Ren Zhiqiang: Urbanization begins with the liberation of Farmers ' homestead

In the recently concluded "two sessions" period, nearly half of the proposal focused on Chinese house prices, so that China's real estate policy and development trend has become the focus of the people. And just the other days, Sasac announced that in the past the frequent manufacture of "king" of the central enterprises, will have 78 completed the free Land development and implementation of the project to exit the real estate industry. A stone stirs up thousand layers of waves. What is the current situation of China's real estate industry? How can a series of regulation policies bring about changes in the real estate industry? What is the trend of housing prices in the future?　　Yesterday afternoon, a "big picture and trend--2010 China Real Estate Summit Forum" held in Wuxi, housing industry leaders, experts and scholars, as well as senior media, "Taihu Lake again on the sword." Keyword one: The status quo is as cloudy as it is. Representative figure: Yi Ju (China) board Chairman and CEO Zhou Yi yesterday participated in the forum of the Chinese real estate and Housing research Vice President, the Ministry of Construction Housing policy Expert Committee deputy Director Gu, Sunshine 100 estate Group Chairman Ishadi,　　Hua Yuan Group Chairman Ren Zhiqiang, Beijing Silver Letter Real Estate Co., Ltd. Chairman of Min Geng, Shenzhen Shi Lian Real Estate Consultants Co., Ltd. Chairman Chen Jinsong, Beijing Normal University Financial Research Center director, renowned economist Zhong, Yi Ju (China) Holdings Limited board chairman and CEO Zhou Yi.　　After the 2008 international financial crisis of the winter, China's real estate market suddenly in 2009 years a turnaround, the rapid transformation of all the real estate tycoons are a bit confused. Sunshine 100 president Ishadi said that from two years ago to today, China's real estate industry as a roller coaster, from winter to summer, the development of the environment they did not think of.　　Today the industry's hot, very abnormal and very unhealthy. In the real estate industry known as "cannon," said Hua Yuan group Chairman Ren Zhiqiang yesterday did not "disappoint" everyone's expectations. He made a metaphor for the changes in the property market in 2008 and 2009. This is like meeting in the Conference room, we all desperately drink water, the result to the toilet, but no way to suppress, if in the meeting of the toilet, you will certainly say you bullying. But the living can not be suffocated to the urine, no way, we swarm to the toilet rush, the result of the toilet was washed away.　　China's property market is like meeting water to go to the toilet, 2008, we hold the time is too long, so 2009 there was a slump. Zhou Yi, Chairman and CEO of Yi Ju (China), said that when the 08 "Tai Hu Jian", many developers vowed to be a "pig strong", when the real estate market is a very low freezing point, but today is a relatively high boiling points. In this situation, the real estate development enterprises to deal with the way, the operation of the enterprise is relatively different. At the end of 2009 to now, their company no matter from sales to consulting are very lively, many developers at a loss, have called to ask them whether the real estate sales or not to sell. He said that from the current situation, the Chinese real estate development trend of the judgment or consultation, no one can understand,It seems to be a game of war. He even used "cloudy days" to describe China's current property market, occasionally the sun came out of the clouds, occasionally cloudy, but the rain is always down.　　In other words, the status quo and trend of the property market is a little elusive, like the total difficult to down the rain as people uncomfortable.　　Key words two: Regulation does not solve the land supply housing prices will not fall down representative: Hua Yuan Group Chairman Ren Zhiqiang for the real estate future policy control expectations, the guests have expressed their different views. Gu, vice president of China Real Estate and Housing Research Association and Deputy Director of the Housing Policy Committee of the Ministry of Construction, said that, regardless of housing prices or real estate market problems, short-term can be regulated to solve, but the institutional reasons must be resolved through reform.　　One is to make real estate to maintain a reasonable price, one is to increase the supply of housing. Ren Zhiqiang believed that he never thought that China lacks the land, the rural homestead has 168,000 square kilometers, is the city construction 4.6-4.8 times times, China's reform starts from the liberation farmer productivity, the real Chinese urbanization and the modernization must start from the liberation peasant land, the homestead.　　If we do not fundamentally solve the land system, can not change land resources and population contradictions, then house prices will never fall. Gu that monetary expansion naturally leads to higher asset prices, which are the root cause of the housing bubble.　　Another land problem, whether it is a land monopoly or a government monopoly on land, will lead to insufficient land supply, which is a major problem that has plagued China's real estate market. Zhong says he is not very much in favor of the views of some real estate development companies. If a substantial increase in the volume rate, the quality of people's living decline, the pressure on municipal infrastructure will be too large, significantly cancel the real estate to the hospital, the nearest school, household registration control, urban expansion will be more disorderly. On the land reform, he suggested that first, can do land across the provincial balance, such as Jiangsu Province, land indicators can be "marriage" with Liaoning province, so that the most valuable land can be the most limited development. Second, the supply of commercial housing should be appropriately increased, the non-commercial housing supply of land to reduce some. The last point is to replace the homestead and available indicators. For developers, can not afford to buy a first-tier city, to buy the land of the two or three-tier city.　　