New country eight landing accelerated limit purchase tightening or the birth of triple effect

Every reporter Ye Shuli Yang Yiqiang Zhu Ling from Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou before and after the Spring Festival, the new country eight landing speed suddenly accelerated, Shanghai, Beijing and other cities have issued severe restrictions on purchasing measures, all over the market from the end of last year's blowout situation into the wait and see. Current, buyers and real estate traders entered a close tug of the battle, the market supply and demand appears to be backwater, but under the surface is a dark flow, the new version of the purchase order is caused by triple effect: the market, strict restrictions on the purchase after a period of saw, whether will trigger a similar 2008-year Check-out Tide Product surface, the pressure on residential real estate demand, will squeeze funds into commercial real estate? Company, mainstream real estate developers will be divided this year? Daily economic news, the first real estate weekly of the Rabbit, will solve for you--a heavy effect • Check-out tide looming Beijing "Beijing 15" unprecedented severe or birth default check-out every reporter Ye Shuli from Beijing February 16, Beijing promulgated the "new country Eight" local implementation of the rules "Beijing 15", because "Beijing 15" Has not officially landed, many buyers in the local rules before the implementation of the buying House, Rob transfer.　　However, experts in the industry believe that, "Beijing 15" after the implementation of the psychological and second-house down payment ratio increase factors, or led to a partial default in Beijing property market check-out phenomenon.　　Transfer line in the last few days after the Spring festival, Beijing District Housing Registration Office Hall are overcrowded, apply song sketch in words, the scene can be described as "gongs, sea of sea."　　In fact, since the January 26 night "New Country Eight" published, transfer tide began to come.　　January 27, Beijing real Estate Transactions Management network statistics show that the Beijing property market in a single day after the April 29, 2010 Breakthrough Again 2000 sets, reached 2093 sets.　　The wave of transfer has continued to this day. February 15, a Beijing Chaoyang District Housing Registration Office of the client line transfer, said: "To seize the time to do the formalities, because the loan has just been approved, is worried about the new policy, back to what new problems, affect the transfer." "To this, Beijing Zhongyuan three level market research director Dawei to the Daily economic news reporter analysis that this is a typical policy last-bus effect." Although the "notice on adjusting the sales tax policy on individual housing transfers" since January 28 has reduced this effect, the market is still crazy because of the third round of regulation, such as restricting home purchases.　　The first week after the Spring festival, that is, February 8 ~2 13th, Beijing second-hand housing turnover of 3109 sets, up about 25% per cent. Or the birth part check-out Dawei points out that when the "Beijing 15" landed, the new deal brought about by the air of the mood may trigger a small number of default phenomenon.　　In addition, because of "Beijing 15" very strict, some buyers or because they do not meet the new deal purchase conditions and cannot transfer. The reporter noted that since last May, the implementation of the Beijing restrictions on purchase orders, the foreigner purchase must provide more than one year of the city's tax certificate or Social Security payment certificate, andIn the "Beijing 15", the corresponding provisions become a foreigner need to provide more than 5 years of the city's tax certificate or Social Insurance payment certificate.　　The threshold of the increase, may make a lot of transactions can not be transferred, so have to check out.　　Chain Home Real estate statistics show that in 2009, the proportion of foreigners in Beijing as high as 38%, May 2010 Beijing version of the release of the purchase order, the proportion of foreigners to buy less than 34%. Dawei that, because the second down payment ratio increases and so on a small number of commercial housing will need to increase the down payment ratio, may also lead to a lot of default check-out.　　In the one months since April and the end of September last year, the number of check-out has increased. Shanghai January new Push real estate deposit overdue hundreds of times every reporter Yang Yiqiang from Shanghai February 1, from the State Council issued "New country Eight" only 5 days, Shanghai promulgated the implementation of the rules, in Shanghai has 2 sets or more housing in the city household households, with 1 sets of housing and more than the residents of the city household households,　　Non-city resident families who have not paid for more than 1 years of personal income tax certificates or social insurance certificates in Shanghai for 2 years are temporarily suspended from selling their homes in Shanghai. "Daily economic news" reporter on the Shanghai part of the January new open real estate statistics found that these properties of the deposit overdue more than 100 times, including some of the real estate canceled a number of pre-sale contracts.　　