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Time entered 2014 has been nearly one months, according to the Chinese traditional lunar calendar, we will soon enter the horse. For entrepreneurs and entrepreneurs, what kind of horse will we face? 2014 is the opening year of China's deepening reform, but also the yuan is very likely to "break 6 into 5" year, is the new "company law" began to implement a year, we see the government in the private sector to give more and more support, relax restrictions, Create conditions to encourage entrepreneurship, innovation, at the same time, "2014 is 4G years" ... Start-up companies in 2014, will face is such a mixed economic environment. Here are some policies and trends in the 2014 years that we have combined media coverage to influence our business:
First, 2014 deepening reform start year
With the 2013-year plenary of 18, China seems to have embarked on the path of "reform and further departure". Sohu Finance and the Yangtze River Business School survey shows that economists are generally concerned about land reform, followed by the internationalization of the renminbi, simplifying the approval, household pension, etc., are related to the vital interests of the people. Land reform is one of the most important.
Economist Li's analysis points out that China's economy in the 2014, overall, still has the pressure of slowing growth. Because it is difficult to find a new round of increase in the force point. Urbanization is certainly a desirable growth point for China's economy, but to convert the "big pie" into a food that can be directly enjoyed, it needs further processing.
In 2013, 41% of entrepreneurs said earnings were "better than before," 33% said they were normal and optimistic entrepreneurs were as high as 74%. From the industry distribution, film, vertical electric business, mobile internet and other emerging industries are more optimistic about profitability, especially the film as a typical cultural industry in 2013 years of rapid growth; But some manufacturing companies are relatively pessimistic about earnings forecasts.
Jindong: 2014 China's economy will be a period of deep adjustment, a series of new reform policies may sacrifice short-term economic growth, the economic downward trend is more obvious, but in the long run, will bring new vitality to economic development, promote structure more optimization.
Guo: The future of China's economy may enter a phase of high-speed development, Fosun long-term optimistic about consumption, especially in the related areas of consumer promotion investment.
Second, the renminbi continues to appreciate the exchange rate is very likely to "break 6 into 5"
The 2014 RMB exchange rate "broken 6 into 5" has been a very high probability of events.
"We expect the renminbi to break 6 against the dollar and enter a new era as the pace of reform and marketization accelerates," said Justin Chan, co-head of HSBC Asia-Pacific markets. Since July 2005, the renminbi has risen 34% against the dollar. Analysts expect the renminbi to rise 2.5% to 3% in 2014, with the renminbi hitting $1 against the dollar for 6 yuan a year. The strengthening of the renminbi has been a drag on China's exports.
This also makes Chinese enterprises face more severe labor cost pressure. Labor-intensive industries such as textiles are the hardest hit by the appreciation of the renminbi because of low margins and reliance on exports, according to the Straits Times of Singapore. Industry insiders predict that 2014 of the industry's pay levels will increase by 10%, which will make the situation more serious.
However, since the renminbi has not yet achieved free convertibility under the capital account, in other words, it is a non-market currency, so the appreciation of the renminbi is only reflected in the international market.
In addition, due to the renminbi in the international appreciation of the expected, resulting in international hot money is keen to hype the renminbi, and through the capital market and other channels into China, too rich hot cash haunt the Chinese market, leading to China's long-term prices in the rising channel.
Third, the price, the cost increases the enterprise operation pressure
The macroeconomic research group of the Institute of Finance and Strategic Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences predicts that in 2014, the prices of food, labor and residential items are likely to rise significantly, and drive the central bank to tighten its monetary policy operations, thereby affecting the real economy. In 2013, a total of 26 provinces adjusted the minimum wage, and the monthly minimum wage rate averaged an increase of 18%. According to institutional analysis, China's strength in human costs is weakening further, as income growth is more concentrated in the middle and lower income groups.
