It's not pleasant to be on the top of the export

As trade protection intensifies, China quietly boarded the "throne" of the world's largest exports.　　In this thorny seat, China does not seem to sit comfortably. On the eve of the Spring Festival, the German Federal Bureau of Statistics released data showing that 2009 German exports amounted to 1.1213 trillion U.S. dollars (803.2 billion euros), down 18.4% from the previous year.　　The figure is slightly below China's $1.2016 trillion trillion, which means China has pulled Germany from its "global export first" throne. However, the above brilliant figures can not make people complacent. "To get rid of exports, China is far from enough to compare with Germany or even other countries in many indicators," he said.　　February 13, Super, an arbitrator of China international Economic and Trade Arbitration Commission, said in an interview with the China News reporter. Super said that no matter from the export industry structure, product technology content, business subject competitiveness, innovation ability and macro-management of foreign trade, or from the scale of trade per capita, profit situation, China has a big gap with developed countries.　　None of this changes because China is the first to export.　　In Super's view, this "first" may also be an excuse for foreign trade protection, and may lead to more "double counter". A series of new "double counter" events that have just emerged confirm the Super's statement. In the year of the Tiger Spring Festival holiday, the United States, the European Union, Argentina and other countries to China's oil well drilling pipe, coated paper, melamine and other products launched anti-dumping investigations.　　South Korea will also start from February 23, to China, Guangdong and other three provinces, ginger, potato embargo. "This year and even next year, trade protection will increase." "Super said.　　In this respect, the same attitude of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, deputy researcher Lin Qin, he accepted the "China News" reporter interviewed, also said that there is no evidence to reduce the establishment of trade barriers to China signs. Lin also believes that the trade protection "to" the factor is not with the export of China's world ranking proportional relationship. "First or second, it will not become a direct factor for China to encounter more trade barriers, the most important factor is the protection of national interests."　　"But he admits that it may have a psychological impact on countries," he said. Look again, the economic recovery of countries. Whether or not the financial crisis has been discussed in the past is still not over yet. The haze of debt in countries such as Greece is spreading, and even foreign experts are predicting that the second financial crisis will happen soon.　　The global economic situation will be "W" and the second bottom will be brought by the euro crisis. The US economy has seen signs of warmer growth in the fourth quarter of last year, but from its recent performance, expectations are not too high.　　Super that China's exports to the United States should maintain a faster pace of growth in the first half of this year, but the situation will not be too rosy in the second half or even next year. Super explained: "First of all, Obama made clear that the United States from imported countries into export-oriented countries, some products are undoubtedlyWill form competition. Second, America's savings rate has been raised from almost zero to 6.8% now. Third, America's interest rate increase will be a sign of the gradual withdrawal of stimulus policies, which will also affect the pace of U.S. economic recovery in the short term. Lin also said that with the deterioration of Sino-US relations, the United States may also turn imports to India, Vietnam and other countries.　　Therefore, he suggested that our government should improve the environment of Sino-US relations, pave the way for our exports, or raise the exchange rate appropriately and reduce trade frictions. Super's suggestion is that the shortage of migrant workers in coastal enterprises has already indicated that our country relies on the low labor cost era has passed, our country should look gradually to improve product value-added, improve competitiveness. The Government should put the work of guiding the enterprise transformation into practice.　　For example, corporate lending policy, tax policy, encouraging entrepreneurship, encouraging high-tech development, and whether the government is willing to provide 20% or 50% of venture capital for export Enterprises. Both experts say that the era of export-led GDP is over, and governments, industries and businesses should not expect our exports to return to pre-crisis conditions. Do not make improper behavior because of this "first". Sourceph ">