Individual real estate intermediary agencies revealed that customers in the restrictions on the introduction of the purchase order withdrew the deposit contract.　　The new real estate frequency is high rate of cancellation on the online property site, January 26, the new open Qihe overflow chui, the day of the new push for a total of 190 sets, the total number of deposits overdue reached 174 times, the total number of contracts canceled 4 times. On January 9, the opening of the Zhao Fung Jiayuan two, new 251 sets of housing, a total of 45 pre-sale, deposit overdue number reached 51 times, and has 2 set off the sale of the house contract; on January 18, the Lotus River King Garden, a total of 46 sets, the total number of deposits overdue more than 43 times; on January 27, the Golden Hill name Di, Deposit overdue number of 11 times.　　These three projects are the first open. Woo Granville Property Market, the editor of the Executive Director Huang Zhijian said, the deposit contract is divided into "large" and "small", "small order" is to pay the intention of the purchase of money, "large set" is to sign a deposit contract. Usually the "small order" can be undone, "da Ding" cannot be undone.　　Under normal circumstances, the real estate deposit overdue number should not be high, if the amount of deposit revocation accounted for the proportion of the house is too high, there may be two reasons: one is the developers of artificial transactions, speculation property, the other is affected by the new policy. The State Council on January 27 issued the "New Country Eight", the scope and strength of the purchase order to further upgrade.　　Huang Zhijian that the limited purchase order, some of the buyers due to the loss of home purchase qualifications can not buy a house, there are buyers because of the outlook is not optimistic and give up the purchase, this is the normal phenomenon under the new deal.　　Check out the pressure appears to understand the above property deposit overdue reasons, the reporter yesterday at the scene of the investigation.Qihe Overflow Chui Sales staff said that he is new to come, do not know why there is such a high deposit overdue times. Sales offices and other salespeople do not know why. Zhao Fung Jia Yuan two sales staff explained the same.　　Lotus Riverside Jing Yuan sales staff made it clear that, after the introduction of the limited purchase order, many people have reservations because the new policy can not buy a house, so have to withdraw the deposit contract. Song, research director of Shanghai Zhongyuan Property consultancy, said the high rate of cancellation for these properties was not due solely to the purchase order.　　Because Shanghai on January 27, "The new country Eight" before the introduction of a large-scale transaction upsurge, most of the buyers had already completed the transaction in that time, after this purchase, restricted purchase to affect the loss of home purchase is a minority. However, the Sino-House letter analyst Scherkingshon that last December and this January is just the peak of the deal, many people because the loan can not come out, leading to be limited to buy or be levied property tax, resulting in check-out.　　Although this ratio is not high, but the volume should be very large. Earlier, the Shanghai Banking Regulatory Commission released data show that the December of Shanghai's mortgage quotas were used up, leading to temporary loan cases increased.　　Scherkingshon that the new round of potential check-out pressure in Shanghai has begun to appear.　　Guangzhou New Deal has yet to fall off the Zhu Ling of every reporter from Guangzhou, although "eight" has not yet landed, but some of the real estate in Guangzhou has been a withdrawal or check-out signs.　　Recently, "Daily economic news" reporter to Guangzhou panyu a large project survey found that, although the current property all belong to second-hand housing market, just need exuberant, but after January 26, still more or less appear some unsubscribe intention of customers. "As a result of policy factors, the withdrawal of the situation must be, the increase in costs so that buyers have to make such a choice."　　Li Wenjiang, chief market analyst with Rich brilliance, admits.　　Many people in the industry said that after the introduction of local rules, the market volume in two or three months will continue to slump, but the local version of the rules if the provisions of the sale of a set can be bought, will promote the overall market activity, improve buyers or will be in the market. It is difficult to unsubscribe "because of the increase in taxes, down payment and other factors, there are some customers have the intention to unsubscribe, but to successfully unsubscribe is basically difficult."　　