that there is a better institutional environment to ensure the survival of space, will have sustained development.  At present, the domestic legal system is constantly sound, in a sound system to create a better environment for development, which is the common needs of small and medium-sized enterprises. Mr Ding: Guangdong Industrial Upgrading should rely on the strength of the Hong Kong Institute of Science and Technology professor, Ph. D., a part-time researcher of the National Institute of Advanced Studies in Australia Guangdong in the national industrial upgrading chain in the front, but not the most forward, because the strength of their research and development is not strong enough.  Over the past 20 years to be able to get international, the embodiment of independent brands, independently developed products or goods are not much from Guangdong province. The world's so-called new economy, knowledge and capital-oriented economy, the birthplace of the global new economy, the most important point is the world's best universities and research institutions concentrated place. From this point of view, China's new economy should be in the best universities concentrated cities, Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Xi ' an, Nanjing.  Guangdong Province in the country's universities and research forces, if the provincial units, the top 10. It is not easy to push Guangdong's universities and research institutions to new heights in the short term. I think there is a convenient factor is to join with the universities in Hong Kong, the University of Hong Kong has a strong research and development capacity, but the lack of a large manufacturing industry, this can be complementary to Guangdong province, involving the law, policy, Business contacts arrangements,  Involving the protection of independent property rights, involving a good flow of information system, the University research Institute to develop good ideas, these things are not easy to do, but if done, the follow-up strength is relatively large, and sustainable. Comics: 邝飚 newspaper reporter Jongming intern Zhou Yanni
Related Article

Contact Us

The content source of this page is from Internet, which doesn't represent Alibaba Cloud's opinion; products and services mentioned on that page don't have any relationship with Alibaba Cloud. If the content of the page makes you feel confusing, please write us an email, we will handle the problem within 5 days after receiving your email.

If you find any instances of plagiarism from the community, please send an email to: info-contact@alibabacloud.com and provide relevant evidence. A staff member will contact you within 5 working days.

A Free Trial That Lets You Build Big!

Start building with 50+ products and up to 12 months usage for Elastic Compute Service

  • Sales Support

    1 on 1 presale consultation

  • After-Sales Support

    24/7 Technical Support 6 Free Tickets per Quarter Faster Response

  • Alibaba Cloud offers highly flexible support services tailored to meet your exact needs.