IDC predicts next year's top ten tech trends: Big data will be bigger

Beijing time December 5 Morning News, market research company IDC recently released a report on the 2014 Ten Science and Technology industry development trend made a forecast. IDC said 2014 will be the science and technology industry "is very busy" year, the entire IT industry will usher in a wave of consolidation, there will be a few big "winners."

' The overall picture of the IT industry will change, ' said Frank Gens, an analyst at IDC, Frank Jens. ' No one will be stupid enough to say: ' We won't compete with Amazon '.

The following is IDC's top ten forecasts for the 2014 IT industry:

1, the overall IT expenditure growth of 5.1% to 2.14 trillion U.S. dollars;

Global smartphones (expected to grow 12%) and tablets (expected to grow 18%) will continue to "heat" growth (more than 60% per cent of total it growth) and PC sales will continue to slide. Spending performance in areas such as servers, storage, networking, software, and services will be better than 2013.

2, Android vs Apple in the sixth round

The Andro community, led by Samsung, "will maintain the quantitative advantage relative to Apple", but Apple will continue to have "higher average selling prices and established application ecosystems". But at the same time, Google (1058.18, 4.92, 0.47%) play (Android) application downloads and revenue will be "big growth". IDC recommends that Microsoft (38.94, 0.63, 1.64%) "quickly increase the interest of mobile developers in Windows."

3, Amazon (Google is also possible) will be the traditional IT vendors launched an offensive

Amazon Network Services (AWS) "The platform for developers to provide services products, as well as High-value services for the enterprise will bring an avalanche phenomenon", forcing traditional IT vendors "emergency self-improvement." IDC predicts that Google will also join the war because it will recognise that it "should compete for leadership in this market, but face the risk of being kicked out of the market".

4. Emerging markets will restore double-digit growth of 10% per cent

Emerging markets will account for 35% of global IT revenue and will be the first to exceed 60% per cent of global IT spending growth. "In dollar terms, China's IT spending growth will be as flat as the US, even though the Chinese market is only one-third the size of the US," IDC said. ”

IDC also predicts that in the 2014-year emerging markets, the number of smart interconnect devices will reach almost one-fold in developed markets, and that emerging markets will become a "hotbed" for the development of the Internet of things.

5, the future size of the cloud market will reach 100 billion U.S. dollars

Cloud services and related technology spending will "grow by 25% per cent in 2014 years, to more than 100 billion dollars". IDC expects: "The number of data centers will increase significantly, because the cloud market participants will be to achieve the scale of globalization competition."

6, cloud service providers will increasingly become the driving force of IT market

As the number and importance of the data centers providing cloud services grows, the server, storage, and network component markets will increasingly be driven by cloud service providers, which traditionally support highly computerized and commercialized designs.

IDC predicts that existing IT hardware providers will be forced to adopt a "cloud first" strategy. In 2014, 25% to 30% of server shipments will point to data centers managed by cloud service providers, which will grow to 43% by 2017.

7, large data expenditure increase

IDC expects large data technology and services spending in 2014 to exceed $14 billion trillion, an increase of 30% per cent year-on-year, while "demand for large data analysis technologies will continue to outstrip supply". Cloud services will play a more important role in the big data market, and IDC predicts that major companies will scramble to develop cloud-based, real-time streaming data platforms.

IDC expects big data Analysis services to explode, and service providers will grow twice times in three years. Spending on these services in 2014 will exceed 4.5 billion trillion dollars, an increase of 21%.

8. The arrival of social enterprises

IDC predicts that social technologies will increasingly be integrated into existing enterprise applications. "In addition to being a strategic component of almost all customer engagement and marketing strategies, data from social applications will also support product and service development programs," IDC said. ”

By 2017, 80% of Fortune 500 companies will have an active user community, much higher than the current 30%.

9, the arrival of the Internet of Things

By 2020, the Internet of things will create 30 billion automatic terminals, from which the total revenue from the Internet of Things will reach $8.9 trillion. IDC expects a new partnership between it vendors, service providers and semiconductor providers to develop the market in 2014.

China will occupy a crucial position in this market: by 2030, the average Chinese household will have 40 to 50 smart devices/sensors, creating 20TB of data each year.

10. Digitalization of all Industries

By 2018, nearly one-third of all industry leaders will be "Amazon" by new and existing companies. "The key to competition in these subversive and reformed industries will be to create innovative platforms that focus on the industry (such as GE (26.64, 0.08, 0.3%) Predix) and attract a large innovator community," IDC said. Dozens of or even hundreds of of these communities emerge. ”

With the trend of digitization in all industries, "it buyers will continue to turn to corporate executives." Between 2014 and 2017, it spending by organizations outside the IT department will grow at a rate of more than 60% per year.