"Located in the vicinity of the above-mentioned project, Zhongyuan real estate consultant Li Wei said, if such a situation, in the absence of a contract under the premise, only with the intermediary, the owner of the private consultation to resolve." Liang, of Zhongyuan Express, says that intermediaries are now cautious about choosing customers to see if they really have the intention to buy a house and decide whether to order. She said that if customers really want to retire, "must be to eat some losses, such as the deposit is 10,000 yuan, may only get back 8000 yuan." "Li Wenjiang pointed out," the first-hand market withdrawal situation is usually less, firstly, customers in the deposit, signed a subscription book, to pay a down payment between the contract has 10 days to consider the time, if this period due to policy factors appear, developers can return the deposit. Li Wenjiang said, now developers in the customer signed subscription book, usually will indicate, "If the policy factors can not be loans and other circumstances, subscription cancellation, deposit refund."　　Guangzhou Land Bureau official website shows that January 17 ~2 month 15th, Guangzhou Check-out is 99 sets, the withdrawal is concentrated in the outer suburbs. Be caught in the wait February 16, Guangzhou municipal Housing Bureau released January data shows that Guangzhou single-handedly residential online contract area of 732,500 square meters, an increase of 12.3%, the chain increase 52.3%, the average price of 13572 yuan/square meters, up 3.2%, the chain down 5.8%.　　Since the introduction of the purchase order last October 15, the signing volume after 2 consecutive months in more than 400,000 square meters low hovering, there has been a certain extent of recovery. Li Wenjiang said that the turnover is mainly because the Guangzhou rules have not been introduced, landing time is uncertain, many buyers in the policy before the signing, to circumvent the restrictions imposed by policy.　　If the loan does not meet the requirements, some developers can also first cushion a down payment. "Generally speaking, there will be a two or three-month wait-and-see period for policy. Li Wenjiang said, now the bank credit tightening is more severe, Guangzhou has about 40% home purchase demand for two times, the policy has a wider impact.　　For improved customers with more money, a 10% down payment is not a big impact, but not enough money customers will suspend their home ownership plans, or reduce demand. Li Wenjiang said that from the later impact, high-end housing will be expedited before the introduction of the rules.　　After the introduction of local rules, the market will enter a period of wait-and-see and digestion period, commercial apartments, shops will indirectly benefit. Double effect • Commercial real estate as a haven the proportion of commercial real estate turnover in Shanghai half a month is doubled every reporter Yang Yiqiang from Shanghai 19%, 58%, 43%, 26%, 9%, 18%. This is from February 8 to February 13, Shanghai one-day shops and office building transactions accounted for the proportion of all the city listings.　　Half a month after the introduction of the limited purchase order, the proportion of Shanghai's office and commercial premises increased from about 15% in January to the current average of 30%. The sales figures confirm the early guesses that commercial real estate will perform well this year.　　Some mobile phone users in Shanghai have recently received such ad messages: "There is no effect of the property tax, unrestricted restriction on purchase orders, and investment in XX commercial square."　　However, some real estate research institutions have said that the increase in business and office buildings in Shanghai is likely to be a "false prosperity", because commercial real estate turnover has not increased, but there has been a decline. Developers generally optimistic about February 14, Longhu Real Estate released the January sales performance report.　　Longhu January a month to achieve the contract sales amount of 4.26 billion yuan, an increase of 228%, of which, Chongqing and Chengdu, two commercial projects in particular notable achievements. Chongqing's commercial complex Longhu Times Street, January 23 launched 322 sets of listings, the same day sold out, sales amount of more than 300 million yuan. Located in Chengdu, Longhu North Street, the market is only 6 days, 79 shops on sale on January 6Exhausted, the range of more than 300 million yuan, ranked Chengdu Market monthly three.　　At the end of last year, Longhu real estate related people in looking forward to this year's sales performance, on Longhu tourism and leisure real estate and commercial real estate have very big expectations, that these two types of real estate business will become Longhu new economic growth point.　　and Longhu similar to the commercial real estate as the main business of Shimao shares of the board secretary Rorehua said, because of the Spring festival holiday, Shimao shares failed to be able to statistics January sales performance, but it is certain that this January compared with the same period last year, a very large increase.　　