Ren Zhiqiang said limited purchase is not a good way to house prices will not buy is a fool

Ren Zhiqiang (right) and pan Shiyi share the property market. Xu Chaoyan to Nanjing again! Yesterday, he attended the "Zhing-two regulation of the Chinese property market," the forum said publicly that China's housing prices will not fall for a long time, and declared that "not buy a house is a fool"!　　Faced with the introduction of the "Limit purchase order", Ren Zhiqiang and the Soho China chairman, Pan Shiyi, have found it difficult to cure the "stubborn disease" of China's property market. As one of the activities of the 2010 autumn fair in Nanjing, yesterday's forum not only attracted a large number of media reporters, many people also participate in the exhibition, the original open forum has to limit the number of entry.　　But even if security personnel at the level, can accommodate 200 people in the conference hall finally unexpectedly squeeze in more than 300 people, on both sides of the corridor is crowded.　　Can "limit purchase order" restrain house price? Not a good way to return to a planned economy view 1: To increase supply and restrain investment a soft hand the topic of Limit purchase order, Beijing Huayuan Group President Ren Zhiqiang said that regulation and control policy seems never to solve the supply from the source, instead of restricting consumption and purchase from the market, and the latter is just hurt 800, and self-inflicted 1000 "Approach.　　Yesterday, Ren Zhiqiang reiterated this view. "Restriction policy can solve the market short-term supply and demand relationship problem, but can not solve long-term demand satisfaction problem, so this is not a good way to regulate." "Ren Zhiqiang said that in the planned economy era, food is less on the issue of coupons, cloth less on the issue of tickets, it is because production does not go, so there will be a shortage of economy."　　The result of reform and opening-up is to change from limited to unlimited purchase of any goods, if the restrictions do not solve the needs of people, then this is not a market economy, nor is it a good way to solve long-term problems. "The problem is that the urban land supply that is rising faster is often inadequate, such as Nanjing, which has completed more than 30%, as well as Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Shenzhen and so on, which have not completed the planned land supply."　　"Ren said that the lack of land supply, will lead to the shortage of commercial housing supply, still cannot change the problem of rising housing prices." Point two: The restrictions on the transfer of the rights of people Ren Zhiqiang said, a number of cities in the "Limit purchase order" to restrict the purchase of foreigners, such as some of the provisions of local residents can buy another, and outsiders are prohibited to buy, he said it is tantamount to depriving the people of the right to migrate, whether from a city to another city,　　Or moved from the countryside to the city, not allowed. Ren Zhiqiang believes that this is actually a planned economy means: "If the planned economy can be more efficient than the market economy, China may not need to reform!"　　"Point three: market economy can not go back" Soho China chairman Pan Shiyi in the forum very much agree with Ren Zhiqiang's view. "The role of market prices in regulating resource allocation has been undermined and short-term policies cannot solve long-term problems, so these retrogressive policies cannot be introduced." Pan said that China's reform and opening-up for 30 years, thanks to the marketEconomy, social progress and the growth of wealth are very fast, can not go back to the old plan of the planned economy, "the economic and social damage caused by the planned economy, the older people are very clear."　　"Will the property tax be introduced?" "When the Chinese prime minister did not know" about the housing market regulation has been hotly discussed the issue of property taxes, Soho China chairman Pan Shiyi said, "This time really believe that the property tax is not to frighten people." "As to when this boot landed, Mr Pan asked:" How do I know? This question is not even known to the Prime Minister!　　Pan Shiyi said that 99% of the people he came into contact with were opposed to the levy of a property tax, but he thought it should be levied, because the greatest utility of property tax is to solve the polarization between the rich and the poor, which is beneficial to social equity. On the subject of property tax, Ren Zhiqiang expressed different views. He thinks that when tax breaks are usually accompanied by rapid economic growth, all tax increases are at a time of economic decline.　　From the domestic economic environment, there is no basis for the levy. He stressed that if the levy of property tax should be levied on the basis of not increasing the tax burden on the ordinary people, or the reform of the current tax system in the first place, the introduction of property tax, in short, this only developed countries will levy a tax will not soon appear in the country.　　This remark, won the entire audience of applause.　　Can we buy a house in the space now?　　"Do not buy a house is a fool, China's housing prices will not fall" view one: who does not buy who unlucky for the present can not buy a house problem, Ren Zhiqiang yesterday again burst into an astonishing view: "Do not buy a house is a fool." "If China always keeps the higher GDP growth, why not buy it?" For example, steel to rise, cement building materials to rise, land prices are rising, at this cost of building houses, prices will certainly rise!　　"Ren said that from Japan, the United States and Hong Kong's economic cycle, the decline in house prices are in the case of negative GDP growth, China's reform and opening up 30 years, not a year of negative economic growth, so do not worry about house prices will fall."　　In addition, Ren Zhiqiang believes that China's urbanization process still has a long way to go, the demographic dividend will not be lifted in the short term, and he expects an ageing population by 2015 or 2020, and the peak will be in 2030, so there will never be a drop in prices from now on.　　Point two: Home prices back to the first half of 2009 on this issue, Pan Shiyi held a different view, he said that housing prices will return to the level of early 2009. "There is a common sense in the market, that is, land floor prices can not exceed the price of the house, if the price of flour than bread is more expensive, it does not accord with common sense."　　"Pan said, the so-called back to the beginning of the 2009 level, is back to the common sense of the highest horizontal line, developers can not blindly take the land, people will not be crazy to buy a house. As to how much housing prices will fall back, Pan Shiyi predicted that should be around 10% to 15%, whether to achieve this goal, it depends on the results of regulation.