Iv. Rural and agricultural areas are widely watched
In recent years, agriculture has been the focus of attention, do not say anything else, Lenovo, NetEase, Beijing-East and other enterprises have entered the agricultural field can be seen one or two. January 19 The central document of 2014, "on the overall deepening of rural reform to accelerate the promotion of agricultural modernization," the official release of several views. Central document "Locked" the 8 "three rural" priorities for 2014 and the coming period, including perfecting the national grain security system, strengthening the agricultural support protection system, establishing the long-term mechanism of sustainable development of agriculture, deepening the reform of rural land system, constructing new agricultural management system, speeding up the innovation of rural financial system, Perfect the integration of urban and rural development system mechanism, improve rural governance mechanism. Industry experts said that the central document on the agricultural product price formation mechanism, land system, rural finance and other three reforms to make in-depth planning. The first document proposed, gives the peasant to the contracted Land contract management right mortgage, the guarantee power. Also strengthened the financial institutions to serve the "three rural" responsibility. Stabilize the county area network of large and medium-sized commercial banks, expand the township service networks. Strengthen the service ability of commercial finance to the "three agriculture" and the small micro enterprises in the area, enlarge the authorization of the branch office of the county, increase the ratio of loan ratio and agricultural loans, and put the agricultural credit into the credit policy guidance effect evaluation and comprehensive evaluation system.
Yi Peng, director of the Center for Urbanization Studies at the China International Financial Forum, said that the 2013 Central Economic Work Conference put food security first, indicating the importance of agricultural modernization, the future is expected to increase investment in food production, there may be innovative ways such as large-scale operation, speeding up agricultural modernization.
V. The Government's environmental governance has intensified unprecedentedly
In the six major tasks of economic work in the 2014, it was clearly pointed out that we should strengthen the work, investment and policy of environmental management and protection of ecology, intensify the joint control of regional defense, strengthen the source control, and put the prevention measures of air pollution into practice. Market analysis that the air treatment, sewage treatment, solid waste treatment, such as 3 areas will be strongly supported by policies, is expected to become the 2014 capital market hot.
At the central level, the Ministry of Environmental Protection has signed with 31 provinces of the National Air Pollution control Junlingzhuang, in which the assessment of enterprise environment, supervision will be more stringent, standardized, enterprises must comply with environmental legal obligations and social responsibility. In the local area, the haze "battle" has also started the industry believes that the new requirements for environmental governance and with the likely arrival of the industry "shuffle", will continue to accelerate the adjustment of the human resources market.
Vi. the newly amended company law has been implemented since March 1, 2014
The new company law of 2014 has a total of 218 articles, divided into limited liability company's equity transfer, merger, separation, capital increase, capital reduction and corporate bonds, 13 chapters. December 28, 2013 the NPC Standing Committee approved the amendment of the company law, the newly revised Company law has been implemented since March 1, 2014. ("Company law" before and after the revision of the comparison here)
The revision of the company law mainly involves three aspects:
First, the registration system of registered capital is changed into a registration system.
Secondly, the registration conditions of registered capital should be relaxed.
Third, the simplification of registration matters and registration documents.
Seven, "2014 is 4G years"
The Ministry of Chinese Mobile, China Telecom and the Chinese 4gtd-lte issued a license plate December 4, 2013, China began to enter the 4G era. The maximum data transfer rate of 4G is over 100mbit/s, 5-10 times faster than 3G. 4G allows the mobile network to have a higher speed and experience, so that high-speed network connections can "carry".
The Chairman and CEO Ma of Tencent's board of directors in the "2013 CCTV Financial Forum," The Evaluation of 4G: "2014 is 4G years, the network is like a grid, 4G like the elevated power grid-can transfer energy information faster, farther, this is very obvious to the industry." The biggest change that 4G brings is the reduction of unit flow cost. This will have a positive impact on operators and the industry as a whole. If the 4G mobile communication cost can be reduced to a more ideal range, people can use the future, equipment can be used, services can also be used. "In Ma's view, the Internet and mobile Internet will find more space in the 4G era to combine with traditional industries."
Viii. Other
China to establish a unified registration system for immovable property this year
China plans to establish a unified registration system for immovable property, an important step in controlling the housing boom when domestic property prices are almost impossible for many Chinese.
Ministry of Finance, State administration of taxation clear animation industry, publicity and cultural undertakings value-added tax and business tax preferential policies
Tariff reduction for some products
In accordance with the 2014 Tariff Implementation Programme, which was implemented since January 1, 2014, in 2014 our country will implement a provisional annual import tax rate of more than 760 kinds of imported goods, with an average discount rate of 60% per cent.
Central bank to encourage technology companies to list overseas
Mid-January central Bank and other six departments issued a notice, will broaden the law of scientific and technological innovation and development of diversified financing channels, the appropriate relaxation of the financial access standards for science and technology enterprises, to simplify the issue of conditions to support qualified science and technology enterprises in the overseas listing financing to promote the implementation of mergers and acquisitions Apply for exemption or quick review of eligible enterprises. (Start-up state)