Industry material December CPI rebound hyper-expected inflationary pressure end or reproduce

Source: Internet
Author: User
Keywords Growth rate inflation
Tags agencies analysis change consumer consumer price index consumer prices index
December 30 News, some experts believe that, following November consumer prices (CPI) Year-on-year rise from negative to positive, December CPI inflation may expand to about 1.5%. The future should be wary of price rebound from moderate to fast. Sino-New Society hair Wu Mang Xinhua Beijing, January 14, according to the Hong Kong "Wen Wei Po" news, analysis agencies generally believe that the upcoming December 2009 Consumer Price index (CPI) more likely than expected change, estimated CPI in the 1.5% to 2%, in the last month, food prices rose faster on the basis of Considering the weather factors such as snow, not even excluding the month CPI will exceed 2%.  As for the 2010 CPI judgment, there is an analysis of about 3% a year, but in the fourth quarter may appear nearly 5% of inflationary pressure. CPI inflation surged to nearly 2% per cent last month, with the CPI and PPI year-on-year growth of December 2009 rising to 1.6% and 1.9%, respectively, from November to 0.6% and 2.1%. Bullish is also the chief economist of CICC.  He expected December 2009 CPI growth of 1.6% Year-on-year, the increase may be significantly larger than November, and PPI will rise by about 0.2% per cent, farewell to 12 consecutive months of negative growth. Mainland inflation is exceeding expectations and economic growth continues to accelerate, industrial growth continues to rebound, export growth is exceeding expectations, and Citic Securities's latest research report says this will spur policy withdrawal ahead of time;  The bank said it would raise interest rates by 54 basis points in 2010.  Inflationary pressures will return. CITIC also raised its 2010 mainland CPI forecast from 2.6% to 3.2%,ppi from 3.5% to 5.1%, but said it was unlikely to see high inflation this year. However, Yiu Jizhong and fan of the Institute of World Economics and Politics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences wrote that the 2010 CPI will be gradually higher, the annual CPI growth rate will remain at 2.9%, but the fourth quarter CPI growth will rise to 4.8%, inflationary pressure will return.
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