Lang Run forecast: Three quarter economic growth rate lower

Reporter Miaoyan 24th, said the Lang Run forecast report, 22 Chinese and foreign research institutions believe that this year's three-quarter economic growth will continue to maintain a steady and rapid momentum. Overall, economic growth will be lower, prices have peaked and the trade surplus has rebounded. Among them, the GDP growth forecast of three quarters is about 9.3%,CPI growth rate of 3%, industrial increase value is about 13.5%, urban fixed assets investment growth rate 22.7%, social consumer goods retail total growth 17.8%, export growth 28.7%, import growth rate 30.8%.　　In addition to the CPI, the data are lower than the actual value of the first quarter. of the 22 institutions participating in the forecast, the highest growth forecast for GDP reached 9.7%, while the lowest forecast was 8.5%. A number of foreign-funded institutions involved in the forecast say China's GDP will remain at more than 9.5% per cent growth in the three quarter. In addition, in the CPI growth forecast, the maximum value is 3.7%.　　While most agencies think the CPI is likely to continue to rise in the third quarter, most are unlikely to see a third-quarter rate hike, except for individual agencies who believe the benchmark interest rate for the three-quarter deposit will increase by 0.27%. In addition, as the central bank announced in June to enhance exchange rate flexibility, the market for the appreciation of the renminbi is expected to strengthen again, the agency's forecast also reflects this, the RMB exchange rate of the highest forecast reached 6.55 yuan, the minimum value of 6.76 yuan, both at the end of the quarter 6.79 yuan, the actual value of a certain increase.