Point of view: The next 5 years, the electric business to climb the "three slopes"

On the afternoon of December 3, the domestic electric business boss Alibaba Group announced in its Hangzhou headquarters, as of November 30, 2012 21:50, its Taobao and cat two major electronic trading platform of the turnover in the first 11 months of this year has exceeded the 1 trillion yuan mark.

2011, China's e-commerce total turnover exceeded 5.8 trillion yuan (including consumer goods and means of production products trading total), of which the total amount of consumer goods electronic transactions accounted for 1.3 trillion yuan. At present, domestic and Taobao cat similar electric corps purchase platform more than 6,000. Given that the total number of electronic transactions in consumer goods is doubling this year, according to Alibaba's trading performance in the first 11 months of this year, the share of Taobao and cat is likely to be close to 40% of the total amount of consumer electronic transactions. This is an economic phenomenon which is worth the attention of the industry, the government, the consumers and even the whole society.

Last year, China's social consumer goods retail total is 18.39 trillion yuan, compared with 1.3 trillion yuan, consumer e-commerce accounted for the proportion of 4%. With the annual increase in e-commerce turnover of over 30% per cent in the last year, we can generally advance that the proportion of consumer-electronic transactions in the total retail sales of consumer goods will definitely exceed 5% or even higher this year.

In addition, last year, China's e-commerce total turnover of 5.8 trillion yuan compared to the annual 47.8 trillion yuan GDP (current price), the electricity industry's business income to GDP accounted for more than 10%. According to international practice, an industry's income of 5% of GDP, the industry is locked into the national economic pillar (production) industry. This is tantamount to saying that the electrical business in China has become a well-deserved China's leading national economy Pillar Line (production) industry.

Alibaba's growth has created a legend of China's E-commerce. China's sustained and rapid economic development, the Internet, cloud computing, IoT, data integration, mobile terminal technology high-speed development, integration and application, the new generation of "intellectual" innovative entrepreneurial passion, is to support the legend of the three main pillars. The former is the Macroscopic Development Foundation, the latter is the necessary technical support, and the third is the social ecology and atmosphere. Three is indispensable, is for the climate, geographical location, people and. In a short span of 10 years, China's electric business and other emerging lines (production) industry mutual interdependence, mutual benefit, have crossed the payment method, logistics and "primary credit" a total of "three mountains."

The legend of e-commerce has been and deeply affected the Chinese lifestyle, consumption patterns, social division and interpersonal relationships. From now until 2020, according to the current development situation, we can completely without exaggeration or even still show a conservative forecast and vision of E-commerce will bring the Chinese people a better future:

Lifestyle online life is likely to be replicated all over the line; consumption patterns 1.3 billion of people every year or even monthly average online shopping; The popularity of the consumer growth Internet is bound to trigger the second and third wave of on-line consumption; consumption mode mobile phone will become a fast payment port after the computer There may be 100 million Chinese jobs in the future that are directly or indirectly related to e-commerce; data perhaps in another 5-8 years, China's online retail revenue will exceed store retail revenue; intelligent future the necessary "hardware" for Chinese People's daily life may be replaced by "Application software" and "fingerprint identification"; The cost of circulation is now over 18%. The integrated logistics cost is likely to be reduced to the current average of 9% of the developed countries or even lower; the trend of electronic logistics industry will become the first pillar industry of China's national economy, the development of E-commerce will help push the 18 big proposed national economic doubling goal ahead of schedule.

However, in order to make our vision of the good future of e-commerce into reality, China's electrical business in the next 5-8 years must also climb the "three slopes." They are: System construction, including the establishment of legal system and rules, matching, improvement and supervision and punishment, transaction standards, including the optimal design of the transaction process, transaction operation credible and reliable, the transaction process is foolproof, transactions can be traced and can be claimed; industry self-discipline, including the electrical business enterprise social Responsibility molding, The quality assurance of traded goods and the industry to punish.

The situation waits for no one, and the prospect is optimistic. We look forward to the Government's urgent work to develop China's e-commerce and "cloud logistics" in the next 8 years or 10 years of development planning outline, in the market access, financial support, tax concessions, resource allocation, new technology promotion and other links tailored series of support policies; It is expected that the national legislative organs and industry authorities and regulatory authorities join hands, Make the rules for the e-commerce market.