Earlier, in 2010 Easy City China Market Research press conference, far-hung real estate chairman Lee Chun, Green City business executive general manager Li Xiaolo, Yi Cheng China Vice President Liufe, Daniel and other real estate industry personage thinks, this year commercial real estate will become the regulation of new property market sales force.　　Greentown business executive general manager Li Xiaolo even said that they will not be as the same as the sale of the East China Sea Square, the current development of the Tianshan Road, a Grade A office building will be firmly held. The agency said absolute volume did not soar and developers of the general optimism is different, real estate agencies said, commercial real estate after the increase in the proportion of transactions, mainly because the shrinkage of residential turnover is too obvious.　　As with homes, commercial real estate has also seen a sharp contraction in turnover after a limited purchase order. In fact, the total turnover is falling, just because the house is down too much, so the proportion of commercial real estate has increased, Scherkingshon said.　　He told the Daily Economic news reporter a set of data shows that Shanghai February 8 ~2 13th business and office space, only more than half of the January 22 ~ Month 27th. And Scherkingshon feedback Close, Lutheran real estate analyst Zhu Pingping also said that second-hand shops and office building transactions did not because of the introduction of the purchase order to become a hot market.　　She said that the general second-hand shops and office building transactions accounted for 20% to 30% of second-hand housing turnover, and after the spring Festival to now, their company business and office shops and offices turnover is zero. 21st Century Real Estate analyst Royin Shen Ye said that the new "country Eight" after the introduction of the company's business and office transactions are not very good.　　He argues that the rise in business and office turnover is only due to the apparent shrinkage of the housing deal.　　Obviously, it remains to be seen whether commercial real estate can become a new profit growth point of real estate industry after the housing market has fallen into business slump. Guangzhou limited to buy a tight trend of investors to consider living in the transfer of every reporter Zhu Ling from canton "because of limited purchase, many target customers do not dare to start, housing is too difficult to sell."　　Recently, the daily economic news reporter visited a number of intermediary companies, many intermediaries complained. Guangzhou Tianhe District, a small intermediary consultant white students reluctantly said, "the current plan to focus on the promotion of commercial properties." "Part of the money into the commercial" at the end of last year, a customer only in our shop to deal with three or four homes, but limited to purchase, January he began to let us recommend investment backA shop with a good rate. "According to Mr. Bai, now the shop consulting shops more than a lot of customers, now the housing market downturn, there have been speculators began to pay attention to investment in shops."　　"Now the return on investment is higher than residential, basically between 3%-5%, while the housing is basically under 3%, not to mention this year's retail market is expected to rise." But Mr White also pointed out that there was too much money in the investment of the shops to compare with the house. Although many clients are consulted, the number of domestic speculators switching to shops is still small. "Generally speaking, many professional housing speculators in the market have more than dozens of houses in their hands, but they are paid by way of bank loans and they do not have to take too much money out." But the shops are different, the location of the advantages of 5 million or 6 million, plus bank loans is not easy, the housing speculators are very cautious. "Developers push commercial property," Daily economic news reporter noted that, in addition to the intermediary companies consciously to promote the shop outside the customer, Guangzhou market, many large developers have increased the commercial part of the promotion this year.　　Poly Real Estate, such as the introduction of Poly-Chen Plaza, Central Plaza, Plaza, and other commercial properties, rental prices up to 150 yuan/month/square meters; this year, the real estate in Guangzhou launched a whopping 6000 sets of goods, including a lot of office property.　　At the end of last year, a number of agencies reported that in 2011, Guangzhou, whether the office market or retail shopping market, supply will be a blowout situation, is expected to supply volume will break through the million square meters, the new supply will hit a record high in recent years. Full House Red Shen Rui said, for investors, need to find an exit for their own funds. For developers, now a single residential model has not been a big line, many developers are in innovation, many are inclined to build all kinds of commercial property, looking for new profit growth points.