Shenzhou Information: Scientific decision "midwife"

"What is big data, the ' big ' here should not only point to volume, but also have a high value attribute." "Shenzhou Digital Information Service Co., Ltd. (abbreviation: Shenzhou information; stock code: 000555) The chief expert of data technology research and Development center Swentian that big data is not only the killer application of information technology to change the business world, but also should fundamentally solve the problem for government, enterprise and public. Thus bringing value to the prosperity and civilization of the whole society.

Compared to cloud computing has entered a rational development, the current large data is still in the early stage of a relatively immature, especially the lack of successful experience of systematic projects. "In the face of the situation, the industry has begun to rethink the real meaning of big data, to think calmly about the real value behind big data, to try to build large data solutions and to apply them to all walks of life." The data and the wisdom we seek to find problems are two different things. The era of large data, not the age of data, but should be the use of data analysis to play the value of the Times. We believe that in the construction of intelligent cities and even government decisions, industry applications, and constantly explore how to activate the existing data stock, with good traditional information of the rich, the data mining good, analysis, to supplement the social Information data, through data analysis and scientific modeling to find the relationship between the impact of data, the traditional method can not get the cognition, In order to assist the Government and other industries to improve the level of management decision-making is the key to large data value, which is the unique advantage of Shenzhou information. "Swentian points out.

In early 2014, "separate two-child" policy, for this policy adjustment, the National Health and Family Planning Committee publicity division director Mao has said that the relevant agencies and departments for this purpose for 10 years of research, and in this process, by the Shenzhou Information support research and development of PADIS (population macro management and decision-making information System) Played a very important role.

It is understood that the Padis International version of the assessment is the China Population and Development Research Center and the Shenzhou information in the Padis phase of construction, based on the guidance and assistance of the United Nations Population Division, developed a set of international general population forecasting software. Padis microscopic simulation model is to build a virtual community of more than 10 million people, each functional unit is unique, and many factors interact with each other, such as a lifelike small society. In this small society, the survival of each newborn, children's schooling, employment after graduation, and adult mating births are determined by the probability of entering the model. If we want to study the problem of population society, as long as the specific policy input, can see the "future" in this virtual community.

Up to now, Padis has been in the country and a number of provinces and cities to expand the application. Taking Guangxi as an example, population analysis and prediction should not only pay attention to the urban and rural data, but also pay attention to the data of ethnic groups. Using Padis, input local relevant data and alternative policy, Cluster Server group operation two days and nights, according to the relevant data conclusions, the final conditions in Guangxi province will have two children from the former "husband and wife are both the only child" relaxed for the "husband and wife is one child".

Swentian said Padis The results of the forecast and the most authoritative international institutions, compared to the results of the accuracy can reach more than 99%, and this accuracy is derived from the Shenzhou information for the precise control of the data and effective backstepping verification, "in terms of the birth rate, we get the birth data, It will also be pushed back through the registration data of the Education Department, even through the data of children eating sugar pill, to ensure the maximum accuracy and internal consistency of the data. In order to ensure the validity of the analysis results, we will verify the reliability by inputting historical data and then seeing whether the conclusions of the system are consistent with the present situation. "In addition to these, according to the recommendations of the United Nations technical experts, PADIS also set the forecast interval back to 100 years, forward forecast 400 years."

It can be seen that one small step in technology is a big step in the government's scientific decision-making. Farewell to shoot the head, with the help of large data analysis system, government decision-making is to scientific and intelligent development. It is worth mentioning that in addition to adjusting the birth control policy, at present, the Shenzhou information also based on the demographic and economic key factors, on the basis of large data analysis and modeling, launched the Intelligent city comprehensive decision system, this intelligent city comprehensive decision-making system in the pension gap, improve traffic, children's entrance difficult and even environmental governance, To play a value on issues such as rising house prices. "In China, Beijing, Henan, Chongqing, Anhui, Heilongjiang, Zhejiang, Shandong, Dalian and other provinces and cities have applied padis for regional population forecasting and urbanization, aging and other aspects of the analysis." "said Swentian.

As an important means to promote urbanization and realize scientific development, intelligent City construction has been actively carried out in our country. "The city is an open complex giant system, which contains a large number of multidimensional and heterogeneous complex data, and the population, society, economy, resources and environment are interrelated and affect each other." Large data modeling and simulation technology provides an excellent solution for solving this complex non-linear system problem, which not only provides quantitative data support for national policy, but also provides key technology for the construction of Intelligent city. "Swentian that for the Shenzhou information, the population, transportation, education, medical, environmental and other aspects of the various attempts, are to fully realize the development of intelligent City vision."

Swentian that, at the IT infrastructure and application level, China compared to Europe and the United States and other developed countries, started late, there is a certain gap, but in the third type of application based on forecasting and analysis, domestic manufacturers and international manufacturers at the same starting line, some large data solutions even more than foreign advantages, has a broad space for development. "At this stage, we focus on government applications, and hope to use data technology, modeling technology for the government and even local governments in the decision-making aspects of major issues to provide support." And the future of our tentacles will certainly extend to the enterprise and personal applications. "Swentian said.