For consumers, there is still no way, if everyone is scolding house prices, house prices will not fall, the only option is to drift. Three key words: house price all the guests think "also want to rise" representative figures: Beijing Normal University, director of Financial Research Center Zhong for the future of housing prices, all the guests think the price will rise. Zhong, director of the Financial Research Center at Beijing Normal University and a famous economist, said he was optimistic about the Chinese economy in the middle and late stages with the words "extremely optimistic" four. He said that in 2003, the Government proposed in the next 5-8 years, China's 70 large and medium cities housing prices doubled, 2007 proposed to double, now according to China's economic development trend and the whole real estate market, fundamentalWithout 5-8 years, China's housing prices will be doubled in the next few years. At the same time, many people think that there is a real estate bubble in the first-tier cities, but he thinks this is only an isolated phenomenon, for example, there is a real bubble in the commodity houses in Haikou and Sanya, but it does not exist nationwide.　　First-tier city housing prices have risen too fast, it can be said that China's wealth to the rural movement, or to the two or three-line cities, behind the exposure of the rich and poor polarization. Ren Zhiqiang believes that, from his experience in the real estate market, once there is a problem, the state will be in charge of regulation, and regulation is often short-term behavior, is to show the power of government macro-control, but after regulation will face house prices.　　He said that from 2003 to the present, it has been proved to be so.　　Key words four: Land King now real estate development than real estate also popular representative figures: Sunshine 100 real Estate Group chairman Ishadi on the day before the forum, coincides with the SASAC on the frequent manufacture of "The King" of the central enterprises to adjust, because the housing tycoon to attend the forum are private companies, so the central enterprise became the object of their shelling. Ishadi analysis that the real estate development than the real estate more hot, many front-line cities, people can count the number of the king, and do not remember what is the Star property. For 78 of the central enterprises to exit the real estate industry, he thought that this is good news, the real estate industry will eventually go to the market development track. The real estate industry over the past few years overheating very often, and policy adjustment has never stopped, he thought that the so-called policy attitude is the performance of planned economy, the government is always afraid of the market out of trouble, as long as there are central enterprises to regulate the market on the line, but in fact real estate is the real future　　In this way, we can improve the conditions of most people and improve the life style of every person in China. Zhou Yi said he thought it was not necessarily a good thing for 78 central enterprises to exit the property market. He said, why did they quit? They are also China's main force, they want to contribute to China's real estate, why should be driven out? What if I have to drive out foreign capital tomorrow?　　　　The day after tomorrow will be driven out of private enterprises? Key words five: the Yangtze River delta two or three line city will be the development "Heaven" Representative personage: Beijing Silver Letter Real Estate Limited Company Chairman Min Geng Forum, many viewers are quite concerned about Wuxi and even the south of Jiangsu's house price trend. Beijing Silver Letter Real Estate Co., Ltd. Chairman Min Geng very optimistic about the land of southern Jiangsu.　　He said China's real estate and China's urbanization process is synchronized, China's real estate has twenty or thirty years of good days. He explained that China's urbanization process is developing rapidly, a new generation of migrant workers, they are holding a mobile phone, pull the trolley box into town, they and the older generation of migrant workers, the land is not so deep feelings, their pursuit of happiness, the improvement of the quality of life than the older generation have an urgent desire. They can no longer go back to the countryside, they are moving towards the path of urbanization. The possession of such a group of people, together with the rural means of production can flow, trade, if the developmentWell, a new generation of migrant workers will be the main buying force in the future real estate market. He told the reporter "emotionally", more than 40 years ago, he from Shanghai, Suzhou, Wuxi, Changzhou, Nanjing all the way to the north, see is the ground of the crops, the Montreal Green gauze, today to walk the Beijing-Shanghai Expressway, a look, the city Liancheng, town even town, village even village, house even house. The Yangtze River Delta real estate market will also have a big development, to the Yangtze River Delta as the representative of the two or three-line city will be a real estate market development of a field, even can be said to be a paradise. Market successors, buyers successors. Dinana