Pork appearance price rises for 6 consecutive weeks or pushes CPI up

Pig feed in less than one months crazy rose two times within one months of pig feed rare rose two times, Sihui Pig wholesale price from 6.0 yuan/kg rose to 6.5 yuan/kg, Guangxi head pig wholesale price from 6.5 yuan/kg rose to 6.95 yuan/kg, according to the National Ministry of Commerce Statistics, the National pork appearance price has been rising for 6 consecutive weeks, 2007 pork prices have caused the CPI's crazy Rise, now, CPI just declared "positive", pork prices rose again.　　Pork prices are already on the rise, will this rally drive the next round of CPI inflation? Pork prices rose Wholesale market: Pig price increase of about 0.5 yuan/kg yesterday, the reporter came to Haizhu District Jinxi meat markets, stall owner Li told reporters, nearly one months, pork wholesale prices rose up, Guangxi first pig price from 6.5 yuan/kg rose to yesterday's 6.95 yuan/kg.　　In the Golden Harvest Livestock wholesale market, the reporter learned that Guangdong local Sihui pig wholesale price at 6.5 yuan/kg, and before the price is only 6.0 yuan/kg or so. However, it is surprising that, in the case of a general increase in prices, Guangdong local brand of the supply of pigs has decreased. Boss Li revealed that the Jiahe market daily hog Wholesale quantity of more than 6,000, of which the brand of pigs have 2500~3000 head, but recently the brand pig daily reduced by a good hundreds of.　　The source of information is that the company may control the number of pig slaughter, to be released when high prices.　　　　Pork appearances have risen for 6 consecutive weeks since November, according to the Department of Commerce's market operation. Retail market: Wholesale price if broken seven pork retail will not bear the attention is that the current retail market, the price of pork is not affected by the wholesale price rise too much.　　In Yuexiu District Dongchuan new Marketplace, on the meat 24 yuan/kg, lean meat 32 yuan/kg, ribs 38 yuan/kg. "There is a problem of time lag between wholesale and retail." Li said, "each round of meat prices rise and fall, the retail market than the wholesale market lag."　　"According to Li boss speculation, if the wholesale price of pigs up to 7 yuan/kg, then the retail market will not be able to, there must be a process of replenishment, then the public will increase the consumption basket."　　Why does pork rise: Due to seasonal demand? Why does the wholesale price of pork rise?　　It is understood that this year pig prices are generally relatively depressed, long-term in 5~6 yuan/catty low price wandering. Then why is the price of pigs turning up? The National Development and Reform Commission issued a message that the current pig prices turned up, mainly by the cold weather after the impact of increasing consumer demand. With the winter solstice before and after the southern residents of the demand for preserved bacon and with the New Year's Day, Spring Festival near the festival consumer demand increases, the late pork prices may also appear a small rise.　　　　However, the NDRC also pointed out that the number of sows is still high, after the spring festival, pig prices may fall again.　　Reason two: International speculators hoarding raw materials? The rise in hog prices is also linked to a spike in pig feed prices. Reporter came to Guangzhou Yang International agricultural commodities trading city, found that the price of pig feed has beenIt has been up for some time. "November 16, concentrate (one of the pig feed) up 300~500 yuan per ton, on December 11, the concentration of the price of each ton rose 300 yuan."　　"Management of" bin Sen branch "brand pig feed sales staff told reporters that one months of pig feed two times the price rise, very rare, the increase of about 10%. "Soybean meal, corn, fish meal, whey powder and other pig feed raw materials, China has no pricing power, so the international speculators are likely to stockpile roasted seeds and nuts." A person familiar with the matter told reporters, "It's like a property speculation." such as corn, the production of large countries in the United States, middlemen, distributors have a large number of warehouse hoarding. "It is expected that most forage varieties will continue to rise in future, with only a few varieties falling," he said. "Animal husbandry sector: will not be the pressure on the CPI pork price increases, is a cyclical continuous rise, or quickly fall back?"　　Pork price rises and CPI "positive" again appear like 2007 as almost "synchronized" situation, this is only a coincidence, or a sign of inevitable trend? Hundred Hing Company chairman Yo Yongjin thought: "Go up a little bit very normal, arrive 6.5~6.6 Yuan/Jin is not strange, but later trend is not clear."　　"There are also animal husbandry industry in the future see light," next year, the overall depressed pig market. At the symposium on Animal husbandry, ecology and health breeding in Guangdong Province, interviewed by the Chinese Animal Husbandry Association, Vice president of the Shirjing also thought that the price of live pigs are in a steady rise in the situation, but the price of pork should not increase the pressure on the CPI, "2007 Meat price increase led to the rise of CPI, with a certain contingency , at that time, everyone on the sudden reduction of pig production lack of preparation, and now everyone to pig farming subsidy policy, price early warning system has been more attention, the possibility of price ups and downs has been reduced. "Statistics industry: or bring about price chain reaction." Chen Wei, deputy general manager of Beijing Oriental Agriculture Consulting Co., Ltd. also thought that, from the current situation, the price of live pigs is not likely to constitute too much pressure on the CPI, short-term rise and fall is still a lack of persuasion. In the long run, the price of live pigs will change, "The key is to see the country's policies." "Some statistics professionals interviewed by reporters cautioned that the rise in pork prices may bring about a ripple effect on prices," he said. "The price of meat, food will have to rise, over time people's living costs will progress, and then everything is expensive." According to the relevant people calculate, in the current statistical indicators, food is the largest category of all eight categories of goods, and pork is the most important item in the Food classification, accounting for the overall CPI 9% weight. Since pork is often the original driving force of "expensive", the monitoring of hog prices must be kept sharp. (Reporter Yecas, Liu Jue)