Ministry of Commerce experts: control surplus under pressure

Ministry of Commerce, International trade and Economic Cooperation Research Institute Dean Ho Jianguo New Express News (reporter Zhang Yi) in a few days, August foreign trade data will be announced, following the July trade surplus surged to record nearly 18-month highs, even the high monthly trade surplus will be announced.　　In yesterday's Guangzhou conference and Exhibition Economic Forum, the Ministry of Commerce International Trade and Economic Cooperation Research Institute Dean Ho Jianguo accepted this reporter to the annual Foreign trade Development still expressed concern, estimated foreign trade growth will continue to fall, the annual trade surplus growth will still face greater pressure, so balance the development of foreign trade is still a difficult task. Ho Jianguo said: "This year, China's foreign trade situation before the high after the low pattern has not changed, but the former high after the low gap may not be as big as before."　　"For the year's foreign trade situation, he believes that the annual growth rate of foreign trade will be maintained at 20%-25%, export growth will be slightly higher than imports." According to its analysis, from the current situation, the external environment has shown signs of stability, although the European and American economies are still facing relatively large growth pressures, but it is estimated that this year to maintain a certain growth is possible. In Europe, the debt crisis is in the past, and the US is expected to maintain a growth rate of around 2% for the year, although pressure remains on jobs. Before the judge before the high and low, in addition to their own factors, there is a large part of the reason is based on external factors. In the weak economic growth in Europe and the United States, China's cheap goods will still maintain a certain market share. At the same time, China's internal export growth momentum is strong, manufacturing advantages are still more obvious.　　So exports will continue to maintain a certain growth trend. On the import side, Ho Jianguo said that the two-quarter import has a continuous decline in the process, as China's economic stability, investment and industrial production will continue to maintain a certain scale of growth, the support of imports will not be a major change in the next few months, the performance of imports will stabilise. In the case of stable imports and falling exports, the pressure on the trade surplus will ease. It is estimated that the foreign trade surplus will reach about 150 billion dollars a year.