Im tool or replace SMS in two years SMS number or drop 20%

Instant communication between IM users, only pay the data flow fee-This version of the author information Times reporter Pan Jingwen mobile phone text to the most dangerous time! In addition to IM (instant messaging) tools, Micro bo letters, rice chat and other third-party software, in the constant challenge of the survival of mobile phone messages, even Apple, Google, Microsoft, Nokia and other well-known mobile phone manufacturers, recently also launched its own IM software, providing free text chat services, communication between users only need to pay data flow charges, The move is a big substitute for the carrier's texting business.　　Some analysts believe that, along with the use of IM software grew up in the younger generation, mobile phone messages are gradually replaced, merged into the data business is sooner or later things. Mobile phone giant Push IM service recently, Apple has launched a imessage free text chat Service at the Global Developers Conference (WWDC), allowing Apple product users to have the ability to bypass carrier SMS services and free text messages.　　According to IDC, an analyst, the global iphone sales will reach 166 million by 2015, meaning that more than 150 million Apple users around the world will be able to use imessage to communicate with each other through data networks. Under Apple's stimulus, Nokia also recently announced its own "Nokia Im" (IM for Nokia).　　Similar to Apple's imessage, Nokia im allows free communication between Nokia users and Nokia users and users of Ovi Mail, Google Talk, MSN, Yahoo, and MySpace im, paying only the amount of data traffic. Earlier, Microsoft invested as much as $8.5 billion to buy well-known VoIP software Skype, while Google plans to further improve existing Google voice to enable it to have text communication capabilities; RIM has already launched BlackBerry's own IM tool BBM,　　In May this year, the Check-in service Foursquare was integrated into BBM. For a while, all kinds of cheap, easy to use mobile phone manufacturers own IM tools in the global situation.　　The natural way to squeeze market share is relatively expensive, the most traditional mode of communication-Mobile text messages. The number of SMS or drop 20% in two years in fact, mobile phone manufacturers im tools for mobile phone message application of the encroachment seems to be still only "in the future."　　However, including mobile phone QQ, Micro Bo letters, such as software, such as the Third party IM software to the mobile phone text messaging business has been the encroachment has been "now in progress." "As long as my phone is open, mobile QQ, micro bo, rice chat and so on these things I will hang, and colleagues, friends of communication is very convenient." "An iphone 4 user told reporters that he has basically no phone messages." Experts estimate that the number of text messages will plummet by 20% in the next two years. AI Media Market Consulting chairman Zhang to reporters, along with the many users have long been accustomed to send free IM message, when they enter the middle age, mobile phone shortThis form of faith will also become history.　　According to a survey conducted by Sina, 55.4% of netizens believe the situation is "very likely" to happen. In fact, although at home, as mobile phone users are still increasing sharply, so that the use of mobile phone messages to maintain the growth of about 5%, but in the number of mobile phone users basically stable in the United States, mobile phone text usage has begun to gradually reduce.　　According to the US Wireless Communications and Internet Association CTIA recently released a report that: 2010 in the second half, the U.S. mobile phone users to send and receive more than 1 trillion, but only a 8.7% increase in the first half of the SMS explosion in ten years the smallest increase. Operators need to change the charging method some people in the industry believe that, in addition to the customer experience, one important reason smartphone users prefer to use mobile IM tools rather than text messages is that they are cheap-the basic price of a text message is about a dime, and using IM tools to communicate with the workers, no matter how you talk, you only need to use trace amounts of data , much less than the price of text messages. With overseas analysts counting the accounts, the At&t company uses traffic to send newsletters at least 10 dollars a month.　　Therefore, the carrier SMS business and mobile IM tools to compete with the first step, is the need to significantly reduce the SMS service charges. However, some experts told reporters that although the outlook for mobile phone messages is not optimistic, but also not overly pessimistic. A portal cell phone test director Dan to reporters, first of all, operators in the face of competition, it is possible to allow the use of mobile phone text messages significantly reduced to promote the application of mobile phone messages. Second, the country still has a huge number of users are using simple functions of mobile phones rather than smartphones, so the message function is essential. Finally, cell phone messages are likely to evolve into a "messenger" of communication between the big IM tools--such as the hostile Apple, Google, Microsoft and Nokia, which need text messages as a platform for communication.