Lei forecast Millet 2015 sales exceed billions of dollars said and Gree Gamble win

Wen/Huang Longzhong in the circle of friends to see the media reports Lei to Reidong gambling response, I think this lively. Before the National People's Congress, Lei reporters have been avoiding with Gree chairman Mingzhu 1 billion gambling, to everyone in 5 years to see the results good. But according to the media, in March 5, Guangdong Delegation Media open Day speech, Lei forecast 2014 millet sales will increase to 60.07 trillion yuan, 2015 sales will be more than 100 billion yuan: Millet mobile phone is listed in October 2011, the first year, 2012 12.65 billion, 2013 31.6 billion, is expected this year 60.07 trillion, next year has a relatively large grasp of billions. This is the power of the Internet. Now Gree has not released 2013 years of Four seasons, it predicts sales of 120 billion yuan, year-on-year increase of 20%. I've seen Gree's annual report of 2004, and its revenues have been growing, especially since the financial crisis of 2008, which soon recovered from the crisis. Gree achieved nearly 20% growth in 2012, predicting that 2013 will keep 20% growth (sales from 100.1 billion to 120 billion). Let's assume that Gree will maintain 20% growth over the next five years--a big backdrop for China's continued economic growth--and I believe everyone is confident that by 2018, when the game expires, Gree's sales would reach 311 billion yuan (see chart). Millet: 2011, Millet did not announce sales, but we according to the year 215,000 sales (the year of December 18 open purchase to obtain 300,000 orders, effective orders 215,000), and millet 1999 yuan pricing, can be roughly calculated sales revenue of 430 million. 2012, 2013 announced sales revenue is 12.6 billion yuan and 31.6 billion yuan, 2013 year income year-on-year growth of 150%. Lei said the 2014-year income is expected to be 70 billion, a year-on-year increase of 150% to 120% per cent in the previous year (2013). This speed is slowing down, we worse the situation to speculate on millet: Assuming 2015 years of millet growth from 2014 to 120% to 100%, then sales income of 140 billion yuan. For the next three years, the Chinese smartphone market is expected to be saturated, and we assume it will grow by only 50%. Well, it's 2018 of the total income of 472.5 billion yuan. (Like Gree, we all assume that the two companies will not be fatal mistakes in the next five years) only from the data to infer that in 2018 when the Reidong gamble came into effect-if anyone remembers the game-millet income would exceed gree, Lei will win the gamble. In fact, if we follow our reasoning above, 2016, three years later,Lei is likely to win the bet.